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And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Apr 21, 22:13 in response to Awards Fund's post Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





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The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 10000 220.35 (+0.76)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.90 (-0.58)          Hokum (HOKUM) 10000 9.75 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Call (PRJHM.CA) 25000 4.78 (+0.63)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.90 (-0.58)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 27 21.79 (+1.79)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 25000 1.90 (-0.58)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 100000 78.85 (+1.05)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 79000 78.85 (+1.05)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie (MARI2) 1 496.50 (-0.25)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 1219 214.66 (+4.48)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 21.79 (+1.79)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 595 19.99 (+0.04)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 149999 214.66 (+4.48)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 107786 244.85 (+1.19)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 41000 137.29 (-0.88)          Varanasi (VARAN) 39000 10.18 (-1.18)          They Will Kill You - Opening Wee (TWKYU.OW) 100000 7.69 (-0.04)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 15 372.24 (-1.49)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 284 20.92 (+0.30)          Project Hail Mary - Opening Week (PRJHM.OW) 5000 78.85 (+1.05)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 682 14.52 (-0.04)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 256 8.86 (+0.03)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 5000 3.28 (+0.07)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 512 20.92 (+0.30)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 20000 10.81 (+0.58)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 12634 40.49 (-0.21)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 19.73 (+0.10)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 1809 21.79 (+1.79)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 9000 0.03 (+0.01)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 9000 0.03 (+0.01)          Heel (HEEL) 8000 0.42 (0.00)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 9000 0.03 (+0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 22000 21.79 (+1.79)          Nomad (NOMD1) 1024 1.22 (0.00)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 5000 20.92 (+0.30)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Project Hail Mary H$70 Put (PRJHM.PU) 5000 1.90 (-0.58)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 60000 0.03 (+0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 20000 208.17 (-0.46)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 25000 25.19 (-0.39)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 25000 25.19 (-0.39)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 1000 0.03 (+0.01)