HSX Forum

Movies

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 22, 08:09 in response to nilephelan's post We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm} JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.64 (+8.46)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 1 14.39 (+1.25)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.39 (+1.25)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 128000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 18.98 (+0.90)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 29001 15.45 (-0.27)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 150000 189.74 (-0.18)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 999 189.74 (-0.18)          Alpha (ALPH) 7000 0.25 (+0.01)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 7.15 (+0.09)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 16000 24.61 (-0.97)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 14000 218.64 (+8.46)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 59000 21.58 (+1.95)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.39 (+1.25)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.27 (-0.13)          Henry Cavill (HCAVI) 25000 141.75 (+1.33)          Forbidden Fruits (FRBDF) 12000 2.59 (-0.12)          Skeletons (SKLTN) 150000 23.27 (-0.13)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 50000 94.48 (+0.48)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 1.70 (+0.13)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 99999 4.41 (-0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 39467 140.24 (+2.07)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 99999 4.41 (-0.02)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 14000 140.24 (+2.07)          Being Heumann (BHEUM) 150000 0.60 (+0.07)          Varanasi (VARAN) 16000 9.49 (-1.87)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 79999 7.92 (-0.04)          Varanasi (VARAN) 47392 9.49 (-1.87)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 31500 97.14 (-3.25)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 69999 7.92 (-0.04)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 59999 14.11 (-0.15)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 178.69 (+2.52)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.64 (+8.46)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 59999 14.11 (-0.15)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 150000 141.18 (+0.45)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100312 424.00 (+0.22)          Tow (TOW) 150000 2.29 (-0.20)          Nomad (NOMD1) 149999 1.20 (-0.02)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.64 (+8.46)          Nomad (NOMD1) 149999 1.20 (-0.02)          Tow (TOW) 150000 2.29 (-0.20)          Tow (TOW) 150000 2.29 (-0.20)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 15000 158.68 (-0.02)