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Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek

Posted by: doblinitus (a.k.a Dobies) on Oct 29, 08:20 in response to mrbeankc's post One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I...

I think This Is It fans are more likely to see it during the week then target audience of Shrek. I highly doubt a jump like Shrek

LA Times: 'This Is It' headed for $10 million to $12 million opening day Mattrek Oct 28, 22:46

So $250 million is still possible right... Sandston Oct 28, 22:54

250M was always a global 5-day prediction.. Btw, over on Twitter, PNACT is trending higher than JACKO, and has, mostly, so far.. {nm} Facto Oct 28, 23:07

One has to take Weds openers with a grain of salt. I remember Shrek 3 opened for $11m on a Weds and someone... mrbeankc Oct 29, 00:16

Did Shrek 3 open on a Halloween-weekend.. ? {nm} Facto Oct 29, 03:09

Shrek is skewed towards school age children which are unlikely to get to see a movie on wednesday of a schoolweek doblinitus Oct 29, 08:20

As I specifically said I wasn't comparing [JACKO] to Shrek. You need to read posts a bit better {nm} mrbeankc Oct 29, 13:17

Pretty solid for Wednesday. {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 22:56

Except that over on BOM-forums, they were discussing O/U on 30M OD. Most thought close to that, some thougt well above... {nm} Facto Oct 28, 22:58

Yup, I was way over, gave into the presale and internet hype. Btw BOM hypes things incredibly high (Black Dynamite, Watchmen etc.). {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:03

I don't know, man. 30 mil OD seems a little outrageous to me. Is it because they were buying into the AEG hype? {nm} Movienaut Oct 28, 23:04

It was so incredibly hyped... Mattrek Oct 28, 23:11

It peaked way too early. There was an initial rush the first week...week and a half and then pre-sales petered out. Maybe they should've Catzan Oct 28, 23:16

Exactly, I should've realized that, but even the best predictors over on BOM gave into the hype. Some predicted it would beat TDK's 5-day Mattrek Oct 28, 23:19

Wow...I was liking MTC's 70m number...but after the middies did what they did...I knew that was an uphill battle. {nm} Catzan Oct 28, 23:26

Here's a link. Read the whole story. It's hardly out of the woods. HuskyMiller Oct 28, 23:01

I already have a link in the first post thanks. {nm} Mattrek Oct 28, 23:01

Looks like you need to revisit your mad linking skillz. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 05:18

Oh, I see Husky's attempt was no better. Here's a real link... edzep Oct 29, 05:22

Look like a short for sure; if it's $12m, I'm seeing $30m 3-day and $50m 5-day on the high end {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:05

And bad call from me, I'll not hesitate to admit {nm} xiayun Oct 28, 23:26

So 40M For The Three Day Is Unlikely Right ? Well I Knew It Was Overhyped. wrongturn687 Oct 29, 04:03

With your new projection, and a litlle luck, this would be nearly an H$2 Million pickup for shorters. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 04:25

(hours later) Oops. Bad calc. But, with newer numbers, H$2M gain from short does look possible. {nm} edzep Oct 29, 14:24

Ouchies. Well below expectations. I blame AEG for overhyping it. Satisifed I sold before epic fail. {nm} thatpj Oct 29, 05:45





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A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 1 17.80 (+0.13)          Winnie-the-Pooh: Blood and Honey (WTPB2) 150000 2.24 (-0.23)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 150000 114.28 (-2.24)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 2280 63.64 (+0.10)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (GHST5) 150000 114.28 (-2.24)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Piece by Piece (PCBPC) 11000 16.39 (-0.08)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 11000 6.48 (+0.10)          Wonder Woman 3 (WOND3) 150000 24.61 (-0.08)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 50000 20.00 (0.00)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 18.15 (-0.06)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 6866 63.64 (+0.10)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 10000 44.60 (-0.02)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 13.87 (-0.04)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 500 18.15 (-0.06)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 17704 63.64 (+0.10)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 10000 115.24 (+0.09)          The Listener (LSTNR) 115721 0.08 (+0.05)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 61852 63.64 (+0.10)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.21 (+3.22)          Star Trek 4 (TREK4) 150000 64.21 (+3.22)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.68 (-0.32)          NBC: Extended Family (EXTFAM) 25000 13.44 (-0.07)          CBS: Elsbeth (ELSBET) 25000 9.64 (-0.03)          FOX: Krapopolis (KRAPOP) 25000 13.29 (-0.07)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 10000 194.67 (-0.62)          Untitled Vernon Chatman Project (UVCHA) 150000 13.78 (-0.06)          The Listener (LSTNR) 150000 0.08 (+0.05)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 58867 63.64 (+0.10)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 19.68 (-0.32)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 44.43 (+1.78)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Snow White (SNWHT) 10000 175.12 (+0.75)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 13.87 (-0.04)          Parachute (PRCHU) 150000 0.20 (+0.01)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.68 (+0.86)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 21.68 (+0.86)          Minecraft (MINEC) 10000 88.87 (-0.01)          The Old Oak (OLOAK) 150000 0.30 (-0.03)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 30000 19.68 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 10000 60.45 (+0.30)          The Listener (LSTNR) 25000 0.08 (+0.05)          Twisters aka Twister 2 (TWIS2) 612 159.86 (-0.31)          Mission: Impossible 8 (MISS8) 150000 158.75 (-0.35)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 150000 44.43 (+1.78)          Housekeeping for Beginners (HKFBG) 150000 0.76 (-0.08)          Thunderbolts (TBOLT) 10000 165.53 (+0.21)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 30000 19.68 (-0.02)