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Movies
Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever. {nm}
Posted by: tenchi7 on Apr 21, 15:50
in response to Antibody's post star7 is at ~350
Is Star7 $300 undervalued atm?
tenchi7
Apr 21, 15:23
star7 is at ~350
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Antibody
Apr 21, 15:27
If the industry is looking at a 230-250M opening that means it's worth about 650.
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tenchi7
Apr 21, 15:29
Says who? Not the article you linked.
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Antibody
Apr 21, 15:33
All projections credited to unnamed execs, insiders and analysts. Quite a poor excuse for an article.
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Initech
Apr 21, 15:43
Still 4500 screens and one of the best trailers ever.
tenchi7
Apr 21, 15:50
That's a $53K per theatre average. HOBT1 did $20,900, AVATR did $22,300, LRDR3 did $19,600. I expect STAR7 is going to be huge...
RogerMore
Apr 21, 16:10
(using the midpoint of the $230-$250M prediction above)
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RogerMore
Apr 21, 16:11
Why is anyone trying to use previous December history for Star Wars 7 opening? That data is completely irrelevant
nilephelan
Apr 21, 23:08
Because you can't move Christmas, change shopping behavior, travel plans and predict winter storms.
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Antibody
Apr 21, 23:59
Christmas is bigger than any film and the whole period is one big long weekend. You're just going to disregard histories clear evidence?
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Shrike
Apr 22, 06:08
We are talking Dec. 17th-20th, not Christmas and this is an event film like no other. Name another true December event film.
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nilephelan
Apr 22, 06:22
RogerMore just did. SW isn't any more "true".
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Antibody
Apr 22, 08:09
Completely incorrect. Poll theater owners or people working in the industry if you think Star Wars isn't any different
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nilephelan
Apr 22, 08:51
Your opinion. Why don't you show us the poll results.
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Antibody
Apr 22, 09:35
Actually, it isn't an opinion. It is at least on an anecdotal scale a solid fact. Theater owners are viewing this as something....
nilephelan
Apr 22, 09:42
We all know it's gonna set a new Dec record. Tell us something we dont'.
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Antibody
Apr 22, 09:44
Because we are talking about the industry expectation of $230 million and rogermore, yourself and others...
nilephelan
Apr 22, 10:04
230 million is a completely made up number by tenchi7.
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Antibody
Apr 22, 10:08
Well, the expectation is that it can at least break $200 million and $230 million is a reachable goal.
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nilephelan
Apr 22, 10:19
I'm not saying it can't be done - but I need a better understanding of why those expectations exist than "Duh, it's Star Wars", before
RogerMore
Apr 22, 11:05
mabye!
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professor smartbrain
Apr 21, 15:30
Criminally underpriced in my book, but it's still pretty far out.
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skunkrunner
Apr 21, 15:36
and not a lot of people have 35million to tie up for 3/4 of a year...plenty of other opportunities to double your money in half that time
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Cj
Apr 21, 15:39
The Largest Pre-Christmas Weekend Box Office (Total for all 78 Films) was 2007 - 160.45 MILL.
RotoHockeyYTD2013MainPort
Apr 21, 15:42
The largest Weekend Box Office ever was $270 million Dec. 25-27, 2009.
Antibody
Apr 21, 15:46
that's toast
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professor smartbrain
Apr 21, 16:04
Last Starwars made 108 mil OW in 2005 dollars = 140 in today's dollars. That's about 378 mil with adjust multiple = underpriced
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Awards Fund
Apr 21, 16:37
You get a faster return putting the money in AVNG2.
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Antibody
Apr 21, 16:59
No contest. Just answering the question.
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Awards Fund
Apr 21, 19:56
$30 underprice is a huge difference from his $300.
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Antibody
Apr 22, 00:01
Avng2 is way underpriced also. Even if they sell the same exact amount of tickets that is still about 225 with 10% ticket inflation.
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tenchi7
Apr 21, 21:28
And STAR7 could have 1000 more theaters, so add 25% more to that OW. PLus the original actors will bring in fans that ignored the prequels
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JDolphin
Apr 21, 22:13
8 months of irrational exuberance is going to get real old, oh wait it already is. The OW will be huge but why are people getting
islander
Apr 22, 06:43