HSX Forum

Movies

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango)

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 14:28

http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2011-11-weekend-predictions-the-twilight-saga-breaking-dawn-part-i-and-happy-feet-two

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 138.89 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 2000 138.89 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          Play Dead (PLAYD) 10000 8.23 (0.00)          The Riders (RIDER) 10000 32.97 (-0.01)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 2000 14.76 (0.00)          Sgt. Rock (SGROC) 10000 28.68 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149999 9.76 (-0.24)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 149999 42.98 (+0.83)          Tangled (TANGL) 5000 87.37 (+0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 61.60 (-0.60)          The Best is Yet to Come (TBYTC) 10000 15.58 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 10000 10.05 (0.00)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 10000 6.14 (0.00)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 10000 8.09 (0.00)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 20000 22.75 (-0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 150000 6.56 (-0.19)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 2000 22.75 (-0.01)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.29 (+0.19)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 5000 2.89 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.80 (+0.29)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.42 (+0.58)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.80 (+0.29)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 5000 1.28 (+0.03)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.42 (+0.58)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.65 (+0.35)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 13.65 (+0.35)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 149999 4.79 (-0.21)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 149999 9.76 (-0.24)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 61.60 (-0.60)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 10.78 (-0.24)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 50000 90.75 (-0.09)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 61.60 (-0.60)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.80 (+0.29)          The Moment (MOMNT) 150000 10.78 (-0.24)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 10000 17.86 (-0.06)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.80 (+0.29)          The Drama (TDRAM) 3 19.81 (0.00)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 5.53 (+0.29)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 9.00 (-0.07)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 5000 61.60 (-0.60)          The Raja Saab (RSAAB) 150000 5.53 (+0.29)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 13.12 (-0.12)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 150000 9.00 (-0.07)          David (DAVID) 55000 75.32 (-0.54)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.42 (+0.58)