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I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Nov 16, 17:30 in response to Paul2k's post Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii?

BO's estimates are up- TWLI4 150 (Fandango says more than 3000 showings sold out), HPYF2 42.5 (only 1% of daily sales on Fandango) Paul2k Nov 16, 14:28

I don't know where they're getting their figures. That's waaaaay too high for TWLI4. nm robineau Nov 16, 14:55

What makes you say that? {nm} Ruthian23 Nov 16, 15:13

Midnights are lagging way behind the previous two films, and there's no IMAX $$ this time. nm robineau Nov 17, 06:59

They make their estimates based off of, among other things, twitter and facebook tracking for which they have identified historical trends. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:21

I disagree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 15:40

As much as I think it will be around $150M, there is more potential upside by shorting the OW at present, therefore I have done so. accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:43

Thanks for bringing up the derivatives; I had completely spaced on them and forgotten their strike prices. Adjusted accordingly. {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 15:51

You disappoint me Paul... {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 15:52

Happens even to the best of us, don't it? ;) {nm} accountant_4_Jesus Nov 16, 15:54

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:43

$150m is very realistic; the OW won't decrease from the second one, although I don't see it breaking the OW record either xiayun Nov 16, 17:08

Nice to have you back, xia. How was Hawaii? {nm} Paul2k Nov 16, 17:10

I'm still here! Just arrived at Maui; it's been wonderful, even better than my high expectation xiayun Nov 16, 17:30

I agree. {nm} PVL Admin (Rocket123) Nov 16, 17:44

I abstain. {nm} PRodQuanta Nov 16, 23:30





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Ella McCay (EMCAY) 1500 9.24 (-0.97)          Atropia (ATROP) 1150 1.91 (+0.04)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 262 6.24 (+2.05)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 800 41.33 (0.00)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 69943 52.29 (+0.76)          The Simpsons Movie 2 (SIMP2) 18251 157.98 (+0.35)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 100000 64.14 (+0.47)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.24 (+2.05)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 150000 7.19 (-1.61)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 150000 9.24 (-0.97)          Dust Bunny (DUSTB) 150000 3.32 (-0.10)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 10000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 101 137.44 (-0.37)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 95000 28.55 (-0.03)          Transformers 8 (TFRM8) 75000 47.48 (-0.07)          JUJUTSU KAISEN: Execution (JJTK3) 60000 13.47 (-0.18)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.72 (-0.28)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.72 (-0.28)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 19.65 (+0.55)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 150000 19.65 (+0.55)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Silent Night, Deadly Night (SNDN) 49999 7.19 (-1.61)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.24 (+2.05)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.24 (+2.05)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 6.24 (+2.05)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 125000 80.00 (0.00)          Prabhas (PRABH) 25000 9.13 (-0.05)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.72 (-0.28)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 149998 27.77 (+0.33)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.72 (-0.28)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Is This Thing On? (ISTON) 150000 15.69 (-0.48)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 150000 4.03 (+0.03)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 16754 65.81 (+1.66)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 149999 12.12 (+1.79)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 920 254.61 (-2.50)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 18.45 (+0.10)          Maika Monroe (MMONR) 25000 18.45 (+0.10)          Richard E. Grant (RGRAN) 25000 12.43 (-0.20)