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I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm}

Posted by: Movienaut (a.k.a scrawn) on Oct 28, 23:04 in response to Facto's post Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U...

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





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Empire City (EMPCT) 150000 18.95 (-0.28)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 65838 229.80 (+0.40)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 132.67 (+0.78)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 11.78 (-0.61)          Zachary Levi (ZLEVI) 5999 22.10 (-0.26)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 116462 132.67 (+0.78)          Tom Holland (TOHOL) 25000 124.84 (-0.34)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 30000 73.37 (-6.36)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 15000 73.37 (-6.36)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 25000 24.09 (-0.69)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 25000 4.16 (-0.40)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 11.78 (-0.61)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 50000 9.58 (-0.42)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 17.41 (-0.66)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 100000 18.25 (-1.98)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 105000 18.25 (-1.98)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 24999 24.09 (-0.69)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 50000 4.16 (-0.40)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 25000 11.78 (-0.61)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 149999 4.16 (-0.40)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 25000 9.58 (-0.42)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 8.16 (-0.34)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 15000 73.86 (-0.21)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 24999 4.16 (-0.40)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 10000 51.62 (-0.15)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 24999 11.78 (-0.61)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 24999 9.58 (-0.42)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 59999 4.89 (+1.18)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 75000 4.89 (+1.18)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 149999 8.16 (-0.34)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 149999 17.41 (-0.66)          Keeper (KEEPR) 150000 9.09 (-0.26)          Obsession (OBSSN) 149999 16.70 (-0.94)          Bratz (BRAT2) 25000 16.28 (-0.07)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 6.17 (-0.05)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 149999 11.78 (-0.61)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 15000 56.53 (-0.31)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 4000 15.45 (+0.29)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 25000 126.08 (+0.33)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 10000 168.71 (+0.35)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 150000 153.72 (+0.55)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 18000 7.67 (-0.04)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 20000 73.37 (-6.36)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 8000 7.67 (-0.04)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 11.78 (-0.61)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 11.78 (-0.61)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 2500 459.19 (-1.25)