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...from keeping tabs on this...

Posted by: Somerset (a.k.a woods081180) on Dec 14, 17:49 in response to wrongturn687's post Nice. Interesting Numbers For Avatar And Hopefully...

it seems as a general rule kids/family films seem difficult to track accurately, people indicate an interest but don't necessarily stick to their word re.seeing it opening weekend....Sherlock Holmes seems more the type of film where people will be desperate to see it early in its run.

They don't target exactly the same audience but I would say there is an element of cross over between SH and Avatar and therefore it's possible Avatar may continue to dominate that audience segment if word of mouth is as good as the reveiws have been, and it starts to suck people in for repeat viewings.

All that said, I imagine Christmas Day opening weekend adds another level of difficulty to accurate tracking.

 

RS 12/18 notfabio Dec 14, 17:19

Thanks Notfabio. {nm} Somerset Dec 14, 17:30

Nice. Interesting Numbers For Avatar And Hopefully Sherlock Holmes Isn't Another Christmas Carol. wrongturn687 Dec 14, 17:36

...from keeping tabs on this... Somerset Dec 14, 17:49

Thanks - but where's Up in the Air and Alvin et al the Squeakel.. ? {nm} Facto Dec 14, 18:00

alvin is listed {nm} adrenalin112 Dec 14, 18:09

Up in the Air's "wide" release theatre count isn't locked for 12/25, which is probably why they didn't go with a # {nm} notfabio Dec 14, 18:33

lol ...Up In The Air's wide release is still "up in the air" {nm} RazorHawk Dec 14, 18:38

I hope the jokes in the movie are better {nm} sneak Dec 14, 18:40

Don't expect more than two or three really hearty laughs - it's much more of a drama. Tear-jerker, even. {nm} Facto Dec 14, 18:42

Thanks, notfabio! {nm} ShawnMR Dec 14, 18:31

notfabio, Do these RS numbers account for the considerable number of 3D screens and IMAX? {nm} ShawnMR Dec 14, 18:55

Yes, but it's really something of a guessing game with how many new IMAX screens and REAL D screens have since been added. {nm} notfabio Dec 14, 19:24

For Alvin, 60 in 5 days would probably mean roughly 45 over the weekend since Weds and Thurs should be slower {nm} secretstalker Dec 14, 20:42

Isn't the mult - 5 Day x 2.0? {nm} The Commish Dec 15, 05:20

Wouldn't it rather be (WE x 2.7) + previous? {nm} Facto Dec 15, 08:06

It's what Facto says. The 2.0 multiplier applies only to Memorial Day and Thanksgiving weekends {nm} RogerMore Dec 15, 09:54

actually 2.2 is memorial Day Weekend {nm} Smallville944 Dec 15, 13:26

so what does everyone figure Alvin 2 will do Fri-Sun with tracking 5 Day at Mid 60's i'm thinking 42-45m range {nm} Smallville944 Dec 15, 13:27

How accurate is the tracking... GMov Dec 15, 20:03

shouldn't youth in Revolt be in the tracking numbers since it's out on 1/8/10? {nm} Smallville944 Dec 16, 12:56





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Young Washington (YWASH) 6000 29.79 (-0.07)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 10000 2.65 (0.00)          Stepdude aka Oh Hell No (OHELN) 10000 2.65 (0.00)          Paris Paramount aka Untitled Nan (PRSPM) 5000 53.38 (-0.05)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 9.37 (+0.08)          The Breadwinner - Opening Weeken (BREDW.OW) 100000 9.37 (+0.08)          In the Grey (NGREY) 1000 10.68 (-0.02)          In the Grey (NGREY) 2000 10.68 (-0.02)          Naruto (NARUT) 10000 17.26 (-0.06)          Naruto (NARUT) 10000 17.26 (-0.06)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 150000 28.50 (+0.02)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 500 5.71 (+0.81)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 30000 16.58 (-1.01)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 500 6.81 (+0.98)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 500 12.10 (+1.07)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 150000 28.50 (+0.02)          Fonda (FONDA) 25000 9.36 (-0.99)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149999 191.10 (+1.62)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 130000 16.58 (-1.01)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 150000 28.50 (+0.02)          The Leader (LEADR) 150000 1.77 (-0.02)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 21.19 (-0.02)          Monster High (MONHI) 150000 21.19 (-0.02)          Monitor (MONTR) 86000 8.89 (+0.88)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 9.55 (-0.02)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 20000 168.92 (+0.44)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 95000 6.81 (+0.98)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 10000 3.52 (0.00)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 88762 6.81 (+0.98)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 19.57 (-0.06)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 20000 331.28 (+1.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 10000 3.52 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 5.63 (-0.11)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 331.28 (+1.00)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 79000 5.71 (+0.81)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 191.10 (+1.62)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 10000 8.53 (-0.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 2000 66.03 (+0.14)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 10000 12.55 (-0.10)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 10000 8.53 (-0.01)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 14.64 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 20000 118.85 (+0.26)          Scream 8 (SCRM8) 100 76.90 (-0.08)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 100 382.66 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 10000 14.64 (0.00)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 0.03 (+0.02)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 16.24 (-0.04)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 500 82.00 (-0.08)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 78789 12.10 (+1.07)          Lizard Music (LZMUS) 150000 16.24 (-0.04)