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Playing & Trading Strategy

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yes... jaymel Feb 25, 12:16

Nicely Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 25, 18:58

Does anyone have historical data for predicted box office sales? Or does anyone know if there is a data set available anywhere on the web? brianstorm Feb 25, 10:46

Yes, there's over 4 years of box office predictions in this spreadsheet RogerMore Feb 25, 10:52

Thank you so much RogerMore, that is exactly what I was hoping for! brianstorm Feb 25, 10:58

Collected, week by week {nm} RogerMore Feb 25, 11:06

That's impressive. Thanks again! {nm} brianstorm Feb 25, 11:28

Nice more data for the regression models. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 15:40

Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office database, with adjust and delist estimators for you to try. RogerMore Feb 24, 14:20

um, holy crap this is amazing? {nm} Moviesnob Feb 24, 14:38

Wow, good stuff!! {nm} eyescovered Feb 24, 18:35

finally had a chance to take a peek...holy smokes! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 22:41

oh...and thanks for doing this! {nm} tealfan Feb 24, 23:34

That is awesome. You've really outdone yourself. Thanks! {nm} Willroast Feb 24, 22:43

2 competitor kaigee {nm} mike255 Feb 25, 06:58

Hmm, every interesting. I could implement a nice regression model on all that data, and do BO predictions. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 07:01

Yeah, letting the number-crunchers have a go at that sort of stuff and seeing the result is one of my main motivations for sharing the info. RogerMore Feb 25, 07:55

So you've run Linear Regressions? I guess it a matter of identifying the right set of features to get the best fit. elchan2012 Feb 25, 15:33

Only to see what relationships there are between early indicators and delist. RogerMore Feb 25, 17:04

(So I think you can do it with two factors - target audience and level of audience interest) {nm} RogerMore Feb 25, 17:07

This data is a little more complicated. I'm going to work on a regression for the predictions database you have above, first. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 19:47

(Actually, Three - I forgot "time of year") {nm} RogerMore Feb 26, 03:52

Wow..that's a lot of work...thanks for the effort...much appreciated! {nm} Flash Feb 25, 09:51

WOWZER - That's Impressive. A Tip O' The Hat. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 25, 19:03

Have a lot of extra H$ just sitting in my account. Any strategies for putting them use? Not stock / bond specific, just strategies! {nm} JustaGuy Feb 23, 15:43

You only have 420 mil. I could burn through that in SBOs alone... However, I digress. (more) PVL Admin Feb 24, 01:12

Of course, all of this (and more) is available in the Port Value League description area of the league you are in... {nm} PVL Admin Feb 24, 01:15

You don't have to radar all the SBO, just use this search to find every SBO with a dROI above 2, for instance ... elchan2012 Feb 24, 10:03

Penny stocks {mainly} and Slow bleeder paid of handsomely in first week alone - nice boost to a stagnant port - THANKS! {nm} JustaGuy Feb 28, 17:42

Could someone provide the link to Kaigee's site? {nm} JustaGuy Feb 24, 10:12

KAIGEE. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 24, 10:44

FISH GIVING {nm} PVL Admin Feb 24, 11:58

Under the COMMUNITY tab at the top of your page, there is a link to HSX fansites. Kaigee and more are there. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 24, 11:57

FISH TEACHING {nm} PVL Admin Feb 24, 11:58

"Light a fire for a man and he'll be warm for a night; light a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life." DTravel Feb 25, 02:33

Technically your would be warm, buy you won't feel it after a certain point your brain shuts down sensations.and you won't feel it. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 25, 07:05

Invest in every fund, if not already. {nm} edzep - Port Monkey! Feb 24, 05:00

Nah, Rocket's advice (PVL Admin, above) is better. Much better! {nm} edzep - Port Monkey! Feb 24, 05:02

Short every development MST you can find. {nm} ndmaster Feb 24, 07:25

Please check the Movies Board under the Thread 'So I've Got A Free Billion. <See Inside>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 24, 07:41

NEW LEAGUE FOR FUND MANAGERS (only). Please check your personal leagues for invite. AwardsFund Feb 23, 13:39

AWARD report to shareholders PVL Admin Feb 21, 20:26

One questions, why do you not like Lemurs? They are cute, intelligent, and our oldest living relative. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 22, 06:22

It's a limited that consistently bleeds. nothing against Lemurs (the creature), but chose to short the stock. {nm} AwardsFund Feb 22, 11:29

Tagging initial report to shareholders [AWARD] {nm} AwardsFund Feb 22, 12:19

MILESTONE: Top 100 2014 With A YTD Port. 170.0 MILL Would Be # 66 On The 2014 YTD List. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 20, 22:16

Claiming #66 in February on a running YTD list... that you actually do not appear on... is not a milestone RazorHawk Feb 21, 10:10

