HSX Forum

Movies

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm}

Posted by: JDolphin on Apr 21, 22:13 in response to Awards Fund's post Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 15.02 (-0.07)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.79 (+0.84)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 63.79 (+0.84)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 6559 10.00 (0.00)          The Furious (FURIS) 150000 5.90 (-0.13)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 27 50.33 (-0.16)          Sandra Bullock (SBULL) 12 108.52 (0.00)          Samuel L. Jackson (SLJAC) 24 56.67 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 16.60 (-0.42)          Samantha Morton (SMORT) 11447 72.18 (+0.14)          Sam Rockwell (SROCK) 21266 52.84 (0.00)          Sam Raimi (SRAIM) 6537 171.90 (0.00)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.88 (-0.02)          The Comedy Hour (COMDH) 49999 2.49 (-0.01)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 1149 144.02 (+5.29)          Sam Neill (SNEIL) 11247 99.80 (-0.11)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Sam Mendes (SMEND) 6565 128.40 (-0.42)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.29 (-0.95)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Jane (JANE1) 150000 11.87 (-0.04)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 150000 9.54 (+0.26)          Salma Hayek Pinault (SHAYE) 14488 79.13 (-0.39)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 16999 117.97 (+1.01)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149998 29.08 (+1.57)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 276 144.02 (+5.29)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 149996 29.08 (+1.57)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 48385 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.26 (-1.40)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 8133 55.29 (-0.95)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.54 (+0.54)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 10.50 (+0.50)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.75 (+0.75)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 76.88 (+1.88)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 128.82 (-0.93)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 12.79 (+0.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 205.02 (-1.15)          Oscar Isaac (OISAA) 25000 95.58 (-0.50)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.02 (+5.29)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 171.96 (-0.50)