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Movies

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm}

Posted by: accountant_4_Jesus (a.k.a ) on Nov 16, 15:54 in response to Paul2k's post Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely...

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm} xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 30000 25.31 (+0.68)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 40000 25.31 (+0.68)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 15000 23.21 (+1.45)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 60000 23.21 (+1.45)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 75000 23.21 (+1.45)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          Jessie Usher (JUSHE) 999 49.03 (0.00)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 30000 4.99 (-0.03)          Jessie Usher (JUSHE) 999 49.03 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 8.00 (0.00)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 149998 23.21 (+1.45)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 19002 253.12 (+0.20)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 3173 194.45 (+0.51)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 31.66 (-0.66)          Mercy (MRCY1) 150000 31.66 (-0.66)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 62.43 (+0.66)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.16 (+0.65)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 150000 4.16 (+0.65)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 8.66 (-0.55)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 9999 4.13 (-0.45)          Hokum (HOKUM) 150000 8.66 (-0.55)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 25.31 (+0.68)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 150000 25.31 (+0.68)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.31 (+0.88)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.31 (+0.88)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 26.66 (+0.74)          The Housemaid H$20 Put (HMAID.PU) 25000 1.30 (+0.08)          Other Mommy aka Incidents Around (IATHS) 150000 26.66 (+0.74)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 3.52 (+0.14)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 6.33 (+0.68)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 14.36 (+0.47)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 14.36 (+0.47)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 24.65 (-0.15)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 15.25 (+1.53)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 15.25 (+1.53)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 25000 63.54 (+0.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.02 (+0.16)          Evan Peters (EPETE) 25000 68.07 (-0.50)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 3.82 (-0.06)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 46.13 (+6.13)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 88000 23.21 (+1.45)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 46.13 (+6.13)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 122.05 (-1.76)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 152.82 (+1.10)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 25000 63.54 (+0.50)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 122.05 (-1.76)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 448.77 (-0.95)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 448.77 (-0.95)