Movies

Seems like Monday's box office for Avatar is the real indicator for whether it has a shot at Dark Knight and even Titanic domestic. mcreilly62 Jan 05, 06:42

Take a look at the reports at the bottom of the board - this one's not trailing off anytime soon. Novice Jan 05, 07:14

Actually, all Avatar needs to do from here on in is dropoff proprtionately to what The Prince of Egypt did in 1999 to beat The Dark Knight. Inigo Jan 05, 07:17

interesting comparison - hadn't gone through all the numbers; pretty interesting inside mcreilly62 Jan 05, 07:49

Honored by a vist of one of the Prophets. If you have any questions about delist estimates ask while he is here. :)) Inigo, David and Vashta Nerada Jan 05, 10:16

IMHO, even if Avatr did $11M on Monday, it is unlikely it will surpass the Dark Knight. My schedule shows 7.5M for Monday. It will be grammar Jan 05, 07:21

You haven't done any real calculations if you believe Avatar won't pass Dark Knight with an $11 million Monday. {nm} Inigo Jan 05, 07:24

The both of youse is crazy nuts. PRNCE was a family flick, which is why it plunged 71%; If AVATR doesn't beat $7.5m, I'll eat my shirt. Novice Jan 05, 07:43

Let me explain it more clearly. Yes, yes. I know the genre differences between AVATAR and Prince of Egypt. Follow me here. Inigo Jan 05, 07:57

ha - had just posted identical analysis above; yeah, looking at prince of egypt, hard to see how it doesn't beat dark knight. {nm} mcreilly62 Jan 05, 07:59

This is a very good post, excellent info, thinking and analysis - big up! {nm} Toruk Facto Jan 05, 09:50

Excuse me? ? {nm} grammar Jan 05, 07:51

Show me a rational calculation where a $11 million Monday for Avatar leads to less than $533 million domestically. Inigo Jan 05, 08:05

Avatr Calcs Inside: (for what it's worth) :) grammar Jan 05, 08:19

I thought you had Monday at $7.5? And why the sharp dropoff on Wed/Thur? Novice Jan 05, 08:24

I have 2 different schedules .. one based on I am Legend and the other The Day After Tomorrow (which comes up to a delist of $415.69). grammar Jan 05, 08:28

You shouldn't be using schedules that don't fit. Avatar is a phenomenon that can't be compared to I am Legend or TDATomorrow Toruk Facto Jan 05, 09:14

Comparing the ultimate backloaded Avatar to two frontloaded films just doesn't make any sense. {nm} Antibody Jan 05, 10:00

Remind me when the actual numbers come out for Day 24, k. {nm} grammar Jan 05, 13:44

You expect Avatar to make more during a normal, non-summer, non-holiday workweek than the weekend? Inigo Jan 05, 08:26

When one is using daily historical percentages, the hope is that the week averages out to a close approximation of the actual numbers. Way grammar Jan 05, 08:34

No, I don't follow. If you can't be bothered with figuring out how films behave from day to day, you shouldn't be doing daily calculations. Inigo Jan 05, 08:39

You're new to these boards, aren't you? :) secretstalker Jan 05, 09:07

and LOL JMT Jan 05, 12:07

was meant to be under Secretstalkers post. thank you {nm} JMT Jan 05, 12:11

Hmm ... 15-May-2007 Jan 05, 07:48

Wait.. you don't think Avatar will beat TDK? You can't be serious..right? {nm} MiyazakiFan Jan 05, 09:13

I think the real question here is whether AVATR has a shot at surpassing Titanic {nm} bennyboy10 Jan 05, 08:07

Agreed. It's irrelevant whether AVATR beats TDK domestically as AVATR has taken more worldwide {nm} TheJman Jan 05, 08:24