HSX Forum

Movies

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:21 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The AI Doc: Or How I Became an A (AIDOC) 150000 1.49 (-0.03)          She Dances (SDANC) 150000 1.14 (-0.11)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.23 (-0.21)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.23 (-0.21)          American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 23.23 (-0.21)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 30000 94.49 (-1.56)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 3.20 (-0.13)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 60000 5.17 (-0.76)          Seance on a Wet Afternoon (SOAWA) 69999 5.17 (-0.76)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come H$10 (RONO2.CA) 25000 3.20 (-0.13)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 21000 24.22 (-0.21)          Brad Bird (BBIRD) 25000 172.41 (-1.00)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 12.83 (-0.28)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 75000 241.68 (+3.71)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 10000 241.68 (+3.71)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 10000 241.68 (+3.71)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 12.83 (-0.28)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 50000 3.03 (-0.32)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 13.62 (-2.20)          That Time I Got Reincarnated As (TIGR2) 59999 3.03 (-0.32)          Balls Up (BALUP) 150000 13.62 (-2.20)          Miss Piggy (MSPIG) 60000 33.10 (-0.27)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 150000 12.83 (-0.28)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 30000 19.45 (-0.12)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 13.14 (-0.30)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 79999 1.87 (0.00)          The Sun Never Sets (TSNVS) 150000 1.87 (0.00)          Spirit (SPRIT) 29999 4.67 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 241.68 (+3.71)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 45000 21.19 (+0.01)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 241.68 (+3.71)          Alpha (ALPH1) 150000 1.91 (+0.01)          Alpha (ALPH1) 149999 1.91 (+0.01)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 150000 18.38 (-0.24)          Peaked (PEAKD) 30000 9.67 (+0.07)          Peaked (PEAKD) 49999 9.67 (+0.07)          Chitty Chitty Bang Bang (CCBB) 150000 18.38 (-0.24)          By Any Means (CI34) 30000 18.41 (+0.12)          By Any Means (CI34) 90000 18.41 (+0.12)          What Happens At Night (WHANT) 30000 39.77 (+1.11)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 24.22 (-0.21)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 150000 24.22 (-0.21)          The Drama H$15 Call (TDRAM.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie - O (MARI2.OW) 100000 145.00 (0.00)          The Drama (TDRAM) 78 33.38 (+3.69)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie H$1 (MARI2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Honeymoon With Harry (HWHRY) 150000 13.65 (+1.45)