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I disagree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 15:40 in response to robineau's post I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Sender (SENDR) 100000 9.50 (+1.65)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 20000 2.04 (+0.24)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 20000 2.04 (+0.24)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 1.64 (+0.32)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 20000 1.64 (+0.32)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 9.23 (+5.27)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 9.23 (+5.27)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Sender (SENDR) 50000 9.50 (+1.65)          Send Help (SENDH) 4000 42.92 (+1.19)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.24)          GOAT H$25 Put Fri-Mon (TGOAT.PU) 25000 2.04 (+0.24)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 1.64 (+0.32)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Call Fri- (WUTHR.CA) 25000 1.64 (+0.32)          Shelter (SELTR) 1 13.55 (-3.18)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 13.55 (-3.18)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 9.23 (+5.27)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Wishful Thinking (WSHFT) 150000 4.36 (+0.36)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Josephine (JSPHN) 149997 10.00 (+1.35)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 46.95 (+2.96)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 13.55 (-3.18)          Shelter (SELTR) 150000 13.55 (-3.18)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 32.22 (+4.84)          Wuthering Heights - Opening Week (WUTHR.OW) 100000 46.95 (+2.96)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 6000 87.71 (+0.83)          A Tree is Blue (ATBLU) 2614 4.00 (0.00)          Bad Blood (BDBLD) 150000 0.09 (+0.01)          Dolly (DOLLY) 150000 1.70 (-0.22)          Tessa Thompson (TTHOM) 25000 144.65 (0.00)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 25000 34.69 (+0.13)          GOAT H$25 Call Fri-Mon (TGOAT.CA) 25000 2.64 (+0.08)          Wuthering Heights H$45 Put Fri-M (WUTHR.PU) 25000 2.58 (-0.04)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 10000 110.90 (+2.30)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 102.55 (0.00)          Parallel Tales (PRLLT) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Sinners - Original Screenplay (A6OSIN) 25000 10.01 (-0.08)          One Battle After Another - Adapt (A6EOBA) 25000 10.02 (+0.23)          Melania (MLNIA) 38459 9.23 (+5.27)          Amy Madigan - Weapons - Sup Actr (A6SAMA) 25000 7.60 (+0.15)          Melania (MLNIA) 2 9.23 (+5.27)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 1 239.57 (+0.18)          The Napa Boys (NAPAB) 150000 0.52 (+0.03)          One Battle After Another - Pictu (A6POBA) 25000 9.32 (+0.23)