HSX Forum

Movies

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm}

Posted by: thatpj (a.k.a del_JBO_thatpj) on Oct 29, 05:45 in response to Mattrek's post LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12...

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Trap House (TRAPH) 149998 22.15 (+1.30)          Trap House (TRAPH) 149996 22.15 (+1.30)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 22000 20.49 (+0.04)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 20000 11.83 (0.00)          The Watchers (WATCS) 149996 37.07 (+0.05)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 30000 11.43 (+0.03)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 25000 10.06 (-0.01)          Simu Liu (SLIU) 443 163.18 (+0.50)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 150000 10.06 (-0.01)          The Exorcist: Deceiver (TEXO2) 150000 27.79 (-0.10)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 14999 28.09 (+0.06)          Rachel Zegler (RZEGL) 3469 75.78 (-0.03)          Maria (MARIA) 36000 14.01 (+0.78)          Touch (TOUC) 150000 0.65 (-0.24)          Playdate (PLYDT) 24999 16.46 (+0.06)          Brendan Fraser (BFRAS) 400 31.74 (0.00)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2000 22.15 (+1.30)          Steven Yeun (SYEUN) 400 34.79 (0.00)          Steven Yeun (SYEUN) 400 34.79 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 30000 53.15 (+0.88)          Kathryn Hahn (KHAHN) 600 90.67 (0.00)          Maria (MARIA) 25000 14.01 (+0.78)          Clue (CLUE) 24999 17.10 (+1.13)          Jeremy Allen White (JEAWH) 3000 8.27 (-0.05)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.39 (+1.29)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 14999 17.39 (+1.29)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.03 (+0.21)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 150000 12.03 (+0.21)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 11000 9.78 (0.00)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.03 (+0.22)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 4.03 (+0.22)          Touch (TOUC) 45000 0.65 (-0.24)          Touch (TOUC) 49999 0.65 (-0.24)          Touch (TOUC) 11000 0.65 (-0.24)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 149999 10.96 (-1.59)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.75 (-0.25)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.75 (-0.25)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.28 (-0.42)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 30000 5.04 (0.00)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 14999 27.25 (-0.78)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 48.26 (-1.74)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 48.26 (-1.74)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 14999 10.96 (-1.59)          Anora (ANORA) 149999 3.59 (-0.21)          Sing Sing (SINGS) 11000 2.80 (+0.01)          Anora (ANORA) 105000 3.59 (-0.21)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 17.18 (+0.20)          Honey Don't (HDONT) 150000 17.18 (+0.20)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 30000 6.41 (0.00)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 52.18 (+0.57)