HSX Forum

Movies

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango)

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 14:28

http://www.boxoffice.com/featured_stories/2011-11-weekend-predictions-the-twilight-saga-breaking-dawn-part-i-and-happy-feet-two

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Barbie Ferreira (BFERR) 25000 41.60 (+0.17)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 114293 98.37 (+0.11)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 31.09 (-0.19)          Possession (PSESN) 150000 31.09 (-0.19)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 219.76 (-3.07)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 219.76 (-3.07)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 36.89 (-0.98)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 22.34 (-0.02)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 231.23 (-0.66)          Tangled (TANGL) 50000 117.21 (+0.55)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.26 (+2.12)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 9.15 (+0.44)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 103428 34.05 (+0.03)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 50000 7.52 (-0.48)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 19.92 (-0.08)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 3.99 (-0.36)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 73.90 (-0.08)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 50000 7.52 (-0.48)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 100000 0.05 (+0.01)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 5000 10.13 (+0.79)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 219.76 (-3.07)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 150000 73.90 (-0.08)          American Psycho (APSYC) 400 19.92 (-0.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 9000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Our Hero, Balthazar (OURHB) 150000 0.21 (0.00)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 36.89 (-0.98)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 6690 14.52 (-0.09)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 27.97 (-0.09)          Michael (MJACK) 85 231.23 (-0.66)          Whalefall (WHALF) 150000 30.34 (+1.39)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)          Love Child (LOVCH) 8000 0.13 (+0.04)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 110993 7.52 (-0.48)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.13 (+0.79)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.13 (+0.79)          The Catch (TCATC) 5000 50.00 (0.00)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.78 (+0.97)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.78 (+0.97)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 5000 219.76 (-3.07)          The Catch (TCATC) 8000 50.00 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 50.00 (0.00)