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 21, 10:18

Good Luck AWARD fund oneman Feb 20, 21:13

I'll do my best. :) {nm} AwardsFund Feb 20, 21:25

Best of luck Rocket! {nm} slappydavid Feb 21, 04:06

Good luck! Take care of my baby ;) {nm} eyescovered Feb 21, 04:25

Under New Management :) {nm} AwardsFund Feb 21, 11:39

Haha, sorry bout all the potato chip crumbs and soda cans all over the place ;) {nm} eyescovered Feb 21, 11:49

It's all cleaned up now. Will be replaced with popcorn and water bottles. ;) {nm} AwardsFund Feb 21, 21:10

AWARD has made all initial purchases. Open for business. {nm} AwardsFund Feb 21, 15:17

THERE SEEMS TO BE SOME SORT OF DISCONNECT HERE .... project Feb 19, 17:16

if movies don't report to ERC, starbonds will detach. BUT, the movie can still delist using alternative sources {nm} lapuckfan Feb 19, 17:26

I had always understood (MISunderstood?) that the stock always delisted according to ERC ... there have been project Feb 20, 17:40

Glossary entry for cash-out price: "ERC does not report box-office for a film, alternate sources may be used." {nm} socby19 Feb 20, 20:42

(JTTSP) has been permanently Removed from (CBLAN). {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 19, 18:48

I won 50k cash playing Classic Cash Today mike255 Feb 19, 14:15

Time to Buy that PowerBall Ticket. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 19, 16:12

yes before the luck wears off {nm} tealfan Feb 19, 16:34

The two events are not dependents. For Powerall, he had very tiny amounts of luck to start with, so he's bound to run out. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 20, 20:32

damn, i just dont understand how some of this works, at the start of the day, im down 100 k, before ANYTHING moves, i just dont get it {nm} horrorfanatic Feb 19, 00:17

reset trading/flipping/day trading. I often wake up 1-2 million down. {nm} forlorne Feb 19, 06:42

post todays delisting... jaymel Feb 18, 19:36

Nicely Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 18, 20:12

Good Advice: There is a description for derivatives, read it *before* you invest. {nm} islander Feb 18, 18:58

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** enigma Feb 18, 20:04

No need to Tag (ROBOC). Please see BOM Daily Box Office for (ROBOC). RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 18, 20:09

I did check that out ty! enigma Feb 18, 20:11

Confused about RoboCop "Call" Derivative. I had 20,000 shares bought at 2.00 for $40000. Does this mean it cashed out for only $1,200? CactusLand Feb 18, 17:41

The strike prices was $25, actual was $25.06. Somebody please explain it because CactusLand Feb 18, 17:44

Weekend box office gross (25.06) - strike price (25) = cash out of 0.06 per share. {nm} socby19 Feb 18, 18:11

You are correct. Break even for this particular call would have been 25 strike + 2 premium = 27 Oleg Max Feb 18, 18:15

Correct-A-Mundo. See Inside. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 18, 18:20

wrong enigma Feb 18, 18:45

30m - 25m = 5m = $H5.00/share {nm} enigma Feb 18, 18:46

only Fri-Mon counts, per the stock description {nm} lapuckfan Feb 18, 18:47

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** enigma Feb 18, 19:56

here you go. box office this weekend was 25 not 30. cash out is correct. You're adding in box office from Wed (2.8) and Thur (2.1) Moviesnob Feb 18, 20:03

TY! Moviesnob enigma Feb 18, 20:08

Is there a trick to the Classic Cash game? {nm} AgentEvil Feb 17, 06:17

If there is a trick, I don't know it. When I remember to play, I just click same location poster every time. One would think Oleg Max Feb 17, 07:46

I also click the same position every time, and win less than 1/7th of the time. Bit odd. {nm} CG63 Feb 17, 08:29

There used to be a trick, but it was fixed, and now it is just random {nm} RazorHawk Feb 17, 07:48

Six (6) Classic Cash Wins in January 2014 for ROTO YTD Port. Most ROTO Wins in 1 month - Eleven (11). RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 17, 09:40

Using a RNG won't help, since the two events are independent. You can click the same movie everyday and still have a 1/7 chance of winning elchan2012 Feb 17, 10:47

*Calling all PHD's in Mathematics.* {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 17, 11:08

LOL, not worth a PhD, undergrad stuff. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 18, 13:31

yap.. unless these two events are mutually dependent on each other.. this scenario is purely random and coincidental ;-) {nm} karspov Feb 18, 05:27

pick Bullit when it comes up and hit 25% of the time. the rest are luck? {nm} DASavage Feb 18, 08:45

the trick is to be lucky....once i hit it 4 days in a row, ill never see that kind of luck again, i havent won it in 2 weeks {nm} horrorfanatic Feb 18, 09:16

So, I'm reading up on starbonds, which I've never played. Am I correct in saying the bond adjusts according to the delist price of a film? CactusLand Feb 16, 07:34

Basically, the total gross of past delisted movies should be ignored when calculating future starbond adjusts? CactusLand Feb 16, 07:58

