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You disappoint me Paul... {nm}

Posted by: PRodQuanta on Nov 16, 15:52 in response to Paul2k's post Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Normal (NORML) 887 8.68 (-0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.50 (-1.12)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 150000 50.28 (-0.15)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 296 2.97 (0.00)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 1922 18.74 (-0.02)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 416 4.17 (0.00)          Faces of Death (FACOD) 345 2.97 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 5000 160.19 (+0.16)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 1926 200.50 (-1.12)          The Christophers (CHRIS) 426 4.17 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 53022 362.74 (+1.00)          The Housemaid's Secret (HMAI2) 900 88.06 (+0.08)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 9.67 (+0.40)          Jane (JANE1) 1000 13.08 (-0.14)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 86.69 (-1.09)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Openin (PRAD2.OW) 100000 86.69 (-1.09)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 910 9.11 (-0.59)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.18 (-2.67)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.18 (-2.67)          Ono Ghost Market (ONOGM) 150000 84.53 (+0.66)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 50000 162.80 (-0.47)          Michael (MJACK) 10000 233.92 (-0.11)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 11926 200.50 (-1.12)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 297 59.98 (+0.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.18 (-2.67)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.01 (+0.05)          Heart of the Beast (HOTBS) 25000 31.32 (-0.05)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 150000 13.43 (+0.04)          Bob Odenkirk (BODEN) 25000 36.13 (-0.12)          Jeff Bridges (JBRID) 25000 52.83 (+0.16)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.56 (-0.12)          Kate Hudson (KHUDS) 25000 53.66 (-0.16)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 1500 123.81 (+0.02)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.56 (-0.12)          Billie Eilish - Hit Me Hard And (HMHAS.PU) 25000 1.61 (-0.04)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 33 362.74 (+1.00)          The Sheep Detectives - Opening W (3BAGF.OW) 100000 14.56 (-0.12)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 10000 224.18 (-2.67)          Chloe East (CHEAS) 500 11.36 (-0.10)          Craig Robinson (CROBI) 1000 60.37 (-0.24)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 1067 9.11 (-0.59)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 2001 326.41 (-0.25)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 9.11 (-0.59)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 9.11 (-0.59)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 1002 145.51 (-0.26)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 1080 79.03 (-0.29)          Jack Black (JBLAC) 25000 157.28 (0.00)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 5428 79.03 (-0.29)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 7110 117.51 (-0.19)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 1 155.29 (-0.33)