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Thats awfully low for MADG3, it should have at least a 18-26-20 weekend.. Just my guess ;-) {nm}

Posted by: karspov on Jun 08, 16:49 in response to Paul2k's post DL: PROME Fri 26/OW 68 (according to rival studios),...

DL: PROME Fri 26/OW 68 (according to rival studios), MADG3 18/57 Paul2k Jun 08, 16:42

I am going to be on the wrong end of the OW... AGAIN. Geez. {nm} dioneta Jun 08, 16:42

You and me both. Two weeks in a row. {nm} Tanker Jun 08, 17:07

Derivatives aside, do you play only openers and news, or are you long-term invested in some things? {nm} Dave3626 Jun 08, 18:00

I play a mix of both. I probably won't be playing the OW ever again. {nm} Tanker Jun 08, 18:10

Don't give up on that. I play the OWs off and on. I enjoy them because they close on Fridays which is where the movie stocks should as well. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:17

Could I get an extra 4M Prometheus? ;) {nm} thatpj Jun 08, 16:43

Thats awfully low for MADG3, it should have at least a 18-26-20 weekend.. Just my guess ;-) karspov Jun 08, 16:49

MADG2 was 17.6-27.5-18.0 in November 2008. {nm} second gary Jun 08, 17:37

yikes!...I swear I only bought one ticket this morning! {nm} tealfan Jun 08, 16:50

Wait until you see your credit card bill. There was a slight error. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 20:43

My first million dollar loss...yay! {nm} ShaneSpear Jun 08, 16:50

Will readily admit I was wrong on PROME :-), and I'm happy for its success as I enjoyed the movie quite a lot {nm} xiayun Jun 08, 17:04

there were a lot of people who took Prometheus possibly doing well personally for some reason. You had a calm, reasonable view point {nm} Moviesnob Jun 08, 17:14

People do that for some reason. One can't help but remember a certain someone who was extremely anti Hunger Games. mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:15

Well, it is pretty easy to take thing personally when you are getting attacked for your opinion. {nm} thatpj Jun 08, 21:38

Depends on how you present your opinion. {nm} mrbeankc Jun 09, 00:21

You are a big man to admit you made a mistake in your analysis. I've made more money than I've lost following your analysis. Tanker Jun 08, 17:17

As long as I'm beating my wife in the game I don't care is my philosophy {nm} mrbeankc Jun 08, 19:19

My Prometheus comment, based on not having seen the movie, in the body. Dales Jun 08, 21:07

Continued... Dales Jun 08, 21:10

"premature epostulation" heh, good one... Well, anyhoo, Terminator (the first) had only stellar reviews. PROME is controversial because of Facto Jun 10, 14:42

FOX is now predicting 56 {nm} RazorHawk Jun 08, 17:08

"But Fox, the studio that specializes in lowering expectations, disputes thos [sic] numbers." {nm} Dales Jun 08, 17:13

So everyone giving up on the PROME Friday front loading theory already? elchan Jun 08, 17:14

That's not taking into account the Fri-Sat drop that will definitely come. Fox's number would be a more reasonable estimate. {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Jun 08, 17:22

agreed with this. And great for Mad3, opening much better than I anticipated. {nm} ShawnMR Jun 08, 17:28

I hope so cause I forgot to flip the OW. {nm} ryancoke2 Jun 08, 18:43

Underpredicted Prometheus by about 10M, but got Madagascar spot on. {nm} riczhang Jun 08, 17:29

No, no youdid not. {nm} magicdreamer Jun 10, 06:08

Shorted it at $173.49, covered at $155.15, made my money and got out, if the mediocre WOM is any indication... austpow Jun 08, 17:35

Mediocre? I think WOM is going to be brutal as the film sucked. {nm} LonePirate Jun 08, 17:43

Mediocre, brutal, and sucked: all words that could describe Contraband, which I actually just paid to see. I want my 4.99 back. {nm} Dave3626 Jun 08, 18:01

Hear, hear... {nm} Facto Jun 08, 18:07

I was at 64 PROME / MADG3 62... if those numbers move a bit, this could be my first hit weekend in awhile. {nm} dsbman Jun 08, 17:36

My guess is that this is helped by the IMAX/3D gross. With Avengers and now this...now everything will be in IMAX 3D... Catzan Jun 08, 19:20

And for once...I was around before halt to take advantage of my theory and long the OW. =) Catzan Jun 08, 19:21

Can't say I'm surprised. Everyone I knew was excited about it and I haven't heard a poor thing yet. {nm} MiyazakiFan Jun 08, 19:44

How about now? Are you surprised now?? :-) {nm} Facto Jun 09, 12:55

Or how about now? {nm} magicdreamer Jun 10, 06:09

DL Update: PROME $21m Fri & $55m Wkend / MADG3 $19.5m Fri & $58m Wkend 15-May-2007 Jun 08, 22:46

Going double or nothing and shorted again. {nm} austpow Jun 08, 23:44





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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 47423 495.79 (+0.23)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.50 (+0.50)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.96 (-0.04)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.11 (+0.11)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.50 (+0.50)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.57 (0.00)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 40.48 (-0.01)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 24.54 (+0.01)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 208.83 (+1.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 208.83 (+1.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.50 (-0.04)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 2.50 (-0.04)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.54 (+0.06)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 3.54 (+0.06)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 85 164.61 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.22 (+0.36)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 77.22 (+0.36)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 7598 495.79 (+0.23)          Andrew Koji (AKOJI) 25000 50.32 (+0.16)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 150000 6.46 (+0.63)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 50000 13.27 (-0.02)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 2000 15.11 (+0.11)          Obsession (OBSSN) 50000 21.08 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 5000 145.50 (+0.50)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 15000 21.05 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.57 (0.00)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 150000 18.05 (-0.11)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (TSBDM) 150000 0.57 (+0.02)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.57 (-0.04)          A Magnificent Life (MLOMP) 150000 0.57 (-0.04)          The AI Doc: Or How I Became an A (AIDOC) 150000 1.47 (-0.02)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 149999 9.50 (-0.35)          Georgina Campbell (GCAMP) 25000 17.01 (+0.10)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 10000 17.31 (+0.64)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 10000 17.31 (+0.64)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 11.51 (+0.54)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 25000 21.06 (-0.13)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 100000 5.74 (+0.55)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.10 (+0.10)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 83.59 (+0.49)          Glen Powell (GPOWE) 25000 83.59 (+0.49)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.11 (+0.11)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.15 (+0.15)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 25000 10.14 (+0.10)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.50 (+0.50)