HSX Forum

Movies

Would sub-45M really be that bad? Legs this time of year are pretty good. What's the good vs. bad OW threshold for it you think? {nm}

Posted by: HarryWarden on Dec 12, 22:09 in response to Rolling_Thunder's post Yes. Even the informal polling at my theater has been...

Either RS is on crack or we all are: [YOGIB] low 30s [TRON2] high 20s [FITER] low double digits [HDYKN] even lower double digits {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 15:44

Thanks for the numbers. Their prediction for Narnia was off so it's hard to know. Think Tron should be a lot higher though {nm} numbersix_99 Dec 12, 15:47

Why is it so hard to believe that TRON2 won't do as well as HSX priced it? {nm} eyescovered Dec 12, 16:35

Well even though somebody I think it was SS said that this have some of the best action he's seen in a long time. That doesn't come accross Vashta Nerada Dec 12, 18:55

There is no Oscar buzz for MWAHL... none at all. In fact, everyone BUT MWAHL has Oscar buzz. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:56

***This*** has been playing all over MTV the last two weeks..."Derezzed" by Daft Punk (From Tron:Legacy) RazorHawk Dec 12, 21:37

With the exception of Tron, those numbers are much closer to reality than ERC {nm} RupertPupkin Dec 12, 15:50

Rs tends to over correct its projections when it overshoots the previous week {nm} notfabio Dec 12, 16:00

Yeah, but they've been saying 30s for TRON2 for weeks... and normally, they'll make a more reasonable prediction opening week secretstalker Dec 12, 16:03

Futures: secretstalker Dec 12, 15:51

Is that a typo for GULVR? {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 17:42

GULVR has a Dec 25 release, Dec 26 adjust (I'm assuming you were asking if 2 days is a typo?) {nm} RogerMore Dec 12, 17:46

I guess the stock page is wrong (it says 12/22 release) {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 18:59

Nope, that's 2 days... will be a 4.8 mult. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:02

MPRN3 has an 5-day with a 2.0 multiplier, right? Because it's not on the calendar yet... {nm} medusa Dec 12, 23:36

secretsalker-how do you get tracking numbers if you are not a subscriber paying alot, sorry for newb question in advance. {nm} HS-X Dec 13, 09:13

Tron has been tracking weak for weeks now and RS is not the only one who is pointing that out. {nm} filmboy20 Dec 12, 16:39

Yes. Even the informal polling at my theater has been weak. Sub-$45m OW appears likely and YOGIB isn't looking so hot, either. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 12, 17:53

Is YOGIB "Patch Adams"? The holiday movie which looks beyond beyond bad, and yet is loved by some? second gary Dec 12, 19:21

$30M for TG doesn't sound high to me. That would be around the same numbers as Valkyrie and the buzz for TG is much stronger than that movie wrongturn687 Dec 12, 19:25

Would sub-45M really be that bad? Legs this time of year are pretty good. What's the good vs. bad OW threshold for it you think? HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:09

If YOGIB outgrosses TRON2, that would be an epic fail on the part of Disney's marketing. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:15

Oh my god, I should have been watching HSX.. my port is a blood bath! {nm} MiyazakiFan Dec 13, 17:48

I shorted tron yesteray; I'm going into long mode now; I don't see how this movie could do less than 45M {nm} Carcharodon Dec 14, 06:15

Alright people, latest tracking at the studio puts the movie at 60, so RS is, indeed, on crack. Sounds more reasonable than 20 for this one. {nm} theinsider Dec 14, 19:02

Alvin and the chipmunks looks equally as terrible as YOGI.... and it made ton of $ when it came out. I think YOGI will make over 60 {nm} Faize Dec 16, 12:54





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 5500 62.26 (-0.14)          Hayley Atwell (HATWE) 25000 88.03 (+1.26)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 41.02 (-0.66)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 41.02 (-0.66)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 13.94 (-0.27)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 2900 62.26 (-0.14)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 1082 62.26 (-0.14)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 41.02 (-0.66)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 37141 73.40 (-6.33)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.40 (-6.33)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.40 (-6.33)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 150000 112.30 (+4.50)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 900 62.26 (-0.14)          CBS: Sheriff Country (SHERFC) 25000 10.13 (-0.07)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1620 158.48 (-2.38)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 11.56 (+0.43)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 290 158.48 (-2.38)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 144392 120.84 (+1.42)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1500 158.48 (-2.38)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 1000 158.48 (-2.38)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 117 158.48 (-2.38)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 2 158.48 (-2.38)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 2 158.48 (-2.38)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.65 (+0.96)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.46 (-2.90)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.65 (+1.51)          Jon Stewart (JSTEW) 25000 17.00 (-0.10)          David Strathairn (DSTRA) 25000 31.68 (+0.25)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 24.53 (+0.09)          Whitney Springs aka Untitled Tre (WHTSP) 150000 24.53 (+0.09)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 143598 9.67 (-0.09)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 162.72 (+0.55)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 149995 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 149995 4.00 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 150000 65.77 (+0.18)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 41.12 (-0.25)          Elden Ring (ELDEN) 150000 49.36 (-0.70)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 19.59 (-2.18)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.28 (-3.59)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.28 (-3.59)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 47949 13.28 (-3.59)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.28 (-3.59)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 13.28 (-3.59)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 15.64 (-0.08)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 4000 162.99 (-0.43)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 19.59 (-2.18)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 150000 19.59 (-2.18)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 150000 158.48 (-2.38)