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Well I thought MTC's THIS IS IT # was reasonable so don't trade off of me. ;)

Posted by: notfabio on Nov 16, 12:25 in response to tbonearelli's post notfabio - i have seen your posts with market...

But nothing else has come close to the level of patron excitement for Twilight this year.

Wells: trackings [TWLI2] 84 total awareness, 46% of the totals definitely interested and a 26 first choice. Antibody Nov 16, 11:56

I think it's a missed chance... they should have brought out TWIL1huge ( not just one night ) in the same week as nr 2. Twilight=BIG! {nm} JMT Nov 16, 12:07

Eh, not really, compared to the 1000's of advance sales for midnight, the 9PM's for the first are doing a couple dozen per location notfabio Nov 16, 12:17

notfabio - i have seen your posts with market projections, what are your thoughts? 100+ ? {nm} tbonearelli Nov 16, 12:22

Well I thought MTC's THIS IS IT # was reasonable so don't trade off of me. ;) notfabio Nov 16, 12:25

This is GWTW (yes I mean Gone with etc) for this generation! I meant there were/are opp. for marketing like 'go see nr 1 and 2 for 10 $' {nm} JMT Nov 16, 12:24

Why would Summit/Theaters take away screens for TWLI2? and lose $ revenue they would've made anyways without a a 2 for 1 promo. {nm} Antibody Nov 16, 12:34

early bird screenings ? Midnight double bills ? I don't know... there are numerous creative ways to do that. never mind ;-) {nm} JMT Nov 16, 13:01

Strongly disagree with Wells take on those numbers. Twilight is not a 4 quadrant monster like 2012 however, thatpj Nov 16, 12:19

You seriously think it won't outdo 2012's opening weekend? Did you notice that both RS and MTC has it tracking for over 100 opening WE?? {nm} Facto Nov 16, 12:25

Wells' (updated) take is "between the high 50s and low 60s", so I think thatpj is saying that TWLI2 will do better (and beat 2012's OW) {nm} RogerMore Nov 16, 13:00

It may very well make 60m OD and not get to 100m OW, I expect serious front-loading. {nm} Mattrek Nov 16, 13:24

That number is likely closer to the opening day than the opening weekend. {nm} MiyazakiFan Nov 16, 13:50

Click the title . . . . . {nm} thatpj Nov 16, 13:39

If you could help me out a bit - I've always wondered what "four quadrant" or "four-quad" means.. Where does it come from? TIA {nm} Facto Nov 16, 15:15

Facto 4 quadrant encompasses all 4 demographics for movies. I believe: seniors, young adults, teens/tweens and young children are the 4 {nm} Mattrek Nov 16, 16:18

Males under 25, Males over 25, Females under 25, Females over 25. {nm} Antibody Nov 16, 16:24

Thanks, both. {nm} Facto Nov 16, 16:54

Newby here, what do these numbers mean? Thanks {nm} HollywoodTycoon61 Nov 16, 16:36





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Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 1000 24.03 (0.00)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 4000 24.03 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 10000 13.84 (+0.05)          Gemma Arterton (GARTE) 100 7.90 (+0.05)          Shelter (SELTR) 14000 22.34 (-0.13)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 6000 24.03 (0.00)          Dylan O’Brien (DOBRI) 100 26.78 (+0.12)          Anaconda H$30 Call (ANAC3.CA) 25000 1.12 (-0.12)          Grendel (GREND) 28000 15.06 (-0.06)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 100 85.82 (+1.30)          By Design (BYDSG) 4 0.52 (-0.04)          Grendel (GREND) 28000 15.06 (-0.06)          Juliette Lewis (JLEWI) 24994 17.03 (+0.11)          Daisy Ridley (DRIDL) 100 4.51 (+0.10)          Normal (NORML) 75000 20.29 (+0.09)          Cillian Murphy (CMURP) 100 97.27 (+0.50)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 2832 5.00 (0.00)          Cara Delevingne (CDELE) 100 52.82 (+0.16)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 100 55.57 (+0.16)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 28000 20.92 (-0.10)          Ben Affleck (BAFFL) 100 44.65 (+0.33)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 7000 20.92 (-0.10)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.74 (+1.05)          Aubrey Plaza (APLAZ) 100 6.65 (+0.20)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 147 148.41 (+0.97)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 10000 0.44 (-0.34)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 1146 148.41 (+0.97)          Amanda Seyfried (ASEYF) 100 30.35 (+0.22)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.03 (+0.56)          Eternity (ETERN) 1000 14.13 (-0.71)          Eternity (ETERN) 4000 14.13 (-0.71)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 10000 116.80 (-5.03)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 28000 10.84 (-0.09)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 3000 10.84 (-0.09)          James Gunn (JGUNN) 1000 212.58 (-1.02)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 2000 461.17 (+1.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 1000 8.44 (+0.01)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 4000 9.80 (0.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 100 111.63 (+0.88)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 3000 140.88 (+1.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100 421.28 (+1.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 3000 38.04 (-0.15)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 100 233.06 (+1.17)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 100 461.17 (+1.01)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 68.01 (+0.06)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 1000 25.13 (+0.16)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 100 167.26 (+1.56)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 100 158.28 (+2.96)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 2000 201.99 (+0.02)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 100 261.28 (+3.15)