HSX Forum

Movies

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:21 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 212.37 (+0.85)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.06 (+1.56)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 12.06 (+1.56)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 310.52 (+1.04)          Crime 101 - Opening Weekend Fri- (CRIM1.OW) 100000 10.61 (+0.17)          Crime 101 H$10 Call Fri-Mon (CRIM1.CA) 25000 1.86 (-0.11)          Crime 101 H$10 Put Fri-Mon (CRIM1.PU) 25000 2.54 (+0.04)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD.OW) 100000 5.61 (+0.06)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 149863 18.43 (-0.13)          Islands (ISLNS) 150000 0.26 (+0.04)          Shiver (SHVER) 150000 54.78 (+3.71)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 1 0.82 (-0.01)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 110.91 (-0.02)          Vampires of the Velvet Lounge (VOTVL) 149873 0.82 (-0.01)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 1 12.41 (-1.00)          Islands (ISLNS) 1000 0.26 (+0.04)          Shaun The Sheep: The Beast Of Mo (SHEP3) 149870 12.41 (-1.00)          Somewhere Out There (SWOTH) 2000 3.09 (+0.01)          Melania (MLNIA) 1483 11.40 (-3.32)          GOAT (TGOAT) 150000 63.37 (-0.49)          Whalefall (WHALF) 500 26.74 (-0.20)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 24.29 (-0.13)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 110.91 (-0.02)          Hit Me Hard And Soft: The Tour (HMHAS) 150000 24.29 (-0.13)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Dolly (DOLLY) 1 2.09 (-0.17)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 110.91 (-0.02)          Dolly (DOLLY) 149872 2.09 (-0.17)          Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 25000 4.19 (-0.32)          Marty Supreme - Original Screenp (A6OMSU) 25000 4.19 (-0.32)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 1 24.51 (-0.16)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 11.40 (-3.32)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 149863 24.51 (-0.16)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 11.40 (-3.32)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 219.05 (+0.66)          ABC: RJ Decker (RJDECK) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 149755 24.51 (-0.16)          NBC: The Fall and Rise of Reggie (FARORD) 25000 8.00 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 219.05 (+0.66)          Gatto (GATTO) 5000 109.79 (+0.41)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 219.05 (+0.66)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 9 18.43 (-0.13)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 10 18.43 (-0.13)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 149766 18.43 (-0.13)          GOAT H$25 Call Fri-Mon (TGOAT.CA) 25000 2.65 (+0.04)          GOAT - Opening Weekend Fri-Mon (TGOAT.OW) 100000 26.28 (+0.13)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 25000 4.98 (+1.05)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.31 (+0.02)          GOAT (TGOAT) 19 63.37 (-0.49)