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Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm}

Posted by: Catzan (a.k.a XOVERFund) on Oct 28, 23:26 in response to Mattrek's post Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best...

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





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The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.60 (+0.10)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.65 (+0.02)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.90 (+0.25)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.30 (+0.03)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Hit Me Hard And Soft (HMSAH) 100000 24.82 (+0.67)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 20.78 (-0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 25.24 (-0.43)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 12.09 (+0.29)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 50000 12.09 (+0.29)          Gwyneth Paltrow (GPALT) 25000 157.16 (-0.50)          Hunting Matthew Nichols (HUNMN) 150000 4.82 (+0.63)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Jonah Hill (JHILL) 25000 63.12 (+0.25)          Rock'em Sock'em Robots (RMSMR) 150000 18.15 (+0.75)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.58 (-0.27)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.58 (-0.27)          Rush Hour 4 (RUSH4) 150000 20.78 (-0.42)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 75000 25.24 (-0.43)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 12.09 (+0.29)          Rupert Friend (RFRIE) 25000 58.90 (+0.16)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.35 (+0.69)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.29 (0.00)          Andra Day (ADAY) 25000 57.24 (-0.17)          Dafne Keen (DKEEN) 25000 166.49 (-0.50)          Auli'i Cravalho (ACRAV) 25000 200.88 (+0.50)          Jay Chandrasekhar (JYCHA) 25000 15.02 (-0.10)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 101.18 (+0.66)          Danielle Brooks (DBROO) 25000 101.18 (+0.66)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 25000 69.36 (+0.50)          Scarlett Johansson (SJOHA) 25000 69.36 (+0.50)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 1.86 (-0.14)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.58 (+0.58)          Josh O'Connor (JOOCO) 25000 11.39 (-0.10)          Tim Heidecker (THEID) 25000 5.74 (+0.05)          Gabrielle Union (GUNIO) 25000 17.02 (+0.10)          Max Minghella (MMING) 25000 8.26 (-0.10)