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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Armor Wars (ARMWR) 48000 30.81 (+0.06)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 49000 9.28 (+0.02)          Joseph Kosinski (JKOSI) 4000 133.86 (-0.28)          Bullitt (BULIT) 1000 18.24 (-0.02)          Bullitt (BULIT) 1000 18.24 (-0.02)          Naruto (NARUT) 49000 17.08 (+0.01)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 25000 49.52 (+0.07)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.60 (-0.20)          The Saviors (SAVIR) 150000 4.40 (+0.07)          Aaron Eckhart (AECKH) 25000 13.60 (-0.20)          Mckenna Grace (MCGRA) 3000 67.26 (+0.03)          Backrooms H$20 Call (BACRM.CA) 25000 8.32 (+0.64)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 25000 131.62 (-0.33)          Backrooms - Opening Weekend (BACRM.OW) 100000 47.66 (+3.58)          Adam Scott (ASCOT) 25000 27.53 (-0.25)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 31.55 (+0.37)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 150000 3.84 (-0.01)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 3.30 (+0.67)          Kyle Chandler (KCHAN) 19999 63.10 (-0.25)          Power Ballad (PWRBL) 20000 15.37 (+0.67)          Jim Parsons (JPARS) 25000 68.11 (-0.75)          Pressure (PRSUR) 25000 14.19 (+0.28)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 50000 8.55 (-0.01)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 13000 15.47 (-0.20)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 20000 23.40 (+0.33)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 3993 15.47 (-0.20)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 1000 94.16 (+0.43)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 15000 85.21 (-1.35)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 25000 85.21 (-1.35)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 1 179.27 (-0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 30000 188.24 (-3.06)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 30000 188.24 (-3.06)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 220.33 (-1.02)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 331 17.93 (-0.07)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 20000 50.84 (-1.02)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 40000 50.84 (-1.02)          Steve Buscemi (SBUSC) 25000 45.53 (-0.99)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 1000 226.25 (+2.15)          Chum (CHUM) 149999 1.31 (0.00)          Chum (CHUM) 150000 1.31 (0.00)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 23.63 (-0.13)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 30000 30.48 (+0.04)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 19999 30.48 (+0.04)          Primetime (PRMTM) 1000 18.18 (+2.06)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 94.93 (+5.38)          Monitor (MONTR) 50000 8.59 (+0.53)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 19173 116.61 (-0.11)          Monitor (MONTR) 49999 8.59 (+0.53)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 44999 6.24 (+0.53)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 10000 226.25 (+2.15)