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I agree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 17:43 in response to accountant_4_Jesus' post As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 11.05 (+1.05)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 10 304.62 (-2.65)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 50000 144.45 (+5.72)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.90)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.29 (+2.29)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.71 (-0.29)          Young Washington - Opening Weeke (YWASH.OW) 100000 11.05 (+1.05)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.58 (+0.58)          Dracula - Universal (DRCUL) 100000 7.22 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.63 (-0.37)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 77.29 (+2.29)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.90)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 54.96 (-1.28)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 50000 54.96 (-1.28)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Bloodsport (BLDSP) 580 20.51 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 20000 77.29 (+2.29)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 54.96 (-1.28)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 100000 10.49 (-0.06)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 144.45 (+5.72)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          42.6 Years (426YR) 100000 9.36 (-0.10)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.90 (+0.90)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Ken Russell's The Devil (KRSTD) 150000 1.87 (-0.03)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 150000 28.72 (+1.21)          Young Washington H$10 Put (YWASH.PU) 25000 1.71 (-0.29)          Priscilla: Queen of the Desert 2 (APQD2) 100000 4.29 (-0.10)          Ghost of Tsushima (GOTSU) 100000 10.03 (-0.24)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 165.22 (+0.17)          Supergirl - Opening Weekend (SUPGR.OW) 100000 54.96 (-1.28)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 30000 77.29 (+2.29)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 2000 10.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 103942 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 46058 237.21 (-1.45)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 237.21 (-1.45)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 5.50 (+0.58)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 5.50 (+0.58)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Jungle Cruise 2 (JUNG2) 10000 16.41 (-0.02)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 149500 10.00 (0.00)