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I agree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 17:44 in response to xiayun's post $150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.89 (+0.86)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 11.02 (+0.21)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.75 (+0.14)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 11.83 (+0.14)          Old Man in the Dunes (OMITD) 150000 7.81 (+0.51)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.32 (+0.45)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 11.41 (+0.79)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 11.41 (+0.79)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.89 (+0.86)          Whitney Peak (WPEAK) 25000 18.93 (+0.20)          River (RIVE1) 150000 7.34 (+0.42)          River (RIVE1) 150000 7.34 (+0.42)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.89 (+0.86)          Whitney Peak (WPEAK) 25000 18.93 (+0.20)          Ghost Soldier (ARCNG) 150000 27.94 (-0.83)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.14 (-1.06)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.14 (-1.06)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 20.42 (-0.50)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 10000 88.54 (-0.01)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 150000 3.74 (-0.37)          Last Meals (LMEAL) 150000 3.74 (-0.37)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.80 (+0.43)          You Can See Everything (YCSET) 30000 4.62 (0.00)          Starman (STARM) 60000 16.09 (+0.17)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.89 (+0.86)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.01 (-0.33)          Runner (RUNNR) 150000 14.51 (+0.06)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 4.62 (+0.16)          By Any Means (CI34) 150000 17.93 (-0.08)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.14 (-1.06)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 11.41 (+0.79)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 150000 11.41 (+0.79)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 20.42 (-0.50)          River (RIVE1) 150000 7.34 (+0.42)          River (RIVE1) 75000 7.34 (+0.42)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 150000 6.32 (+0.45)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.14 (-1.06)          The Julia Set (TJULS) 150000 1.74 (+0.07)          Misty Green (MSTYG) 50000 11.41 (+0.79)          CBS: NCIS: New York (NCISNY) 25000 11.02 (+0.21)          CBS: Eternally Yours (ETYOUR) 25000 10.75 (+0.14)          CBS Cupertino (CUPERT) 25000 11.83 (+0.14)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 100000 12.53 (-0.44)          Sleepover (SLEPO) 150000 24.80 (+0.43)          Still Life (STILF) 150000 6.89 (+0.86)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 125000 5.01 (-0.33)          River (RIVE1) 150000 7.34 (+0.42)          River (RIVE1) 150000 7.34 (+0.42)          Mr. Irrelevant (MREVL) 150000 29.22 (+1.11)          Lucy Boomer (LUCYB) 50000 6.32 (+0.45)