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I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 16, 14:55 in response to Paul2k's post BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Behemoth! (BEHEM) 17500 13.16 (+0.28)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 2500 13.16 (+0.28)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 398.01 (+0.80)          Not Alone (NTALN) 1 99.38 (+0.42)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 20000 13.16 (+0.28)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 150000 263.00 (+0.15)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 149999 2.65 (+0.43)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 137.36 (-2.08)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 149999 2.65 (+0.43)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 50000 18.77 (+2.36)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 13.16 (+0.28)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 13.16 (+0.28)          A Minecraft Movie Squared (MINE2) 150000 328.05 (+1.40)          Donkey (DONKE) 22000 111.89 (+1.69)          Jason Momoa (JMOMO) 25000 156.27 (-0.50)          Tomorrow, and Tomorrow, and Tomo (TATAT) 50000 34.57 (+0.06)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 150000 9.08 (-0.06)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 137.36 (-2.08)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 25000 56.23 (-0.16)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 210.05 (+2.00)          Andrew Stanton (ANSTA) 25000 210.05 (+2.00)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 30 2.65 (+0.43)          Drew Starkey (DSTAR) 25000 21.68 (+0.12)          Obsession $150M Blockbuster Warr (OBSSN.BW) 23946 21.52 (+0.49)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 18.77 (+2.36)          Ti Amo! (TIAMO) 150000 18.77 (+2.36)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 13.16 (+0.28)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 78.86 (-0.50)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 40000 18.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 800 162.37 (-1.38)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 2000 81.41 (-2.35)          Emma Mackey (EMACK) 25000 56.37 (0.00)          Evil Dead Burn (EVLD6) 7400 44.27 (-2.40)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 137.08 (-1.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 33764 468.75 (+0.02)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 317.18 (-1.33)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 147.23 (-3.19)          Tangled (TANGL) 12000 100.22 (-0.82)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 81.41 (-2.35)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 401.87 (+0.14)          Who's That Girl aka Madonna biop (MDONA) 150000 5.28 (-0.07)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 149980 18.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 $405M Blockbuster Wa (TOYS5.BW) 25000 5.63 (+0.63)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Donkey (DONKE) 50000 111.89 (+1.69)          Homewrecker (HMWRC) 150000 18.00 (0.00)