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I pick the same spot each time

Posted by: MtF0528 on Apr 21, 21:29 in response to wordpoet1's post Poster wins...??? Does anyone have a methodology

If you flip a coin any large number of times and guess heads, it will always be close to 50/50 right/wrong.  Same thing applies here but instead of heads you're always choosing a poster location, and the odds are worse because there are more options. 

You wont win more than you should, but you also wont win less than you should, assuming all poster locations are equal and the winning one is truly random.

Roughly 1 out of every ( # of posters ) days you will win.





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The Bride! (BRIDE) 9000 23.04 (-0.41)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 6.28 (-0.62)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 6.28 (-0.62)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.89 (-0.11)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 150000 20.18 (+0.18)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          Sheep in the Box (SHPBX) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 4999 55.53 (-0.01)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 7220 55.53 (-0.01)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 5000 23.04 (-0.41)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 7500 95.93 (+0.74)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 7500 95.93 (+0.74)          Balls Up (BALUP) 15000 6.28 (-0.62)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 40000 23.54 (-0.10)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 140000 23.54 (-0.10)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 97.64 (-2.75)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.03 (+7.85)          All of a Sudden (AOASD) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 149999 20.18 (+0.18)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 218.03 (+7.85)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 80000 20.18 (+0.18)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 73.38 (-0.88)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 40000 20.18 (+0.18)          Charlie Harper (CHARP) 10000 4.57 (-0.04)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 25000 86.73 (-0.50)          Sam Claflin (SCLAF) 25000 13.99 (+0.08)          Sam Claflin (SCLAF) 20000 13.99 (+0.08)          Ti West (TWEST) 25000 11.44 (+0.10)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 165 13.02 (-0.08)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 200 3.19 (-0.04)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 14 3.19 (-0.04)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 10000 97.64 (-2.75)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 15 14.38 (-0.18)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 30000 15.41 (-0.50)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 10 11.75 (+0.10)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 219.15 (-0.62)          Jason Statham Stole My Bike (JSSMB) 75000 21.00 (-0.11)