SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Box office is a four-way battle.

Four new films and a wide expansion compete for moviegoers’ attention in a crowded weekend at the box office. Clint Eastwood [CEAST] may come out slightly ahead of the pack with the baseball drama Trouble with the Curve [TCURV]. Eastwood was much maligned for his speech at the Republican National Convention, but the much talked about routine brought awareness to his first starring role since 2008’s Gran Torino. That film was a $148 million hit, which indicated the 82-year-old still has legions of fans.  Co-stars Amy Adams [AMADA] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] should help broaden the demographic for the PG-13 rated sports movie.  Playing in 3212 theaters, Trouble with the Curve could hit $15 million.

Relativity’s House at the End of the Street [ENDST] will test the drawing power of Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR], coming off the blockbuster The Hunger Games. The PG-13 rated thriller is right in the wheelhouse of its target audience of female teens and young women. Breaking into 3083 theaters, House at the End of the Street may sell for $14 million.

Jake Gyllenhaal [JGYLL] and Michael Pena [MPENA] play LAPD officers in the R-rated actioner End of Watch [ENDWT] shot in a gritty style similar to the TV show COPS. Open Road has marketed the film heavily to sports fans as well as the Hispanic market. The film has earned excellent reviews, which could even bring in the high-brow crowd. End of Watch looks to roll up $14 million from 2730 locations.

Lionsgate’s Dredd 3D [DREDD] stars Karl Urban [KURBA] in the role Sylvester Stallone played in 1995’s Judge Dredd. The R-rated sci-fi actioner’s appeal appears limited to male fans of the genre, where it has to compete against Resident Evil: Retribution [RESE5]. Presiding 2506 theaters, Dredd 3D may execute just $10 million. Resident Evil: Retribution suffered from franchise fatigue as the fifth installment had the worst debut since the original film. The sequel looks to tumble 60% to $8 million in its second weekend.

After a record per theater average opening, The Master [MASTR] expands wide into 788 theaters. Paul Thomas Anderson’s [PTAND] period drama about a Scientology-like religious movement will attract moviegoers eager to check out the first buzzworthy film of the award season. The Master may collect $7 million this weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CEAST, TCURV, AMADA, JTIMB, ENDST, JLAWR, JGYLL, MPENA, ENDWT, DREDD, KURBA, RESE5, MASTR, PTAND

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 20, 2012 @ 04:13 PM 6515 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 10000 46.77 (-0.35)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 10000 4.11 (-0.19)          Hey Bear (HEYBR) 10000 4.11 (-0.19)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 5000 31.94 (-0.56)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 150000 63.67 (-0.21)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 10000 44.25 (-0.47)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 10000 44.25 (-0.47)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 30000 11.81 (-1.27)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 40000 11.81 (-1.27)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5000 73.39 (-2.89)          Fast Forever aka Fast X Part 2 (FAF11) 5000 114.88 (+0.38)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 10000 17.89 (+0.61)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 88.55 (+1.88)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 3000 50.82 (+0.84)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 8000 50.82 (+0.84)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 20000 15.71 (+1.40)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 3000 15.71 (+1.40)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 50000 15.00 (0.00)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 5000 148.32 (-0.52)          Mercy (MRCY1) 50000 24.25 (-1.15)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 88.55 (+1.88)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 25000 6.16 (+1.16)          Dhurandhar (DHURA) 38120 17.82 (+0.08)          Spirit (SPRIT) 149999 4.62 (-0.07)          Dhurandhar (DHURA) 55305 17.82 (+0.08)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 1.38 (0.00)          Dhurandhar (DHURA) 55305 17.82 (+0.08)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 1.38 (0.00)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 149999 5.33 (-0.05)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 20000 15.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid $100M Blockbuster (HMAID.BW) 25000 6.16 (+1.16)          Oh, the Places You'll Go (OTPYG) 150000 88.55 (+1.88)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 500 263.61 (+0.72)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 149999 15.71 (+1.40)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 150000 15.71 (+1.40)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 27.26 (-0.53)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 108.59 (-0.66)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 1 108.59 (-0.66)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 24999 115.30 (+0.01)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 32.86 (-2.99)          GOAT (TGOAT) 900 64.01 (+0.15)          The Last Adventures Of Constance (CVERT) 2000 0.15 (-0.02)