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I agree. {nm}

Posted by: PVL Admin (Rocket123) (a.k.a Rocket123) on Nov 16, 17:44 in response to xiayun's post $150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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California Schemin' (CASHM) 150000 1.25 (-0.02)          Noomi Rapace (NRAPA) 25000 1.91 (+0.02)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.36 (-1.26)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 200.36 (-1.26)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 57.95 (+1.20)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.11 (-2.05)          The Uprising aka The Hood (THOOD) 150000 7.61 (+0.03)          4 x 4: The Event (4X4TE) 50000 8.93 (+0.14)          Mutiny (MUTNY) 150000 26.67 (+0.70)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 10000 4.78 (+0.77)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 140000 200.36 (-1.26)          Lilo & Stitch 2 (LILS2) 150000 265.25 (+1.50)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 10000 200.36 (-1.26)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 11.11 (-2.05)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 57.95 (+1.20)          Maddie's Secret (MADDS) 150000 0.42 (-0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 4.03 (-0.03)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 1 4.03 (-0.03)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          The Resurrection of the Christ: (RESU2) 150000 145.61 (-0.16)          Hershey (HERSH) 50000 15.36 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 224.79 (-2.06)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 9.28 (-0.68)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 12.93 (+0.04)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.62 (-0.35)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Exit 8 (EXIT8) 50000 3.84 (+0.15)          Colony (CLONY) 150000 2.21 (+0.05)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 1 7.13 (+0.39)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 5.39 (+1.20)          Live Like That (LVLKT) 150000 16.03 (+0.59)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 50000 7.13 (+0.39)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 50000 7.13 (+0.39)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 50000 7.13 (+0.39)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 50000 7.13 (+0.39)          Leviticus (LEVIT) 50000 7.13 (+0.39)          Tom and Jerry: Forbidden Compass (TMJR2) 150000 19.19 (-0.10)