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Playing & Trading Strategy

Yes, however, I am looking more at the opening weekend adjust....

Posted by: Flash on May 03, 08:01 in response to skeptech's post Some more numbers

Whether or not it beats Ep. 1 I'm not as concerned about, since the run up in price on it has already gotten most of my profit.  I play movies on opening weekend adjusts, as that's where the additional $$ can be made.  If the movie adjusts UP opening weekend...I don't think it will be more than 20 points or so.... however, if it adjusts DOWN, then a short may offer much more profit since the stock will also likely drop in price post adjust as well, and there would be no reason to reverse a position if someone held it long, hoping to take advantage of the post adjust drop in price as well.

I'm thinking more in terms of the adjust of opening weekend... Whether Ep. 2 beats #1 in the long run, I'm not as concerned with.  Opening weekends offer one of the best ways to build your port with movies that adjust up or down, depending on how you hold them.





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Bitter Christmas (BITRC) 1 0.68 (0.00)          Jared Harris (JHARR) 25000 24.83 (-0.69)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Jared Harris (JHARR) 25000 24.83 (-0.69)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Leslie Mann (LMANN) 25000 17.66 (-0.50)          Kit Connor (KICON) 10000 54.00 (0.00)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 25000 34.67 (-1.12)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          George MacKay (GMACK) 25000 0.25 (-13.36)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 50000 24.52 (+2.33)          George MacKay (GMACK) 25000 0.25 (-13.36)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 60.24 (-2.65)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 25000 60.24 (-2.65)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 10000 20.00 (0.00)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 5000 35.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 20000 86.50 (+1.79)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.52 (+2.33)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 37.29 (-0.38)          Treasure Island (TISLN) 75000 61.66 (+2.18)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 35.52 (-21.93)          J.K. Simmons (JKSIM) 25000 35.52 (-21.93)          Phoebe Dynevor (PDYNE) 25000 2.30 (+0.07)          Mason Thames (MTHAM) 25000 93.37 (+1.53)          Primetime H$10 Put (PRMTM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island H$20 Call (FRGIS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Primetime H$10 Put (PRMTM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Callum Turner (CTURN) 25000 16.13 (-14.64)          Primetime - Opening Weekend (PRMTM.OW) 100000 10.00 (0.00)          Christmas At The Kringles (CKRNG) 10000 8.04 (-0.05)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Put (HOTBS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast - Opening Wee (HOTBS.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          Heart of the Beast H$15 Call (HOTBS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Rebecca Ferguson (RFERG) 25000 112.78 (-0.34)          Forgotten Island H$20 Put (FRGIS.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Forgotten Island - Opening Weeke (FRGIS.OW) 100000 20.00 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 10000 30.56 (-0.51)          Jennifer Hudson (JHUDS) 25000 90.90 (+5.22)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 10000 47.89 (+0.31)          Forgotten Island H$20 Call (FRGIS.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Zach Braff (ZBRAF) 25000 10.66 (-12.69)          Avengers: Endgame Encore - Openi (AVN4E.OW) 100000 35.00 (0.00)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 57.79 (-1.17)