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Movies

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 15:21 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 214.62 (-2.34)          Alan Cumming (ACUMM) 25000 25.26 (+0.12)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 149999 47.20 (+2.70)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-0.87)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 12.16 (-0.87)          Michael (MJACK) 8257 233.39 (+0.76)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 7.18 (+1.00)          Ibelin (IBELN) 150000 7.18 (+1.00)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 47.20 (+2.70)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 47.20 (+2.70)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          Ally (ALLY) 150000 21.41 (-0.12)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 2 214.62 (-2.34)          Ally (ALLY) 150000 21.41 (-0.12)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 21.75 (-0.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.85 (+0.01)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 75000 14.33 (+0.05)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 160.42 (+0.84)          The Man I Love (TMILV) 50000 5.20 (+0.36)          Ben Kingsley (BKING) 1000 14.66 (0.00)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 1000 23.97 (+0.01)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 1000 23.97 (+0.01)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 1000 15.85 (+0.10)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          Jason Statham (JSTAT) 1000 39.56 (0.00)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          The Catch (TCATC) 83740 47.92 (-2.08)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 14.87 (+0.06)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 1000 6.56 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 37821 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)          I Heart Murder (IHMUR) 5000 0.91 (0.00)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 50000 47.92 (-2.08)          The Catch (TCATC) 150000 47.92 (-2.08)