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As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so.

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a ) on Nov 16, 15:43 in response to PVL Admin (Rocket123)'s post I disagree.

I think it will probably be in line with TWW's estimates, just shy of $150M opening weekend.

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Reenactment (RNACT) 100000 5.00 (-0.07)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 150000 40.31 (+0.11)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 268.66 (+0.30)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 4.80 (+0.06)          The Thomas Crown Affair (TTCAF) 62570 57.88 (+3.57)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN6) 19435 79.30 (+1.02)          White Lies (WHTLI) 150000 13.55 (-0.06)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.37 (+0.68)          NDA (NDA) 150000 8.37 (+0.68)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 150000 268.66 (+0.30)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 547.86 (+2.59)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 57500 2.00 (0.00)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 150000 8.83 (-0.01)          Untitled Event Film Directed By (UEFDD) 150000 68.53 (-0.06)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 535.06 (+8.85)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 150000 44.84 (-0.57)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 114.23 (-2.85)          Peaked (PEAKD) 1 12.57 (+0.05)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 150000 498.47 (+2.10)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 150000 330.24 (+0.73)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Unknown (TUNKN) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 402.67 (-2.36)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 150000 3.27 (+0.27)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 402.67 (-2.36)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day H$220 (SPID9.CA) 25000 10.96 (+0.72)          Trust Me, I’m a Doctor (TMIAD) 150000 3.27 (+0.27)          One Night Only (ONTON) 150000 23.96 (+0.24)          Dennis (DENIS) 150000 5.92 (+0.03)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day - Open (SPID9.OW) 100000 263.46 (+5.61)          Dennis (DENIS) 150000 5.92 (+0.03)          The Uprising (THOOD) 150000 9.36 (0.00)          Elsinore (ELSNR) 1000 7.30 (+0.77)          Wicker (WCKER) 32500 6.19 (+2.13)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 10 10.79 (+0.10)          Michael Sarnoski (MSARN) 10 50.91 (+0.50)          A Colt Is My Passport (ACIMP) 5 7.28 (-0.03)          Five Nights at Freddy's 3 (5NAF3) 4 77.05 (+0.29)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 8 8.44 (-0.05)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 535.06 (+8.85)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 10 168.47 (+1.44)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 3 243.49 (+1.06)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 4 243.49 (+1.06)          Jehanne d'Arc (JDARC) 14 32.22 (+0.36)          I Want Your Sex (IWYSX) 150000 4.80 (+0.06)          Dynamic Duo (DYDUO) 25 124.25 (-2.91)          Donkey (DONKE) 15 128.18 (+1.68)