HSX Forum

Movies

simple....

Posted by: RazorHawk on Mar 28, 19:33 in response to Port Value League Admin's post CX vs. Movie Stock H$ value

CX stocks act more like holiday warrants than the HSX stocks.  Most people invest in them one time at IPO (which is usually months before release) and forget about them which causes the price to rise and then level off.  Only a small percent remember them over the releasing weekend and take the actions needed and such a small amount of player action does not move the stock much.

If you also remember that the CXs are also IPOed at a high price, then it makes the CXs hard to drop down if a movie bombs, there is enough players to reverse the direction over opening weekend but then that movement also levels and there is not enough movement after opening weekend to keep driving the price down to meet the box office.

Example: REPO.CX IPOed for $40.50.  Most all players bought the stock long causing it to rise to $51.09 where it got saturated and leveled off.  It stayed at that range for a month until it bombed on opening and the attentive players flipped it short causing the price to go down.  On Monday (from the office) other players saw it was going down and also flipped and so on and so on, until again the market became saturated and the price started leveling off (cause there was not enough player movement to keep substaining it down). Now it has a gap between box office and CX price and not enough movement to continue driving it down.

Same thing happened with all Avatar stocks, it was making $20mill box office a day and HSX could not keep up because the buying power was all spent opening weekend.





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Bloodsport (BLDSP) 580 20.51 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 20000 77.28 (+2.28)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.03 (-1.21)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 100000 10.49 (-0.06)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.35 (+5.62)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          42.6 Years (426YR) 100000 9.38 (-0.08)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.86 (+0.86)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.87 (-0.03)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.69 (-0.31)          Priscilla: Queen of the Desert 2 (APQD2) 100000 4.29 (-0.10)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 100000 10.03 (-0.24)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 165.22 (+0.17)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 55.03 (-1.21)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 30000 77.28 (+2.28)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 2000 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 103942 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 46058 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.21 (-1.45)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 5.50 (+0.58)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 5.50 (+0.58)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 10000 16.41 (-0.02)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 149500 10.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 22.74 (+0.68)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 22.74 (+0.68)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 149995 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.BW) 25000 7.33 (+0.34)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.83 (+0.02)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 35000 10.00 (0.00)          Gatto (GATTO) 1000 134.54 (-0.02)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 20000 16.60 (-0.42)