Use the delist price for the new movie being added; use total gross (up to 250mill) for movies that have already delisted {nm} RazorHawk Feb 16, 08:08

Thank you for clarifying! {nm} CactusLand Feb 16, 08:33

I've been causually playing this game since 2010, and have a portfolio of about $400 million. Some people seem to get that in months. CactusLand Feb 15, 08:46

Playing starbond adjusts is an obvious one. Look in the Glossary to get an idea of how Starbonds work. RogerMore Feb 15, 09:08

thanks! I'll check them out. {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 10:11

I play a version i call HSGuess {nm} DASavage Feb 16, 09:06

At the bottom of description in my leagues, there are a series of tips. Read. Joining optional. PVL Admin Feb 15, 10:48

Thanks that was very helpful . {nm} CactusLand Feb 16, 05:37

See link inside to something I posted a while back DTravel Feb 15, 14:07

Can I link to this in my leagues and caption it "Casual Player Strategy"? {nm} PVL Admin Feb 15, 14:26

Sure, go ahead. {nm} DTravel Feb 15, 22:45

Added, thanks! I think that will help "casual" players a lot. {nm} PVL Admin Feb 16, 12:20

Thanks! {nm} CactusLand Feb 16, 05:37

Excuse the noob question, but does President's day mean a 4-day 2.2 adjust? {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 03:09

Basically, what formula is Robocop using? 5 day opening, or 4 day? {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 03:17

Yes, and in Robocop's case it's "4-day weekend * 2.2 + Wed + Th". The calendar is your friend {nm} RogerMore Feb 15, 04:31

Which calendar are you referring to? {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 06:05

The "market calendar" say that. So what calendar should I be looking at? {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 06:09

Nevermind. I see it. Thanks. {nm} CactusLand Feb 15, 06:10

The 'Market Calendar' which is Found under 'News & Events' at the Top of the Page (See Inside). RotoHockeyYTD2014 Feb 15, 06:11

Is the Change Today on my port in real time? I can't figure why I'm in the red when I hold max shares of 10 of top 12 movers. {nm} BuenaOnda Feb 13, 15:32

Maybe u lose money in other stock {nm} mike255 Feb 14, 05:59

The top 10 movie movers account for 0.95% of your port. {nm} elchan2012 Feb 14, 08:05

Sometimes I hate the exchange and the way stocks inexplicably move - due to players playing the players... **2, here's looking at you! {nm} Facto Feb 09, 16:10

If this game was any easier, EVERYONE would be billionaires. ndmaster Feb 12, 07:48



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Rose (ROSE) 1000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 50000 70.00 (0.00)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mu (TMNT4) 100 74.98 (+0.08)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Justin Chon (JCHON) 25000 60.90 (+0.25)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 222.14 (-1.51)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 50000 52.18 (-0.85)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 100000 20.63 (+0.85)          Untitled Original Comedy From Ju (UOCJA) 149900 45.08 (+0.07)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 25000 222.14 (-1.51)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 25000 75.13 (+1.01)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 150000 48.26 (+0.88)          Perfect Girl (PRFCG) 25000 7.09 (-0.02)          Helldivers (HELDV) 150000 84.70 (-1.75)          Ocean's (OCEN5) 50000 52.18 (-0.85)          Perfect Girl (PRFCG) 25000 7.09 (-0.02)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 6.45 (-0.20)          Gemma Arterton (GARTE) 25000 8.19 (-0.29)          Jacob Elordi (JELOR) 25000 14.92 (+0.40)          Jacob Elordi (JELOR) 25000 14.92 (+0.40)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Gemma Arterton (GARTE) 25000 8.19 (-0.29)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.84 (-0.39)          Clarissa (CLRIS) 150000 4.84 (-0.39)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 25000 70.00 (0.00)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.15 (+0.64)          Haley Lu Richardson (HLRIC) 25000 11.36 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Baton (BATON) 150000 6.15 (+0.64)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          David Dastmalchian (DDAST) 25000 5.57 (+0.60)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          David Dastmalchian (DDAST) 25000 5.57 (+0.60)          Kokuho (KOKUH) 150000 1.23 (-0.02)          Jason Segel (JSEGE) 20000 24.35 (+0.12)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 18000 60.17 (+0.28)          Halle Berry (HBERR) 25000 49.68 (-1.33)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 85.01 (-0.53)          My Father's Shadow (MFSHD) 150000 0.17 (+0.03)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 36.15 (+1.26)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 36.15 (+1.26)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 100 28.01 (-0.05)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 150000 20.63 (+0.85)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 150000 20.63 (+0.85)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 150000 3.87 (+0.19)          Charli XCX (CXCX) 18750 36.18 (-0.34)          Passenger (PSNGR) 149999 23.21 (+0.17)          Mr. Irrevelant (MREVL) 149999 16.64 (+0.18)