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Hasn't BoxOffice.com predicted the Apes opening considerably stronger than CBALN for a long time.. ? {nm}

Posted by: Facto on Jul 17, 18:02 in response to Paul2k's post I'm surprised they have the Apes going higher than...

RS: [CAPAM] high 40s [FWBFT] low 20s TheWeekendWarrior Jul 17, 17:48

high 40s??? really??? {nm} David_Francis Jul 17, 17:56

Could Potter's dominance of all things cinema cause the tracking for Captain to be pushed lower than it should be? {nm} David_Francis Jul 17, 17:57

I asw the trailer for CAPAM, in front of TF3, and found it utterly uninteresting. {nm} Facto Jul 17, 18:01

i agree, looks rly bad and boring. {nm} kalelanalang Jul 17, 18:12

^ +1 but then I'm not much for superheroes. Prefer to watch ape revenge! :) {nm} Jane_Citizen Jul 17, 18:26

they should play moar trailers that make u feel sad for the ape (the reason he gets put in a cage) and less apes going wild in the city. {nm} kalelanalang Jul 17, 18:35

The trailer in Australia shows the reason he gets put into a cage, but the one on HSX doesn't seem to. Jane_Citizen Jul 17, 18:44

i disagree. looks like an excellent action packed film. marvel is on a roll afterall. {nm} Nightfury82 Jul 17, 19:43

I think it looks horrible. Chris Evans is terrible as well. What a horrible pick. {nm} Juiced Jul 18, 04:36

I'm surprised they have the Apes going higher than Captain and Cowboys. {nm} Paul2k Jul 17, 17:59

Hasn't BoxOffice.com predicted the Apes opening considerably stronger than CBALN for a long time.. ? Facto Jul 17, 18:02

Their long-term page currently guesses 33M for CBALN and 32M for RSAPE. {nm} second gary Jul 17, 18:13

Hmm..you're right, up until this week, they did have the damn dirty apes far outpacing the Cowboys. I just think that recent trailers and Paul2k Jul 17, 18:17

But "comedy" isn't a genre in the same way that "superhero-with-cape, forgetting-the-warning-of-Edna-Mole" is a genre. So, .... second gary Jul 17, 18:40

Oops. How did this get here? {nm} second gary Jul 17, 18:41

completely agree. as long as they remain funny, people will go. laughs don't get tired like genre conventions can. {nm} Jane_Citizen Jul 17, 18:45

The trailer for Apes looks pretty great to me. {nm} Jane_Citizen Jul 17, 18:15

Planet of the Apes adjusts to a $95m OW. Nothing unreasonable about RS's number. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Jul 17, 19:08

does it come out on a holiday weekend? (Apes) Jane_Citizen Jul 17, 20:48

go RSAPE...and thanks for the numbers {nm} lobogotti Jul 17, 18:16

Im definitely more interested in RSAPE than the cowboys and aliens movie. {nm} Dorfman Jul 17, 18:27

yeah, I find myself wanting to see it (Apey) for the CGI....similar to Avatar. though I will see CBALN, just not really digging it. {nm} lobogotti Jul 17, 18:29

that number is bad for CHNUP imo. FWBFT of course is playing to a younger, hipper crowd, but still. {nm} lobogotti Jul 17, 18:27

My question is, is there such a thing as "comedy fatigue", where too much of a particular genre in too short a timespan lowers BO? {nm} Paul2k Jul 17, 18:33

if it is FWBFT, CHNUP and 30MOL will suffer (at least one). they all look equally decent....i think 30MOL looks better than the other two. {nm} lobogotti Jul 17, 18:36

No; see above. Audiences are pretty good at tuning in to the difference between generic features and derivative features. {nm} second gary Jul 17, 18:45

Interesting numbers for both Cap and FWBFT, but I want to see MTC before I say anymore. As for CHNUP I'm betting the low tracking numbers wrongturn687 Jul 17, 18:54

I'm a little surprised that CAPAM dropped from last week (high 50s), as I'd thought this phase of the ad-campaign was doing a good job. second gary Jul 17, 20:11

Or will the summer of comedies keep rolling with FWBFT, CSLOV, CHNUP etc...haven't the long-range estimators been low on all the comedies? {nm} Paul2k Jul 17, 18:35

normally, but i think MTC was very close on HRBOS, way off on BRDSM and a bit low on BDTCH {nm} lobogotti Jul 17, 18:38

Could Smurfs be the next Alvin and the Chipmunks? Seems like Smurfs have been around longer and have more awareness than the Munks. skamanfu Jul 17, 21:02

Chipmunks have been around since the late 50's {nm} stevenj1127 Jul 17, 21:23

Had no idea the Chipmunks had been around that long. {nm} skamanfu Jul 17, 22:22

They've both been around since the late 50's {nm} owen111 Jul 18, 08:15

Donnie Darko never pointed out the illogic of the chipmunks. So, no, the Smurfs could not be the next Alvin and the Chipmunks, despite... second gary Jul 17, 21:54

The Smurfs cartoon has been in regular rotation on Boomerang for awhile alfpaul Jul 17, 23:59

No one outside the US knows the chipmunks, the smurfs have a bigger international audience petz Jul 18, 01:20

If no one outside the US knows about the chipmunks than how come the squeakqual did 4m more international than domestic? {nm} Dorfman Jul 18, 06:05

And the first one did a respectible 144m international {nm} Dorfman Jul 18, 06:06

I meant prior to the films, it doesn't mean that they couldn't have been a success {nm} petz Jul 18, 06:56

n 3 grammys had a platinumPrior to the films back in the 50's and 50's they wo record. 4 gold records in the 80's. I'm sure they were known. Dorfman Jul 18, 07:54





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