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Best of 2022 DRST2 Day 3 ~188m Day 24 ~411m, even with 200m D3 & a better hold + Christmas/NY, 517m D24 looks unlikely

Posted by: Tallwonder on Dec 10, 11:40 in response to Peter453's post DL: Avatar: The Way of Water set to conquer all business...

Though ultimately it should do 550-600m maybe more, I just don't see 517.5m as the stock's currently showing by D24.
People here tend to forget they aren't betting on total BO just D24.
It should become 2022's no.2 release behind Top Gun2, who knows even go past it by end-Jan/early-Feb but D24's a different matter.

11.72 million in Chinese presales for Avatar 2 as of yesterday notfabio Dec 10, 09:39

Jatinder oddly quiet {nm} notfabio Dec 10, 09:42

DL: Avatar: The Way of Water set to conquer all business next weekend with a potential $200M domestic start Peter453 Dec 10, 11:28

Seems like a bit of a throwaway comment by Deadline but who knows {nm} Peter453 Dec 10, 11:29

Best of 2022 DRST2 Day 3 ~188m Day 24 ~411m, even with 200m D3 & a better hold + Christmas/NY, 517m D24 looks unlikely Tallwonder Dec 10, 11:40

Your comparing DS2 hold with Avatar 2? I really dont think its comparable at all {nm} Peter453 Dec 10, 11:48

Superhero movies are very very frontloaded these days. Avatar 2 will not play out that way. {nm} Peter453 Dec 10, 11:49

Luiz Fernando: Avatar 2 15M pre sales in China, 2x F9 (which did 136M OW in China) Peter453 Dec 10, 12:09

Only because of the holidays... but I also think that will keep it from opening over $200 million. The Weekend Warrior Dec 10, 12:43

Do read the entire mesg. If I was plotting its nos in line with DSTR2 I wouldn't put the nos I did, no other blockbuster collapsed likeDSTR2 Tallwonder Dec 10, 12:08

People want to avoid spoilers with superhero movies thats why so frontloaded. I think Avatar 2 will be more like TGM. (IMO) {nm} Peter453 Dec 10, 12:12

What are you thinking for OW and 24 day total? I think 180/650 at this stage for me {nm} Peter453 Dec 10, 12:16

This is how I estimate D24 BO - for Peter453 (in case your Q was for me) Tallwonder Dec 11, 08:12

Of course what happens in the game (like stock markets) often isnt related to how the movie will do Tallwonder Dec 11, 08:24

517/200= 2.58 which is very doable for the holiday season. {nm} Antibody Dec 10, 13:38

Is that meant for me? I don't think it wiill open near $200m... Black Panther missed that mark and that was a sequel to a similar-sized hit. {nm} The Weekend Warrior Dec 10, 19:59

That's a reply to Tallwonder {nm} Antibody Dec 11, 07:41





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