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Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm

Posted by: robineau on Nov 17, 06:59 in response to Ruthian23's post What makes you say that?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.95 (+1.24)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 10000 13.38 (+0.62)          Eternity (ETERN) 150000 11.65 (+0.52)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.39 (-6.34)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 73.39 (-6.34)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 33 98.62 (+0.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 98821 420.01 (+0.81)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 72000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.44 (-2.92)          Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affa (KBWBA) 50000 19.57 (-2.20)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 150000 9.09 (+0.88)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.24)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dhurandhar (DHURA) 150000 1.16 (-0.02)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 25.41 (-1.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 149999 2.00 (0.00)          Jack of Spades (JACSP) 150000 8.85 (+0.01)          Audition (AUDTN) 149999 4.00 (0.00)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 65000 22.44 (-2.92)          Fauzi (FAUZI) 150000 4.95 (+1.24)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 28000 25.41 (-1.86)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 10000 73.39 (-6.34)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 25.61 (+1.46)          Protector (PRTEC) 20000 1.89 (+0.18)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 3 25.61 (+1.46)          Sisu: Road to Revenge (SISU2) 150000 5.58 (+0.09)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 112.32 (+4.52)          Only What We Carry (OWWC) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 3 112.32 (+4.52)          Silent Night, Deadly Night - Ope (SNDN.OW) 14000 5.39 (-0.42)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Dog Years (DOGYS) 150000 1.58 (-0.42)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.CA) 25000 1.63 (-0.94)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 150000 18.31 (-1.92)          Protector (PRTEC) 10000 1.89 (+0.18)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 9.47 (-0.53)          Audition (AUDTN) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 22.44 (-2.92)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 5 9.67 (-0.01)          Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 6 33.05 (+0.06)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 5 162.72 (+0.61)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 5 24.94 (+0.08)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 5 105.25 (+0.35)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 10 69.44 (+0.49)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 8 259.43 (-1.33)