HSX Forum

Movies

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either

Posted by: xiayun on Nov 16, 17:08 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

The leg will be shorter, so could see something like $150m/$300m.

Ā 

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Outside Man (OUTSM) 1 10.21 (+0.91)          Smile 3 (SMIL3) 150000 23.78 (+2.68)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 1 10.21 (+0.91)          Tyrant (TYRNT) 10000 16.38 (+1.38)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Put (HTRAB.PU) 25000 1.68 (-0.32)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 1 21.98 (+1.49)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.70 (-0.74)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.70 (-0.74)          Molepeople (MOLEP) 1 21.98 (+1.49)          Outside Man (OUTSM) 10000 10.21 (+0.91)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.70 (-0.74)          How To Rob A Bank (HTRAB) 150000 46.70 (-0.74)          How to Rob a Bank - Opening Week (HTRAB.OW) 100000 15.44 (+0.44)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 1 5.16 (+1.48)          How to Rob a Bank H$15 Call (HTRAB.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 1 5.16 (+1.48)          Ebenezer H$35 Put (EBNZR.PU) 25000 2.47 (+0.47)          Ebenezer - Opening Weekend (EBNZR.OW) 100000 36.28 (+1.28)          Last Friday (FRID4) 1 14.19 (+0.22)          Wicker (WCKER) 150000 18.98 (+4.25)          Ebenezer H$35 Call (EBNZR.CA) 25000 1.54 (-0.46)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 104.48 (-0.37)          Death of a Salesman (DOASM) 9999 6.60 (+0.04)          Last Friday (FRID4) 1 14.19 (+0.22)          Ebenezer (EBNZR) 150000 104.48 (-0.37)          The Decline Of Fucking Western C (DOFWC) 10 5.16 (+1.48)          Ghost Soldier - Opening Weekend (ARCNG.OW) 100000 5.55 (+0.55)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 24.64 (+0.35)          Diamond (DIAMN) 150000 5.09 (-0.07)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 24.64 (+0.35)          Turpentine (TURPN) 150000 5.80 (-0.20)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 27.89 (+1.10)          Willem Dafoe (WDAFO) 25000 27.89 (+1.10)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 65.02 (-0.39)          Werwulf (WERWU) 150000 65.02 (-0.39)          Epiphany (EPHNY) 150000 2.56 (0.00)          The Ploughmen (PLOUM) 150000 0.06 (+0.01)          Goblin (GBLIN) 65000 22.83 (+1.68)          Slayground (OCTOB) 150000 14.82 (+0.31)          Slayground (OCTOB) 150000 14.82 (+0.31)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 53.92 (-1.16)          Sandra Huller (SHULL) 25000 53.92 (-1.16)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 19.29 (+1.02)          Owen Wilson (OWILS) 25000 19.29 (+1.02)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 16.47 (+0.80)          Michael Stuhlbarg (MSTUH) 25000 16.47 (+0.80)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 56.38 (+0.36)          Logan Marshall-Green (LMARS) 25000 56.38 (+0.36)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 7.42 (+0.20)          River (RIVE1) 150000 19.19 (+0.01)