HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

You are looking only at the call/put option, but there is more to it than that...Consider the rest of the numbers...

Posted by: Port Value League Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 02, 13:23 in response to skeptech's post Numbers to consider

I am certain that the larger brains in the audience can educate us way more than I can, but I also believe everyone will agree that the profit/value of a stock is not related to its call/put; in this case, 155.  155 is simply a call/put OPTION; essentially, another 2 "unrelated" stocks altogether.  The value of the moviestock is currently 367.69.  At a 2.7 adjust ratio, IRON 2 does not need to beat Dark Knight to make profit.  It needs to break 136.18. 

So, even with a WO of less than 155, the MOVIESTOCK can make money if the Weekend adjust takes it to any number higher than 367.69.  Last R/S numbers put it at mid 150's.  The most recent is that it might be an uptake of another 5 Mil.  Thus, the Post Weekend Adjust on this movie COULD be anywhere from 405-432; a difference +37.31 to +64.31 (if the RS numbers are accurate).  Assuming there is no calculator handy, that's a POTENTIAL profit of 1.865M to 3.215M based on R/S predict. 

The call/put stocks need Ironman to beat Dark Knight, but the moviestock does not.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Man I Love (TMILV) 25000 4.84 (+1.15)          Gatto (GATTO) 150000 121.02 (+0.33)          Jane (JANE1) 149996 13.73 (+1.67)          Jane (JANE1) 149992 13.73 (+1.67)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 149992 9.56 (+1.62)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 150000 7.50 (-0.50)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 149992 9.56 (+1.62)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 20000 286.72 (+0.40)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          It Ends (ITNDS) 149992 5.48 (-0.73)          It Ends (ITNDS) 149992 5.48 (-0.73)          Possession (PSESN) 149992 33.30 (-0.97)          Possession (PSESN) 149992 33.30 (-0.97)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 150000 21.48 (+0.13)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 4000 234.22 (+0.49)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 5666 11.63 (+0.95)          The Chosen Season 6 (TCS61) 16009 11.63 (+0.95)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 150000 21.48 (+0.13)          Michael (MJACK) 38799 213.02 (+1.35)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 11000 9.56 (+1.62)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 50000 229.71 (-0.50)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 50000 229.71 (-0.50)          Speed the Plow (SPLOW) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 50000 229.71 (-0.50)          Barracuda (BRCUD) 100000 7.50 (-0.50)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 100 21.48 (+0.13)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 150000 9.56 (+1.62)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.84 (+1.15)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 100 9.56 (+1.62)          Fleur (FLEUR) 150000 6.96 (-0.78)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.00 (+0.56)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.00 (+0.56)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 11.40 (+0.46)          Hershey (HERSH) 150000 11.40 (+0.46)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.50 (+0.41)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.50 (+0.41)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 33.30 (-0.97)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 33.30 (-0.97)          Jane (JANE1) 20000 13.73 (+1.67)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 25000 9.56 (+1.62)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 25000 4.84 (+1.15)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 1 11.07 (-1.37)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 50000 11.07 (-1.37)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 25000 15.03 (-0.65)          It Ends (ITNDS) 25000 5.48 (-0.73)          Creed IV (CREE4) 150000 29.98 (+0.06)          Fleur (FLEUR) 25000 6.96 (-0.78)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 25000 11.49 (-0.70)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 25000 11.07 (-1.37)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 33.30 (-0.97)