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I agree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 17:43 in response to accountant_4_Jesus' post As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.53 (-0.02)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 149998 4.56 (-0.32)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 150000 4.56 (-0.32)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 4000 22.03 (+0.10)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 35000 14.55 (+1.26)          Ibelin (IBELN) 149998 6.33 (-0.51)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 5000 14.55 (+1.26)          Moral Capacity (MORLC) 149998 5.18 (+0.20)          Call of Duty (CODUT) 21000 86.05 (+0.23)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 13.26 (-0.08)          Them (THEM) 5000 41.74 (+1.74)          Hokum (HOKUM) 149998 15.87 (+0.25)          Fleur (FLEUR) 149998 7.24 (+0.35)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 149998 6.08 (+0.33)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 149998 12.05 (+0.47)          In the Grey (NGREY) 149998 19.60 (+0.74)          Them (THEM) 5000 41.74 (+1.74)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149996 9.73 (+0.07)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 149999 17.40 (0.00)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          Colony (CLONY) 149997 1.81 (-0.15)          Them (THEM) 150000 41.74 (+1.74)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.73 (+1.74)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 15.87 (+0.25)          Over Your Dead Body (TETRP) 150000 3.80 (-0.03)          Project Hail Mary $260M Blockbus (PRJHM.BW) 25000 14.63 (+0.01)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 149999 17.40 (0.00)          Bambi (BAMBI) 149999 11.98 (-0.04)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 28.70 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.73 (+1.74)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 4.33 (-0.11)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 149999 39.72 (+0.09)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.74 (-0.03)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 266.76 (+0.75)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 152.57 (+0.44)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 150000 378.50 (+0.37)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 98.11 (+0.16)          50 Cent Curtis Jackson (50CEN) 2500 51.73 (+0.01)          Murder, She Wrote (MURSW) 150000 29.99 (+0.13)          Mortal Kombat II - Opening Weeke (MKMB2.OW) 100000 45.05 (+0.27)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 150000 134.34 (+0.33)          Oceans (OCEN5) 150000 47.05 (+0.15)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.OW) 100000 11.54 (-0.05)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 22.03 (+0.10)          K-Pop Superstar (KPOPM) 150000 38.29 (+0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 55.73 (+1.74)          The Bourne Dilemma (BORN6) 150000 80.22 (-0.25)          Air Bud Returns (AIRB3) 150000 5.27 (+0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 81322 235.06 (-0.06)