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What makes you say that? {nm}

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Nov 16, 15:13 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 100000 13.50 (+1.30)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 150000 39.77 (+1.11)          Varanasi (VARAN) 1 10.00 (0.00)          Wild Horse Nine (WILDH) 150000 9.89 (+1.96)          The Drama (TDRAM) 75000 33.07 (+3.38)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 75000 110.82 (+2.65)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 25000 248.16 (+1.50)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 33.07 (+3.38)          King (KING) 150000 3.28 (-0.09)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.01 (+1.66)          Three Incestuous Sisters (3INCS) 150000 14.01 (+1.66)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 2028 2.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.50 (+1.30)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.50 (+1.30)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 255 157.35 (-1.09)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 14.09 (-1.73)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 14.09 (-1.73)          Dhurandhar: The Revenge (DHUR2) 150000 18.36 (-0.13)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Drama - Opening Weekend (TDRAM.OW) 100000 15.00 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 33.07 (+3.38)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 33.07 (+3.38)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 208.07 (-0.32)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Put (TDRAM.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Wasteman (WASTE) 31000 0.56 (-0.01)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Varanasi (VARAN) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Panda Plan 2: The Magical Tribe (PPLA2) 31000 0.77 (+0.02)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 14.09 (-1.73)          Mile End Kicks (MILEK) 31000 0.76 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 149999 240.76 (+2.79)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 240.76 (+2.79)          Lorne (LORNE) 31000 1.39 (+0.01)          Erupcja (ERUPC) 31000 0.81 (-0.06)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 1159 371.86 (+0.09)          Clayface (CLAYF) 10000 67.37 (+0.05)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 240.76 (+2.79)          Incredibles 3 (NCRD3) 2223 371.86 (+0.09)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 240.76 (+2.79)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 10000 84.32 (0.00)