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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 240 7.25 (-0.02)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 8.21 (-0.59)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 8.21 (-0.59)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 61.28 (-0.05)          High in the Clouds (HINTC) 150000 16.86 (-0.10)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 3 61.28 (-0.05)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.43 (+0.28)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 90 23.61 (+0.08)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 10000 2.06 (0.00)          CBS: Boston Blue (BOSBLU) 25000 15.43 (+0.28)          Greenland 2: Migration (GRNL2) 5 23.61 (+0.08)          The Dutchman (DTCHM) 850 2.54 (0.00)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 10000 2.06 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 13.88 (-0.35)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 15.76 (+0.13)          The Choral (CHORL) 899 2.85 (-0.03)          CBS: DMV (DMVCBS) 25000 13.88 (-0.35)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.64 (+0.40)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 6 76.62 (-0.45)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 6 76.62 (-0.45)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.64 (+0.40)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 5 68.99 (+0.32)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 5 68.99 (+0.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 126.30 (-1.97)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 36.21 (-0.13)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 10 56.12 (-0.49)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 126.30 (-1.97)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 10 56.12 (-0.49)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 15.76 (+0.13)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 11.98 (+1.65)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 91505 80.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 3 454.04 (-1.06)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 3 454.04 (-1.06)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 100000 11.98 (+1.65)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 10000 9.93 (-0.03)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 100 8.21 (-0.59)          Merrily We Roll Along (MWRAL) 35 2.98 (-0.08)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.03 (+0.06)          Gravity Rush (GRVTR) 10000 9.93 (-0.03)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie 2 (GRFL2) 150000 29.42 (-0.07)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 3.03 (+0.06)          Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out M (KNIV3) 50 0.97 (-0.03)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 15 315.42 (-4.39)          Trap House (TRAPH) 15 2.08 (-0.03)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)