HSX Forum

Movies

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 21, 16:59 in response to Awards Fund's post Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm} JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Dog Years (DOGYS) 1 1.63 (-0.37)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 1 1.63 (-0.37)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 100000 5.47 (-0.34)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 98 120.19 (+0.77)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 13.37 (+0.61)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 13928 17.32 (-0.75)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.47 (-0.76)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 19.47 (-0.76)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.27 (-0.73)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.27 (-0.73)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 159.50 (-1.36)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 39056 23.81 (+1.03)          Alpha - Neon (ALPH) 150000 0.44 (+0.21)          The Surgeon (SURGN) 4000 9.93 (+0.03)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 23.81 (+1.03)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1 159.50 (-1.36)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 111.77 (+3.97)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 75000 159.50 (-1.36)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 500 73.59 (-6.14)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 56361 13.37 (+0.61)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 2.15 (+0.08)          H Is For Hawk (HFHWK) 150000 3.29 (+0.02)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Adam Wingard (AWING) 1000 55.00 (+0.17)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 159.50 (-1.36)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 10000 9.27 (-0.73)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 1001 38.82 (-0.50)          Lily Sullivan (LSULL) 1000 27.99 (-0.25)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.63 (-0.37)          Arco (ARCO) 150000 4.85 (-0.03)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.27 (-0.73)          Pillion (PILON) 20000 1.86 (+0.01)          Harmonia (HARMO) 6000 4.23 (+0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.51 (-2.85)          Harmonia (HARMO) 6000 4.23 (+0.01)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 2.15 (+0.08)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.81 (-0.76)          The Last Resort (TLRSR) 6000 4.16 (+0.02)          Atropia (ATROP) 150000 2.15 (+0.08)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 1 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 1 4.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.64 (+1.50)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 159.50 (-1.36)          Voyagers (VOYGR) 5000 2.59 (-0.01)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 4000 3.35 (-0.01)          Stop! That! Train! (STTRN) 150000 5.40 (-0.28)          Nickels (NCKEL) 5000 2.10 (-0.01)          Melania (MLNIA) 10000 1.32 (-0.01)