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I pick the same spot each time

Posted by: MtF0528 on Apr 21, 21:29 in response to wordpoet1's post Poster wins...??? Does anyone have a methodology

If you flip a coin any large number of times and guess heads, it will always be close to 50/50 right/wrong.  Same thing applies here but instead of heads you're always choosing a poster location, and the odds are worse because there are more options. 

You wont win more than you should, but you also wont win less than you should, assuming all poster locations are equal and the winning one is truly random.

Roughly 1 out of every ( # of posters ) days you will win.





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FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 104.84 (+4.84)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 100000 1.27 (-0.07)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 15551 8.00 (0.00)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 13.44 (-0.05)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Shia Labeouf (SLABE) 1000 7.73 (-0.05)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 104.84 (+4.84)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 100000 99.70 (+1.79)          NBC: Line of Fire (LINEOF) 10721 11.84 (-0.17)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.54 (-1.58)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 104.84 (+4.84)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Mahershala Ali (MALI) 25000 152.39 (-0.50)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 2000 104.84 (+4.84)          Kung Fu Soccer (KFSOC) 150000 0.59 (-0.02)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 5000 8.00 (0.00)          Sense and Sensibility (SNSNS) 150000 17.98 (+0.24)          Jacob Tremblay (JTREM) 25000 57.23 (+0.33)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 3.88 (+0.07)          Nico Bravo (NBRVO) 99000 50.40 (-1.19)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 22.25 (-0.88)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 125000 59.41 (+0.42)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 4.33 (-0.54)          Clayface (CLAYF) 150000 57.22 (-1.42)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 1 4.33 (-0.54)          Diamond (DIAMN) 100000 4.97 (-0.07)          Twilight of the Dead (TWOTD) 150000 4.54 (-1.58)          Ray Nicholson (RANIC) 25000 18.43 (-0.40)          Peter Berg (PEBER) 25000 62.12 (-1.00)          World War Z 2 (WWZ2) 150000 104.84 (+4.84)          Michael Chiklis (MCHIK) 25000 8.24 (-0.29)          CBS: Cupertino (CUPERT) 3 13.30 (+0.02)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 11.56 (+0.10)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 10000 165.11 (+0.58)          The Kids Fund (KIDS) 5679 21.85 (-0.25)          Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Trans (LGBTQ) 3337 37.18 (+0.16)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 125000 4.38 (-0.60)          Turpentine (TURPN) 24999 7.48 (+0.58)          Jeremy Strong (JSTRO) 24999 14.82 (+0.10)          Samo Lives (SAMOL) 1 1.12 (+0.02)          FOX: Baywatch (BAYWAT) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Samo Lives (SAMOL) 150000 1.12 (+0.02)          CBS: Cupertino (CUPERT) 9584 13.30 (+0.02)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 1 22.73 (-0.36)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 150000 22.73 (-0.36)          Alia Shawkat (ASHAW) 5000 4.95 (-0.04)          Dominic West (DWEST) 8983 30.82 (-0.12)          Jay Duplass (JDUPL) 25000 12.75 (0.00)