HSX Forum

Movies

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm}

Posted by: Cj (a.k.a CjGaughan) on Apr 21, 15:39 in response to skunkrunner's post Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm} JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 120589 77.47 (+0.36)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 11.89 (+0.50)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 174.85 (-0.83)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 150000 50.40 (+0.10)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 11.75 (+0.57)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 76.21 (-1.85)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 12.54 (+0.28)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 240.11 (+0.63)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Stoner (STONR) 5000 0.03 (+0.01)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 1000 51.59 (-0.47)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 150000 259.35 (+1.00)          Eli Roth (EROTH) 25000 28.73 (-0.25)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 18.58 (+0.54)          Ed Harris (EHARR) 25000 52.71 (-0.16)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 11.89 (+0.50)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 11.75 (+0.57)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 12.54 (+0.28)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.31 (+0.14)          Artificial (AIFIC) 34999 21.43 (+0.50)          The Brigands of Rattlecreek (BRGND) 34999 25.18 (+0.02)          Copperhead (COPRH) 34999 18.58 (+0.54)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 6.43 (+1.43)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Put (VERTY.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity - Opening Weekend (VERTY.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Verity H$25 Call (VERTY.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Call (DIGER.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger H$25 Put (DIGER.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Digger - Opening Weekend (DIGER.OW) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Everest: The Other Side (EVTOS) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Fatherland (FTHRL) 150000 3.50 (-0.10)          Spike Fearn (SFEAR) 25000 23.77 (+0.01)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 150000 4.54 (-0.09)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 7.26 (-0.04)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.81 (-0.01)          Always Lalisa (ALISA) 150000 2.81 (-0.01)