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You disappoint me Paul... {nm}

Posted by: PRodQuanta on Nov 16, 15:52 in response to Paul2k's post Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 14.78 (-2.09)          Sophia Lillis (SLILL) 10000 129.10 (-0.13)          Paul Greengrass (PGREE) 25000 80.41 (-0.25)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 10 116.59 (-0.11)          Isla Fisher (IFISH) 5000 29.69 (+0.08)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 100 259.44 (-1.32)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 25000 12.62 (+0.21)          ABC: 9-1-1 Nashville (911NAS) 25000 12.62 (+0.21)          Emily Watson (EWATS) 25000 16.64 (-0.20)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Cillian Murphy (CMURP) 25000 93.02 (-0.25)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.73 (-0.27)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.37 (+0.21)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.12 (-0.88)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.37 (+0.21)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 104.53 (+0.33)          Solo Mio (SOLOM) 1 15.97 (-0.02)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 9.68 (-0.08)          The Moment (MOMNT) 1 12.39 (+0.01)          Rental Family (RNTLF) 150000 9.68 (-0.08)          Shelter (SELTR) 1 22.16 (+0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Send Help (SENDH) 1 35.68 (+0.03)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 1 17.07 (+0.02)          Mercy (MRCY1) 1 36.23 (-1.12)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 1 63.60 (0.00)          Primate (PRIMT) 1 22.01 (+0.06)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 1 23.59 (-0.55)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 1 23.59 (-0.55)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 1.82 (+0.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 128.64 (+1.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.06 (+0.18)          Protector (PRTEC) 96906 1.82 (+0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 23.31 (-2.05)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 2.18 (-0.39)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 17.07 (+0.02)          Protector (PRTEC) 150000 1.82 (+0.11)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 14.78 (-2.09)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 6.13 (+0.13)          Deep Water (DEEPW) 150000 6.13 (+0.13)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 150000 14.78 (-2.09)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 3.08 (+0.19)          Jonathan Groff (JGROF) 25000 99.30 (-0.25)