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Nikki #s (same link as below) [HPOT7] 14, [RAPUN] 10.5, [BURLS] 3, [FASTR] 1.7, [LVDRG] 2.5

Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on Nov 25, 05:13

Looking like a big long for RAPUN, long for BURLS, short for FASTR, and a push or slight long for LVDRG... based on that number, HPOT7 should drop off about 57% from last weekend to this one (essentially using the same mults as HPOT4)... HPOT7 still wins the weekend with Tangled taking second with roughly $43 million (and $60 mil plus total)


Tag(s): HPOT7, RAPUN, BURLS, FASTR, LVDRG

Nikki #s (same link as below) [HPOT7] 14, [RAPUN] 10.5, [BURLS] 3, [FASTR] 1.7, [LVDRG] 2.5 secretstalker Nov 25, 05:13

By the way, "Burlesque" was cost about $55 million to make (looked like the total US gross will be close to that number?) {nm} Peterlee Nov 25, 05:18

I wonder if "Rent" is a very rough comp for BURLS, suggesting a 5-day IM under 5? "Rent" had an IM under 4 (4.7 Wed / 17.5 OW). {nm} second gary Nov 25, 08:01

"Rent" has more adult appeal than BURLS {nm} Peterlee Nov 25, 08:14

RENT was, of course, a long-running play with many devoted fans, so I think that explains the frontloading. BURLESQUE not so, unless you dsbman Nov 25, 08:39

Aguilera also has many diehard fans {nm} Peterlee Nov 25, 09:08

Doubt it... as mentioned, Rent had frontloading from the fanbase going to see it Weds and realizing how bad it sucks. secretstalker Nov 25, 09:09

The movie Rent didn't have any stars. The succes/failure of this one will be Aguilera related {nm} JMT Nov 25, 10:21

and it seems to be a ( small ) long............. 4/4 for me yeeeeh ;-) {nm} JMT Nov 25, 13:07

Well, Burlesque looks just as bad as Rent did. {nm} HarryWarden Nov 25, 21:04

Megamind should be up from last weekend and my calcs come up with a same total as Nikki, roughly $136-7 million by Sunday. secretstalker Nov 25, 05:18

68m 5-day!?!?!?!?! OUCH! It burns!!!! IT BURNS! Why did I short a kids movie???? eyescovered Nov 25, 05:37

Maybe families catch it first before they celebrate and catch up over the weekend?i need to see Fridays figure to believe the 68m estimate {nm} karspov Nov 25, 05:44

Yea, I know. It's still way to early to tell. Just having a little fun! {nm} eyescovered Nov 25, 05:45

The number seems reasonable unless Tangled behaves like Enchanted (which is definitely possible) secretstalker Nov 25, 05:46

I'll tell 10 people that Tangled sucks, and then those people tell 10 people, and then... problem solved ;) {nm} eyescovered Nov 25, 05:54

Stil, it may not be enough to make" Burlesque" profitable :p {nm} Peterlee Nov 25, 06:07

see that is when the new system will be helpful :) {nm} b4bad Nov 25, 06:09

Just on this, do we know how the system will work before long weekends like this one? {nm} RogerMore Nov 25, 10:08

I shorted it too! I feel like Rapunzel's hair: totally let down! {nm} petz Nov 25, 06:43

lol {nm} tealfan Nov 25, 09:42

I can generally handle getting openers wrong, but I hate getting long weekend openers wrong. Just adjust and rip off the bandaid already! {nm} RogerMore Nov 25, 10:07

I feel your pain! -3M sucks 2B me. {nm} HollywoodTycoon61 Nov 25, 11:44

So glad I followed my gut! {nm} photochick814 Nov 25, 17:27

i know i learned my lesson on kids movies with Alvin and the Chipmunks. {nm} wojeck Nov 25, 22:05

I suspect that BURLS number is too low. Should be closer to $4m with revised figures. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Nov 25, 06:10





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