HSX Forum

Movies

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:21 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (AELLI) 25000 15.15 (-0.10)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 150000 7.02 (+0.04)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 407.10 (-0.67)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 0.73 (-0.20)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 7.69 (+0.53)          Miami Vice '85 (MIVIC) 150000 116.52 (+0.71)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Broadsword (BROSW) 20000 42.49 (-0.33)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 25000 0.73 (-0.20)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 500 44.43 (-0.02)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 48000 418.05 (+2.20)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Call (TOYS5.CA) 25000 7.69 (+0.53)          Spaceballs: The New One (SPCB2) 150000 133.05 (+0.80)          Broadsword (BROSW) 150000 42.49 (-0.33)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 50 55.32 (-0.16)          Bad Fairies (BFAIR) 150000 44.08 (-0.10)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 199 9.83 (-0.01)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 265.06 (+1.25)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 4 166.34 (+0.62)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 418.05 (+2.20)          Lice (LICE) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Melissa Barrera (MBARR) 500 44.43 (-0.02)          Emily Blunt (EBLUN) 5 121.24 (-0.33)          Meryl Streep (MSTRE) 4 144.95 (-0.33)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 4 131.36 (-0.33)          Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Mi (TSDCM) 150000 2.34 (0.00)          Night Nurse (NTNRS) 150000 1.14 (-0.03)          Milly Alcock (MALCO) 68 65.14 (-0.95)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 3999 9.83 (-0.01)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 998 12.75 (0.00)          Behemoth! (BEHEM) 198 12.75 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.00 (0.00)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 28 78.69 (+1.94)          De Noche (DNOCH) 4499 4.99 (+0.01)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 433 18.53 (+0.84)          The Fix aka Hotel Tehran (HTHRN) 28 5.06 (-0.12)          De Noche (DNOCH) 4812 4.99 (+0.01)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 25 30.41 (-0.70)          Polly Pocket (POLYP) 667 18.53 (+0.84)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 14 0.97 (+0.01)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 8 141.83 (-0.97)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 106 126.75 (-0.06)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 55 17.88 (-0.78)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 96 126.75 (-0.06)          Gundam (GUNDM) 1023 11.52 (-0.04)          Sonic the Hedgehog 4 (SONC4) 150000 162.07 (-0.60)