HSX Forum

Movies

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango)

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 14:28

http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2011-11-weekend-predictions-the-twilight-saga-breaking-dawn-part-i-and-happy-feet-two

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.25 (+0.25)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 12.14 (+1.81)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 79612 220.97 (+0.83)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 6752 25.22 (-0.33)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 25000 6.95 (-1.85)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 50000 3.29 (-0.13)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 253.85 (-3.26)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 253.85 (-3.26)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 1 61.47 (-0.19)          Astaire (ASTAI) 10000 6.06 (+0.03)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 145 52.39 (+0.86)          Mercy (MRCY1) 10000 34.11 (-0.71)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 29.73 (-0.16)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 100936 53.95 (+0.29)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 1000 51.09 (-0.33)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 1000 51.09 (-0.33)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 148614 13.52 (-0.13)          In the Grey (NGREY) 90000 15.08 (-0.12)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 10000 3.79 (-0.21)          The Moment (MOMNT) 20000 11.79 (+0.13)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 29999 19.59 (+0.49)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 1 51.31 (-0.19)          Outcome (OUTCM) 150000 10.69 (-0.06)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 30000 19.59 (+0.49)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 30000 15.80 (+0.36)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 1 8.37 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 1 39.95 (+0.06)          Fablehaven (FBLHV) 150000 16.97 (-0.16)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 25000 6.50 (+2.31)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 150000 9.88 (-0.08)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 7000 294.88 (+2.60)          Magic: The Gathering (MGCTG) 1 51.31 (-0.19)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 7000 294.88 (+2.60)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 3.29 (-0.13)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 1 8.37 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 1 39.95 (+0.06)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.99 (+0.30)          Bunker (BUNKR) 150000 5.99 (+0.30)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.25 (+0.25)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.25 (+0.25)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 1 3.24 (-0.04)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 1 55.89 (+0.02)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 1 18.12 (-0.07)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 12.36 (-0.04)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 1 3.24 (-0.04)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 1 55.89 (+0.02)