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Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 17:10 in response to xiayun's post $150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 4999 446.11 (-2.58)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 45000 7.13 (+0.53)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4) 150000 64.58 (-1.81)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 12000 16.55 (+0.08)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 12000 22.23 (+0.01)          Timur Bekmambetov (TBEKM) 25000 48.06 (-0.16)          Ma 2 (MA2) 23000 18.12 (-0.16)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 12723 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 149999 127.26 (-2.46)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 103828 127.26 (-2.46)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 149999 25.19 (+0.22)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          Stephen Lang (SLANG) 25000 62.47 (+1.85)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 1 15.05 (-0.18)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1331 13.32 (-0.38)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 446.11 (-2.58)          Sigourney Weaver (SWEAV) 25000 91.64 (+0.75)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100000 72.00 (-1.44)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 116.34 (+1.34)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 1380 13.32 (-0.38)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 4.97 (+0.54)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.27 (-0.09)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.91 (+0.17)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.57 (-0.79)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.88 (+0.59)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.71 (-0.59)          Kate Mara (KMARA) 100 10.01 (+0.10)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Robert Eggers (REGGE) 25000 38.92 (+0.12)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 116.80 (-5.03)          Ma 2 (MA2) 24000 18.12 (-0.16)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          Ma 2 (MA2) 27000 18.12 (-0.16)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 100 60.43 (+1.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Jimmy (JIMYS) 3 9.10 (+0.55)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 1000 24.03 (0.00)