SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Box office is a four-way battle.

Four new films and a wide expansion compete for moviegoers’ attention in a crowded weekend at the box office. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] may come out slightly ahead of the pack with the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV]. Eastwood was much maligned for his speech at the Republican National Convention, but the much talked about routine brought awareness to his first starring role since 2008’s Gran Torino. That film was a $148 million hit, which indicated the 82-year-old still has legions of fans.  Co-stars Amy Adams [AMADA] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] should help broaden the demographic for the PG-13 rated sports movie.  Playing in 3212 theaters, Trouble with the Curve could hit $15 million.

Relativity’s House at the End of the Street [ENDST] will test the drawing power of Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR], coming off the blockbuster The Hunger Games. The PG-13 rated thriller is right in the wheelhouse of its target audience of female teens and young women. Breaking into 3083 theaters, House at the End of the Street may sell for $14 million.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] and Michael Pena [MPENA] play LAPD officers in the R-rated actioner End of Watch [ENDWT] shot in a gritty style similar to the TV show COPS. Open Road has marketed the film heavily to sports fans as well as the Hispanic market. The film has earned excellent reviews, which could even bring in the high-brow crowd. End of Watch looks to roll up $14 million from 2730 locations.

Lionsgate’s Dredd 3D [DREDD] stars Karl Urban [KURBA] in the role Sylvester Stallone played in 1995’s Judge Dredd. The R-rated sci-fi actioner’s appeal appears limited to male fans of the genre, where it has to compete against Resident Evil: Retribution [RESE5]. Presiding 2506 theaters, Dredd 3D may execute just $10 million. Resident Evil: Retribution suffered from franchise fatigue as the fifth installment had the worst debut since the original film. The sequel looks to tumble 60% to $8 million in its second weekend.

After a record per theater average opening, The Master [MASTR] expands wide into 788 theaters. Paul Thomas Anderson’s [PTAND] period drama about a Scientology-like religious movement will attract moviegoers eager to check out the first buzzworthy film of the award season. The Master may collect $7 million this weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CEAST, TCURV, AMADA, JTIMB, ENDST, JLAWR, JGYLL, MPENA, ENDWT, DREDD, KURBA, RESE5, MASTR, PTAND

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 04:13 PM 6764 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Ebenezer (EBNZR) 27000 113.30 (-0.34)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 20000 205.14 (-0.06)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 19.57 (+1.04)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 19.57 (+1.04)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 27000 113.30 (-0.34)          Summoner (SMONR) 30000 15.25 (-0.03)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 11.84 (+1.49)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 75000 4.28 (+0.11)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 20000 282.11 (-0.60)          Still Life (STILF) 100000 6.18 (-0.47)          The Partner (PRTNR) 95000 46.04 (-1.19)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 2209 26.00 (+0.03)          Seasons (SEASN) 135000 23.32 (+1.06)          OASIS: Don't Look Back in A (OASIS) 69000 11.03 (+0.67)          King Conan (CONA2) 90000 51.52 (+0.87)          Remain (REMAN) 2354 73.76 (+0.09)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 90076 271.02 (+0.45)          Tangles (TNGLS) 150000 1.95 (-0.05)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 150000 46.41 (+0.30)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 4.42 (-0.19)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 87.38 (-1.05)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 30.84 (0.00)          King Conan (CONA2) 50000 51.52 (+0.87)          King Conan (CONA2) 20000 51.52 (+0.87)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 1.93 (-0.07)          King Conan (CONA2) 30000 51.52 (+0.87)          King Conan (CONA2) 40000 51.52 (+0.87)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 37.01 (+0.15)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 10 17.62 (+0.69)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 1 97.17 (-0.09)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 46.04 (-1.19)          The Partner (PRTNR) 150000 46.04 (-1.19)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 51.52 (+0.87)          King Conan (CONA2) 150000 51.52 (+0.87)          Closing Night (CLSNT) 30 2.30 (0.00)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 1.93 (-0.07)          Hope (HOPE) 100000 11.84 (+1.49)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 1000 49.03 (-0.09)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 100000 1.93 (-0.07)          King Conan (CONA2) 25000 51.52 (+0.87)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 75000 87.38 (-1.05)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.15 (-0.52)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 10.07 (-0.01)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 10.07 (-0.01)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 87.38 (-1.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 87.38 (-1.05)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 9.37 (-0.10)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 9.37 (-0.10)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 110.08 (-0.66)          Josh Brolin (JBROL) 25000 110.08 (-0.66)