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Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm}

Posted by: Paul2k on Nov 16, 17:10 in response to xiayun's post $150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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American Psycho (APSYC) 150000 19.98 (-0.02)          Cleopatra - Paramount (CEOPT) 150000 4.36 (+0.03)          Strings aka Help (STRNS) 40000 11.91 (+0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 421.08 (-0.99)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 5000 26.19 (+0.03)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 287.37 (+1.00)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 150000 126.38 (+0.66)          Gambino (GMBNO) 40000 8.97 (+0.03)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 199.69 (+0.83)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 10000 55.56 (+0.06)          Empire City (EMPCT) 40000 15.20 (+0.03)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 1 56.94 (+0.07)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 9.39 (+0.68)          Gatto (GATTO) 1 123.04 (+0.11)          Dirty Dancing sequel (DANC3) 30000 18.43 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 2000 363.01 (+0.26)          Emma Laird (ELAIR) 455 21.78 (0.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 153.80 (-0.44)          Melissa McCarthy (MMCCA) 25000 61.56 (+0.50)          You, Me & Tuscany (ITLIA) 79999 18.70 (-0.03)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 21.19 (-0.14)          Nirvanna The Band The Show The M (NTBTS) 30000 4.05 (0.00)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.78 (-1.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.78 (-1.05)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 13.46 (+1.32)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 231.06 (-0.83)          The Kidnapping of Arabella (TKOAR) 150000 0.89 (-0.11)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 120000 7.65 (-0.35)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.59 (+0.29)          The Wrong Girls (TWRNG) 150000 9.59 (+0.29)          Rolling Loud (RLOUD) 150000 10.27 (+0.93)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 150000 7.65 (-0.35)          Jackass: Best and Last (JCKA6) 23605 56.94 (+0.07)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.78 (-1.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 150000 221.78 (-1.05)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 5802 28.04 (-0.02)          Monopoly (MONOP) 150000 9.39 (+0.68)          If I Go Will They Miss Me (IGWTM) 150000 1.45 (+0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 100 221.78 (-1.05)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 150000 4.22 (-0.51)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.95 (+0.36)          The Horror Fund X (SPOOK) 19420 25.72 (+0.03)          Nimrods aka New Years Rev (NIMRD) 25000 4.22 (-0.51)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.19 (+0.38)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 13.19 (+0.38)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 5.95 (+0.01)          Happy Death Day To Us (HDTH3) 893 9.97 (-0.13)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 5.67 (+0.04)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 150000 21.19 (-0.14)          Cut Off (CUTOF) 150000 37.64 (-0.23)