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I disagree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 15:40 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Ezra Miller (EMILL) 25000 110.27 (+0.66)          Ezra Miller (EMILL) 25000 110.27 (+0.66)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 60.35 (+1.18)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 52.90 (+1.35)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 12.15 (+0.13)          Hope (HOPE) 150000 12.15 (+0.13)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 8.73 (-0.87)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          The Musical (MSCAL) 150000 0.46 (+0.03)          Candice Bergen (CBERG) 25000 26.62 (-0.25)          Insidious: Out of the Further (NSID6) 150000 60.35 (+1.18)          Candice Bergen (CBERG) 25000 26.62 (-0.25)          Forgotten Island (FRGIS) 100000 50.81 (+0.60)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 52.90 (+1.35)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 52.90 (+1.35)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 150000 27.72 (+2.91)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 2.20 (+0.06)          Lice (LICE) 60000 3.45 (-0.05)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 2.20 (+0.06)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 60000 8.94 (+0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day $855M (SPID9.BW) 25000 14.93 (+0.49)          Bad Bridgets (BRDGT) 90000 2.37 (-0.01)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Sender (SENDR) 150000 6.12 (-0.08)          Ridley Scott (RSCOT) 25000 63.31 (0.00)          Mr. Irrelevant: The John Tuggle (MREVL) 60000 27.72 (+2.91)          Primetime H$10 Call (PRMTM.CA) 25000 2.46 (+0.20)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 150000 79.02 (-3.05)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 10.00 (0.00)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Practical Magic 2 (PRAC2) 23000 79.02 (-3.05)          Clay (CLAY) 150000 98.27 (+8.27)          Your Mother Your Mother Your Mot (YOURM) 150000 5.67 (-0.04)          John Wick Prequel (WICK0) 150000 27.81 (+0.21)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1 22.54 (+1.56)