HSX Forum

Movies

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:21 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 999 48.66 (+1.97)          Cole Sprouse (CSPRO) 25000 54.02 (+0.16)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 25511 35.74 (-0.03)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 3433 48.66 (+1.97)          Katy Perry: The Lifetime Tour - (KPTLT) 150000 8.24 (+0.13)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 4344 14.23 (+1.11)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 9.13 (+0.05)          Dead by Daylight (DBDLT) 150000 21.87 (+0.57)          Club Kid (CLUBK) 150000 13.40 (+0.81)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 150000 2.28 (0.00)          Ali G: Who Iz I? (ALIG2) 10000 21.68 (+0.96)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 1535 590.80 (+0.74)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 25354 35.74 (-0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 149980 590.80 (+0.74)          Topher Grace (TGRAC) 25000 17.99 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 140000 71.25 (+0.06)          Michael Shannon (MISHA) 25000 32.76 (0.00)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 59.31 (+0.16)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 149999 275.26 (+0.64)          Keegan-Michael Key (KMKEY) 25000 136.49 (0.00)          The Mummy Franchise (MUMY5) 1 109.56 (-0.11)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 150000 97.04 (0.00)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie - Ope (PAWP3.OW) 100000 18.72 (+0.06)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 58.85 (+0.16)          Shailene Woodley (SWOOD) 25000 15.72 (+0.10)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 150000 72.13 (+1.05)          Pablo Schreiber (PSCHR) 25000 35.29 (+0.12)          Johnny Knoxville (JKNOX) 25000 15.35 (0.00)          Nina Dobrev (NDOBR) 25000 34.68 (+0.25)          Cooper Hoffman (CHOFF) 25000 13.82 (-0.10)          Chase Sui Wonders (CSWON) 25000 16.01 (-0.10)          Nina Dobrev (NDOBR) 25000 34.68 (+0.25)          Drag (DRAG) 3601 7.15 (-0.03)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 65000 15.22 (+0.71)          Wicker (WCKER) 75000 6.45 (+0.03)          The Bell Jar (BLJAR) 100000 9.77 (+0.03)          It Ends (ITNDS) 15000 6.25 (0.00)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 15000 15.28 (-0.04)          Coward (COWRD) 1 1.18 (+0.02)          Jumanji: Open World (JUMN3) 5000 160.70 (-0.12)          Coward (COWRD) 150000 1.18 (+0.02)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 1 2.34 (-0.06)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 2.34 (-0.06)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 5000 179.48 (+0.32)          Charli XCX (CXCX) 25000 5.70 (-0.05)          The Haunting of Hotel Transylvan (HTRN5) 5000 72.13 (+1.05)          NDA (NDA) 1 7.71 (-0.40)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 150000 122.21 (+0.33)          NDA (NDA) 15000 7.71 (-0.40)          Chase Sui Wonders (CSWON) 25000 16.01 (-0.10)