SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Box office is a four-way battle.

Four new films and a wide expansion compete for moviegoers’ attention in a crowded weekend at the box office. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] may come out slightly ahead of the pack with the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV]. Eastwood was much maligned for his speech at the Republican National Convention, but the much talked about routine brought awareness to his first starring role since 2008’s Gran Torino. That film was a $148 million hit, which indicated the 82-year-old still has legions of fans.  Co-stars Amy Adams [AMADA] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] should help broaden the demographic for the PG-13 rated sports movie.  Playing in 3212 theaters, Trouble with the Curve could hit $15 million.

Relativity’s House at the End of the Street [ENDST] will test the drawing power of Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR], coming off the blockbuster The Hunger Games. The PG-13 rated thriller is right in the wheelhouse of its target audience of female teens and young women. Breaking into 3083 theaters, House at the End of the Street may sell for $14 million.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] and Michael Pena [MPENA] play LAPD officers in the R-rated actioner End of Watch [ENDWT] shot in a gritty style similar to the TV show COPS. Open Road has marketed the film heavily to sports fans as well as the Hispanic market. The film has earned excellent reviews, which could even bring in the high-brow crowd. End of Watch looks to roll up $14 million from 2730 locations.

Lionsgate’s Dredd 3D [DREDD] stars Karl Urban [KURBA] in the role Sylvester Stallone played in 1995’s Judge Dredd. The R-rated sci-fi actioner’s appeal appears limited to male fans of the genre, where it has to compete against Resident Evil: Retribution [RESE5]. Presiding 2506 theaters, Dredd 3D may execute just $10 million. Resident Evil: Retribution suffered from franchise fatigue as the fifth installment had the worst debut since the original film. The sequel looks to tumble 60% to $8 million in its second weekend.

After a record per theater average opening, The Master [MASTR] expands wide into 788 theaters. Paul Thomas Anderson’s [PTAND] period drama about a Scientology-like religious movement will attract moviegoers eager to check out the first buzzworthy film of the award season. The Master may collect $7 million this weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CEAST, TCURV, AMADA, JTIMB, ENDST, JLAWR, JGYLL, MPENA, ENDWT, DREDD, KURBA, RESE5, MASTR, PTAND

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 04:13 PM 6564 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.63 (+0.23)          Slanted (SLANT) 150000 5.63 (+0.23)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 5000 20.02 (+0.01)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 25000 9.61 (-0.34)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 25000 5.01 (-0.43)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 25000 5.94 (+0.83)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 20000 16.27 (+1.12)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 5000 101.03 (+1.03)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 100000 21.77 (+1.15)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.77 (+1.15)          Battle Of Galwan (BGALW) 150000 1.36 (+0.02)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 2500 16.27 (+1.12)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 6.18 (+0.39)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 150000 6.18 (+0.39)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 9.61 (-0.34)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 150000 9.61 (-0.34)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 100000 16.27 (+1.12)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 16.27 (+1.12)          Baton (BATON) 150000 5.92 (-0.23)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 1455 12.25 (+0.02)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 101.03 (+1.03)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 101.03 (+1.03)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 5858 7.69 (+0.01)          They Will Kill You H$10 Call (TWKYU.CA) 25000 1.12 (-0.03)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 4 18.14 (0.00)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 149999 21.77 (+1.15)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 3.41 (+0.40)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 150000 3.41 (+0.40)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 5.94 (+0.83)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 5.94 (+0.83)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.77 (+1.15)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 150000 21.77 (+1.15)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 16.27 (+1.12)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 16.27 (+1.12)          Zealot (ZELOT) 12026 1.54 (-0.11)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 85.91 (+0.03)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.02 (+0.01)