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What makes you say that? {nm}

Posted by: Ruthian23 on Nov 16, 15:13 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 10000 23.72 (-0.25)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 10000 19.20 (-1.12)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 50000 80.00 (0.00)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 10000 10.32 (-0.03)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 10000 5.13 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1000 252.21 (-1.49)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 2331 80.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 55.14 (-1.47)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 50000 19.55 (+0.45)          David (DAVID) 150000 78.36 (-1.14)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 50000 19.55 (+0.45)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 53360 21.11 (+0.10)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 150000 21.11 (+0.10)          GOAT (TGOAT) 3000 56.64 (+0.40)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 4000 52.40 (+0.87)          Teen Titans (TEENT) 150000 40.07 (-0.34)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.86 (-0.14)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.86 (-0.14)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 96640 21.11 (+0.10)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 25.11 (-0.87)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 10000 6.58 (+2.39)          The Drama (TDRAM) 24999 19.20 (-1.12)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 24999 13.58 (-3.00)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 50000 12.63 (+1.96)          Jack Lowden (JLOWD) 25000 8.92 (-0.35)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 15.68 (+0.24)          Rainbow Six (RNBW6) 150000 15.68 (+0.24)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.58 (+2.39)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.58 (+2.39)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.25 (+0.25)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 12.14 (+1.81)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 79612 220.97 (+0.83)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 6752 25.22 (-0.33)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 25000 6.95 (-1.85)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 50000 3.29 (-0.13)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 253.85 (-3.26)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 253.85 (-3.26)          The Social Reckoning aka The Soc (SOCI2) 1 61.47 (-0.19)          Astaire (ASTAI) 10000 6.06 (+0.03)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 145 52.40 (+0.87)          Mercy (MRCY1) 10000 34.11 (-0.71)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 150000 29.75 (-0.14)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFDD) 100936 53.95 (+0.29)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 1000 51.09 (-0.33)          Ayo Edebiri (AEDEB) 1000 51.09 (-0.33)