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Playing & Trading Strategy

You are looking only at the call/put option, but there is more to it than that...Consider the rest of the numbers...

Posted by: Port Value League Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 02, 13:23 in response to skeptech's post Numbers to consider

I am certain that the larger brains in the audience can educate us way more than I can, but I also believe everyone will agree that the profit/value of a stock is not related to its call/put; in this case, 155.  155 is simply a call/put OPTION; essentially, another 2 "unrelated" stocks altogether.  The value of the moviestock is currently 367.69.  At a 2.7 adjust ratio, IRON 2 does not need to beat Dark Knight to make profit.  It needs to break 136.18. 

So, even with a WO of less than 155, the MOVIESTOCK can make money if the Weekend adjust takes it to any number higher than 367.69.  Last R/S numbers put it at mid 150's.  The most recent is that it might be an uptake of another 5 Mil.  Thus, the Post Weekend Adjust on this movie COULD be anywhere from 405-432; a difference +37.31 to +64.31 (if the RS numbers are accurate).  Assuming there is no calculator handy, that's a POTENTIAL profit of 1.865M to 3.215M based on R/S predict. 

The call/put stocks need Ironman to beat Dark Knight, but the moviestock does not.





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