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Posted by: secretstalker (a.k.a TheWeekendWarrior) on Dec 12, 15:51 in response to secretstalker's post Either RS is on crack or we all are: [YOGIB] low 30s...

[MPRN3] 50 in 5 days

[TGRIT] 30 in 5 days (that seems high to me)

[GULVR] high teens in 2 days

[SEWTC] low double digits

[DILEM] mid-to-high 30s (4 day)


Either RS is on crack or we all are: [YOGIB] low 30s [TRON2] high 20s [FITER] low double digits [HDYKN] even lower double digits {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 15:44

Thanks for the numbers. Their prediction for Narnia was off so it's hard to know. Think Tron should be a lot higher though {nm} numbersix_99 Dec 12, 15:47

Why is it so hard to believe that TRON2 won't do as well as HSX priced it? {nm} eyescovered Dec 12, 16:35

Well even though somebody I think it was SS said that this have some of the best action he's seen in a long time. That doesn't come accross Vashta Nerada Dec 12, 18:55

There is no Oscar buzz for MWAHL... none at all. In fact, everyone BUT MWAHL has Oscar buzz. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:56

***This*** has been playing all over MTV the last two weeks..."Derezzed" by Daft Punk (From Tron:Legacy) RazorHawk Dec 12, 21:37

With the exception of Tron, those numbers are much closer to reality than ERC {nm} RupertPupkin Dec 12, 15:50

Rs tends to over correct its projections when it overshoots the previous week {nm} notfabio Dec 12, 16:00

Yeah, but they've been saying 30s for TRON2 for weeks... and normally, they'll make a more reasonable prediction opening week secretstalker Dec 12, 16:03

Futures: secretstalker Dec 12, 15:51

Is that a typo for GULVR? {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 17:42

GULVR has a Dec 25 release, Dec 26 adjust (I'm assuming you were asking if 2 days is a typo?) {nm} RogerMore Dec 12, 17:46

I guess the stock page is wrong (it says 12/22 release) {nm} The Commish Dec 12, 18:59

Nope, that's 2 days... will be a 4.8 mult. {nm} secretstalker Dec 12, 18:02

MPRN3 has an 5-day with a 2.0 multiplier, right? Because it's not on the calendar yet... {nm} medusa Dec 12, 23:36

secretsalker-how do you get tracking numbers if you are not a subscriber paying alot, sorry for newb question in advance. {nm} HS-X Dec 13, 09:13

Tron has been tracking weak for weeks now and RS is not the only one who is pointing that out. {nm} filmboy20 Dec 12, 16:39

Yes. Even the informal polling at my theater has been weak. Sub-$45m OW appears likely and YOGIB isn't looking so hot, either. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 12, 17:53

Is YOGIB "Patch Adams"? The holiday movie which looks beyond beyond bad, and yet is loved by some? second gary Dec 12, 19:21

$30M for TG doesn't sound high to me. That would be around the same numbers as Valkyrie and the buzz for TG is much stronger than that movie wrongturn687 Dec 12, 19:25

Would sub-45M really be that bad? Legs this time of year are pretty good. What's the good vs. bad OW threshold for it you think? {nm} HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:09

If YOGIB outgrosses TRON2, that would be an epic fail on the part of Disney's marketing. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 12, 22:15

Oh my god, I should have been watching HSX.. my port is a blood bath! {nm} MiyazakiFan Dec 13, 17:48

I shorted tron yesteray; I'm going into long mode now; I don't see how this movie could do less than 45M {nm} Carcharodon Dec 14, 06:15

Alright people, latest tracking at the studio puts the movie at 60, so RS is, indeed, on crack. Sounds more reasonable than 20 for this one. {nm} theinsider Dec 14, 19:02

Alvin and the chipmunks looks equally as terrible as YOGI.... and it made ton of $ when it came out. I think YOGI will make over 60 {nm} Faize Dec 16, 12:54

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Escape Room: Tournament of Champ (ESCR2) 150000 28.05 (+0.01)         Hotel Transylvania: Transformani (HTRN4) 32004 67.97 (+1.49)         The Forever Purge (PURG5) 147872 42.14 (-0.33)         Bullet Train (BULTR) 150000 63.67 (-0.08)         12 Mighty Orphans (12MOR) 150000 4.31 (+0.18)         The Beatles: Get Back (LETBE) 150000 3.16 (-1.23)         Spinning Gold (SPING) 150000 1.83 (+1.10)         The Forever Purge (PURG5) 2128 42.14 (-0.33)         In the Heights (INHTS) 30665 43.95 (-0.82)         Hotel Transylvania: Transformani (HTRN4) 150000 67.97 (+1.49)         Sylvester Stallone (SSTAL) 25000 108.18 (0.00)         Hotel Transylvania: Transformani (HTRN4) 149999 67.97 (+1.49)         Antonio Banderas (ABAND) 25000 25.82 (-0.40)         F9: The Fast Saga - Opening Week (FAST9.OW) 100000 85.45 (-2.66)         The Year of the Everlasting Stor (YOTES) 150000 1.30 (-0.03)         Morgan Freeman (MFREE) 25000 34.63 (-0.08)         The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)         The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 2000 4.00 (0.00)         The Forever Purge H$15 Put (PURG5.PU) 25000 2.37 (+0.05)         F9: The Fast Saga - Opening Week (FAST9.OW) 2500 85.45 (-2.66)         The Forever Purge H$15 Call (PURG5.CA) 25000 2.44 (-0.10)         F9: The Fast Saga - Opening Week (FAST9.OW) 2000 85.45 (-2.66)         The Boss Baby: Family Business H (BOSS2.PU) 25000 2.07 (-0.20)         The Boss Baby: Family Business H (BOSS2.CA) 25000 2.46 (+0.03)         Mayday (MAYDY) 150000 1.87 (+0.21)         Nitram (NITRM) 150000 3.49 (-0.51)         A Hero (AHERO) 150000 1.46 (-0.54)         Eddie Izzard (EIZZA) 1 58.21 (+0.20)         The Batman (TBATM) 10 237.80 (-0.76)         Fantastic Beasts 3 (FBST3) 500 78.07 (+0.88)         The Year of the Everlasting Stor (YOTES) 150000 1.30 (-0.03)         Nitram (NITRM) 25000 3.49 (-0.51)         Peter Jackson (PJACK) 25000 162.42 (+0.33)         George Foreman biopic (GFORE) 150000 17.32 (-0.11)         The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)         Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (HTMB2) 150000 38.41 (-5.65)         Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 14000 10.22 (-0.13)         Riders of Justice (RDJUS) 665 0.06 (-0.01)         Warner Bros. Studio Fund (WBROX) 769 290.36 (+0.54)         Godzilla vs. Kong $90M Blockbust (GOVKO.BW) 12500 7.41 (+0.01)         Patrick Wilson (PWILS) 3333 95.56 (-0.03)         The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 4.00 (0.00)         Thor: Love and Thunder (THOR4) 598 249.93 (+0.67)         Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (HTMB2) 100000 38.41 (-5.65)         Dune (DUNE) 150000 99.17 (+1.77)         Nosferatu (NOSFR) 150000 6.76 (-0.09)         Nosferatu (NOSFR) 150000 6.76 (-0.09)         12 Mighty Orphans (12MOR) 150000 4.31 (+0.18)         Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard (HTMB2) 100000 38.41 (-5.65)         Babylon (BBYLN) 26326 33.42 (+0.03)