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Playing & Trading Strategy

You are looking only at the call/put option, but there is more to it than that...Consider the rest of the numbers...

Posted by: Port Value League Admin (a.k.a Rocket123) on May 02, 13:23 in response to skeptech's post Numbers to consider

I am certain that the larger brains in the audience can educate us way more than I can, but I also believe everyone will agree that the profit/value of a stock is not related to its call/put; in this case, 155.  155 is simply a call/put OPTION; essentially, another 2 "unrelated" stocks altogether.  The value of the moviestock is currently 367.69.  At a 2.7 adjust ratio, IRON 2 does not need to beat Dark Knight to make profit.  It needs to break 136.18. 

So, even with a WO of less than 155, the MOVIESTOCK can make money if the Weekend adjust takes it to any number higher than 367.69.  Last R/S numbers put it at mid 150's.  The most recent is that it might be an uptake of another 5 Mil.  Thus, the Post Weekend Adjust on this movie COULD be anywhere from 405-432; a difference +37.31 to +64.31 (if the RS numbers are accurate).  Assuming there is no calculator handy, that's a POTENTIAL profit of 1.865M to 3.215M based on R/S predict. 

The call/put stocks need Ironman to beat Dark Knight, but the moviestock does not.





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.60 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.65 (+0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.90 (+0.25)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.30 (+0.03)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 100000 24.82 (+0.67)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 20.78 (-0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 12.09 (+0.29)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 12.09 (+0.29)          Gwyneth Paltrow (GPALT) 25000 157.16 (-0.50)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.82 (+0.63)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 25000 63.12 (+0.25)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 18.15 (+0.75)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.58 (-0.27)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.58 (-0.27)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 20.78 (-0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 75000 25.24 (-0.43)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 25000 58.90 (+0.16)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.29 (0.00)          Andra Day (ADAY) 25000 57.24 (-0.17)          Dafne Keen (DKEEN) 25000 166.49 (-0.50)          Auli'i Cravalho (ACRAV) 25000 200.88 (+0.50)          Jay Chandrasekhar (JYCHA) 25000 15.02 (-0.10)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 101.18 (+0.66)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 101.18 (+0.66)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 25000 69.36 (+0.50)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 25000 69.36 (+0.50)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 11.39 (-0.10)          Tim Heidecker (THEID) 25000 5.74 (+0.05)          Gabrielle Union (GUNIO) 25000 17.02 (+0.10)          Max Minghella (MMING) 25000 8.26 (-0.10)