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Well I thought MTC's THIS IS IT # was reasonable so don't trade off of me. ;)

Posted by: notfabio on Nov 16, 12:25 in response to tbonearelli's post notfabio - i have seen your posts with market...

But nothing else has come close to the level of patron excitement for Twilight this year.

Wells: trackings [TWLI2] 84 total awareness, 46% of the totals definitely interested and a 26 first choice. Antibody Nov 16, 11:56

I think it's a missed chance... they should have brought out TWIL1huge ( not just one night ) in the same week as nr 2. Twilight=BIG! {nm} JMT Nov 16, 12:07

Eh, not really, compared to the 1000's of advance sales for midnight, the 9PM's for the first are doing a couple dozen per location notfabio Nov 16, 12:17

notfabio - i have seen your posts with market projections, what are your thoughts? 100+ ? {nm} tbonearelli Nov 16, 12:22

Well I thought MTC's THIS IS IT # was reasonable so don't trade off of me. ;) notfabio Nov 16, 12:25

This is GWTW (yes I mean Gone with etc) for this generation! I meant there were/are opp. for marketing like 'go see nr 1 and 2 for 10 $' {nm} JMT Nov 16, 12:24

Why would Summit/Theaters take away screens for TWLI2? and lose $ revenue they would've made anyways without a a 2 for 1 promo. {nm} Antibody Nov 16, 12:34

early bird screenings ? Midnight double bills ? I don't know... there are numerous creative ways to do that. never mind ;-) {nm} JMT Nov 16, 13:01

Strongly disagree with Wells take on those numbers. Twilight is not a 4 quadrant monster like 2012 however, thatpj Nov 16, 12:19

You seriously think it won't outdo 2012's opening weekend? Did you notice that both RS and MTC has it tracking for over 100 opening WE?? {nm} Facto Nov 16, 12:25

Wells' (updated) take is "between the high 50s and low 60s", so I think thatpj is saying that TWLI2 will do better (and beat 2012's OW) {nm} RogerMore Nov 16, 13:00

It may very well make 60m OD and not get to 100m OW, I expect serious front-loading. {nm} Mattrek Nov 16, 13:24

That number is likely closer to the opening day than the opening weekend. {nm} MiyazakiFan Nov 16, 13:50

Click the title . . . . . {nm} thatpj Nov 16, 13:39

If you could help me out a bit - I've always wondered what "four quadrant" or "four-quad" means.. Where does it come from? TIA {nm} Facto Nov 16, 15:15

Facto 4 quadrant encompasses all 4 demographics for movies. I believe: seniors, young adults, teens/tweens and young children are the 4 {nm} Mattrek Nov 16, 16:18

Males under 25, Males over 25, Females under 25, Females over 25. {nm} Antibody Nov 16, 16:24

Thanks, both. {nm} Facto Nov 16, 16:54

Newby here, what do these numbers mean? Thanks {nm} HollywoodTycoon61 Nov 16, 16:36





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Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 1.80 (0.00)          Hey Joe (TUMIA) 150000 0.01 (0.00)          Zoey Deutch (ZDEUT) 1111 22.28 (+0.25)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 1.80 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 729 10.86 (+0.63)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 355 10.86 (+0.63)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 30000 243.86 (+0.20)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 30000 243.86 (+0.20)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 50000 18.11 (+0.02)          Killing Satoshi (KSATO) 50000 18.11 (+0.02)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 563 10.86 (+0.63)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 50000 13.40 (+0.04)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 50000 13.40 (+0.04)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 20000 20.87 (+0.25)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 2 262.17 (0.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 158.85 (+0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10000 158.85 (+0.15)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 5000 4.56 (+0.02)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 5000 4.56 (+0.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 3000 223.03 (-0.39)          Young Washington (YWASH) 1000 29.32 (-0.06)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 1 373.23 (-0.50)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 3000 365.62 (-0.26)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1 177.13 (-0.22)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 5000 21.54 (+1.54)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 500 1.80 (-0.20)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.80 (-0.20)          Richard Ayoade (RAYOA) 25000 33.04 (+0.25)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 49233 21.54 (+1.54)          Mathieu Kassovitz (MKASS) 100 21.46 (+0.12)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 5000 20.87 (+0.25)          One Spoon of Chocolate (OSOCH) 150000 1.80 (-0.20)          Wolf Creek Legacy (WCRE2) 20000 17.98 (+0.73)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 4.39 (-0.18)          In the Hand of Dante (ITHOD) 150000 4.39 (-0.18)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 1 13.56 (+0.68)          Luis Guzman (LGUZM) 210 30.97 (+0.25)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 25000 13.56 (+0.68)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 53.98 (+0.41)          Kirsten Dunst (KDUNS) 25000 53.98 (+0.41)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come - Op (RONO2.OW) 100000 10.81 (-0.21)          Varanasi (VARAN) 1 10.48 (-0.88)          Varanasi (VARAN) 50000 10.48 (-0.88)          Russell Crowe (RCROW) 25000 15.60 (-0.10)          Kent State (KENTS) 100 1.54 (+0.02)          Ethan Hawke (EHAWK) 25000 15.94 (+0.20)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 100 13.56 (+0.68)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.77 (-0.29)          The Weight (THEWT) 150000 6.77 (-0.29)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 4 13.32 (+1.01)