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(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm}

Posted by: edzep on Oct 29, 14:24 in response to edzep's post With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would...

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





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The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 150000 135.45 (+1.58)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 100 8.02 (-0.17)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 25000 5.40 (-0.41)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 25000 13.34 (-1.66)          Quentin Tarantino (QTARA) 1000 90.55 (+0.36)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.48 (-0.05)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 3 161.66 (+0.31)          Penelope Cruz (PCRUZ) 100 6.95 (0.00)          The Crow (TCROW) 6 23.34 (+0.12)          The Apprentice (APRNT) 13059 13.91 (-0.10)          Kneecap (KNECP) 14 3.43 (+0.04)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 4 32.53 (-0.11)          The Ballad of Wallis Island (TBOWI) 24999 5.40 (-0.41)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 2.48 (-0.05)          Slingshot (SLNGS) 6 7.84 (+0.04)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 4 375.56 (+1.32)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 3 130.25 (+0.22)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 24999 13.34 (-1.66)          Firebrand (FRBRN) 6 1.91 (-0.01)          Tuesday (TUESD) 50 1.25 (-0.05)          Bad Behaviour (BBHAV) 40 0.94 (-0.03)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 3 145.12 (-0.40)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 3 161.24 (-0.05)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4) 13 135.45 (+1.58)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 15 131.95 (-1.88)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 25000 55.69 (-1.84)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 25000 55.69 (-1.84)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 100 28.16 (-2.13)          Abigail (ABGAL) 8500 49.63 (-4.94)          Abigail (ABGAL) 25 49.63 (-4.94)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 25000 54.68 (-1.19)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2) 50 170.17 (+1.30)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 25000 54.68 (-1.19)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 25000 55.69 (-1.84)          Tyler Gillett (TYGIL) 25000 55.69 (-1.84)          Ryan Reynolds (RREYN) 100 109.29 (0.00)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 13.34 (-1.66)          Playdate (PLYDT) 150000 16.66 (+1.66)          Ron Livingston (RLIVI) 100 28.80 (0.00)          Shawn Levy (SLEVY) 100 114.72 (0.00)          Alan Tudyk (ATUDY) 25000 100.51 (-0.60)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 250 70.88 (+0.25)          Winona Ryder (WRYDE) 100 26.09 (0.00)          Rebecca Hall (RBHAL) 5 44.26 (-0.16)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 5 56.17 (0.00)          Kerry Condon (KCOND) 5 19.90 (0.00)          Ciaran Hinds (CHIND) 5 63.12 (+0.25)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.20 (+0.03)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 150000 17.20 (+0.03)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 28.16 (-2.13)