HSX Forum

Movies

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Apr 22, 10:08 in response to nilephelan's post Because we are talking about the industry expectation of...

Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm? tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:23

star7 is at ~350 {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:27

If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:29

Says who? Not the article you linked. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 15:33

All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article. {nm} Initech Apr 21, 15:43

Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 15:50

That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge... RogerMore Apr 21, 16:10

(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above) {nm} RogerMore Apr 21, 16:11

Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant nilephelan Apr 21, 23:08

Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 23:59

Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence? {nm} Shrike Apr 22, 06:08

We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 06:22

RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true". {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 08:09

Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 08:51

Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:35

Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something.... nilephelan Apr 22, 09:42

We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 09:44

Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others... nilephelan Apr 22, 10:04

230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7. Antibody Apr 22, 10:08

Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal. {nm} nilephelan Apr 22, 10:19

I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before RogerMore Apr 22, 11:05

mabye! {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 15:30

Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out. {nm} skunkrunner Apr 21, 15:36

and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time {nm} Cj Apr 21, 15:39

The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL. RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort Apr 21, 15:42

The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009. Antibody Apr 21, 15:46

that's toast {nm} professor smartbrain Apr 21, 16:04

Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 16:37

You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2. {nm} Antibody Apr 21, 16:59

No contest. Just answering the question. {nm} Awards Fund Apr 21, 19:56

$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300. {nm} Antibody Apr 22, 00:01

Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation. {nm} tenchi7 Apr 21, 21:28

And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels {nm} JDolphin Apr 21, 22:13

8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting islander Apr 22, 06:43





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.82 (+0.98)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.44 (+0.05)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 234.91 (-3.75)          The Get Out (BEARC) 150000 4.47 (+0.12)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 234.91 (-3.75)          Flywheel: Ignition of the Soul (FLYWH) 149999 9.48 (+0.20)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 11.53 (-0.19)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 33.82 (+3.48)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.32 (+0.28)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 33.82 (+3.48)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.82 (+0.98)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 12.15 (+2.15)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 151.93 (+1.00)          Sing 3 (SING3) 30000 51.19 (+0.18)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.59 (-0.41)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 3.10 (+1.10)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.33 (+2.33)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 12.15 (+2.15)          My Darling California (MDCAL) 10000 21.73 (-0.60)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 10000 57.19 (-0.59)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 5000 138.96 (-0.35)          The Riders (RIDER) 10000 29.23 (-0.30)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 150000 6.62 (+0.22)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 5000 28.47 (+0.96)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 20000 151.93 (+1.00)          Buddy (BUDDY) 30000 7.82 (+0.98)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 20000 12.15 (+2.15)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.93 (+0.12)          Young Washington (YWASH) 4599 33.82 (+3.48)          Young Washington (YWASH) 10000 33.82 (+3.48)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 33.82 (+3.48)          Young Washington (YWASH) 150000 33.82 (+3.48)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 12.15 (+2.15)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 5000 31.44 (+0.04)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.61 (-0.39)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.61 (+0.61)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 11.25 (+1.25)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.59 (-0.41)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 3.10 (+1.10)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.33 (+2.33)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 721 305.01 (-2.26)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.34 (+0.34)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.34 (+0.34)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.47 (+0.96)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1924 426.26 (+8.20)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 4000 56.03 (+0.35)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 198 305.01 (-2.26)          Anything But Ghosts (ANYBG) 150000 23.13 (+0.12)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 3000 88.51 (-0.27)          K-Pop: The Debut aka K-Pop Super (KPOPM) 4000 38.68 (-0.06)