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ROTK was 3 hrs 20 minutes and posted the 7th biggest OW in history back in 2003 -- all without opening on Friday. {nm}

Posted by: ShawnMR on Nov 13, 18:49 in response to BSmurf's post Math:

Why is Hobbit dropping like a rock in a pond the exchange!? geckoidol Nov 12, 21:12

(sadly shaking my head) I've had to erase what I started to type, several times. {nm} edzep - Port Monkey! Nov 12, 21:41

You need to keep up with current events and not pop in once a week to ask why your stock is going in a direction you don't like. {nm} PVL Admin Nov 12, 21:53

I check in every day. I look at the news associated with HOBBIT. I found nothing new. What am I missing? {nm} geckoidol Nov 12, 21:59

Every day, you say? You need to pay A LOT closer attention then... see IM These are not short threads! PVL Admin Nov 12, 22:06

Go back at least the last 10 pages, as this one has been brought up many times. Also see me answer below. Regards Gavin {nm} Gavin Nov 12, 22:08

I suspect he's too busy keeping lean and mean.. :-) {nm} Facto Nov 12, 23:13

Idol, the thing is that all three sneaky little hobbitzesss were priced as if they were July openers, but then someone reminded the exchange Facto Nov 12, 23:16

That's not case either as Hobbit 3, opening in July is also dropping like a rock {nm} thatpj Nov 13, 11:14

Agreed, the people dumping that one are either fools or need the cash for other near-term investments {nm} BSmurf Nov 13, 11:43

These day traders and idiots swear this movie will bomb with only an $80M opening, I say, "Nay!" However, you should know how to play the He was robbing me, raping me! Nov 13, 09:36

Geckoidol! {nm} Facto Nov 12, 21:53

Good question. It is dropping because enough traders believe that it cannot open to anymore then $80 because no other movie in history has.. Gavin Nov 12, 22:05

Guys thanks. geckoidol Nov 12, 22:12

My earnings that I posted are YTD from 1/1/2012. {nm} geckoidol Nov 12, 22:13

NOT a good question. Hours later, so now, I will comment... edzep - Port Monkey! Nov 13, 04:10

Maybe It is Twilight Saga Breaking Dawn stock effect!! {nm} mike255 Nov 12, 22:16

another reason and this is only a maybe is that some ports may be dumping stocks like HOBBIT to buy TWLI5, and then this has a flow on... Gavin Nov 12, 22:23

um..lol I dumped JB23 so I can buy TWLI5. Makes sense. {nm} geckoidol Nov 12, 22:34

Seriously, I have oceanfront property in the himalayas to sell you. {nm} He was robbing me, raping me! Nov 13, 10:01

Skyfall is taking a beating on sell off!! {nm} mike255 Nov 12, 22:33

Who ever shorted the stock is banking!!! geckoidol Nov 12, 22:40

Again!!! Don't talk about current stock movements. {nm} PVL Admin Nov 13, 16:25

In a galaxy, far, far away, there are no Hobitses to be found. There is, however a Jedi that looks suspiciously, like Golem. {nm} elchan Nov 13, 07:10

The short answer is that many expect it to drop severely in upfront interest from LOTR. Several sites are predicting ~ $80m for the opening, ShawnMR Nov 13, 08:58

Math: BSmurf Nov 13, 10:33

Why do people always talk about runtimes? thatpj Nov 13, 11:20

Avengers: 2h 22m - opened in summer. Titanic did not make spectacular numbers EVER. Just steady $20M gains for weeks and weeks. BSmurf Nov 13, 11:35

And: BSmurf Nov 13, 11:42

Pretty much agreed. I get the desire to be conservative here, but there's a reason no movie has opened over $80 million in Dec: because ShawnMR Nov 13, 18:56

ROTK was 3 hrs 20 minutes and posted the 7th biggest OW in history back in 2003 -- all without opening on Friday. ShawnMR Nov 13, 18:49





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Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 50000 18.84 (-0.19)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.52 (+3.33)          Big Trouble in Little China (BTILC) 10 1.17 (0.00)          Bullitt (BULIT) 100000 22.07 (-0.06)          Merlin (MERLN) 100000 0.09 (0.00)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 23.32 (-0.65)          Alone Together (ALTGT) 150000 3.94 (-0.06)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 23.32 (-0.65)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 25000 66.06 (+1.91)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 25000 66.06 (+1.91)          Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 2 (PIKA2) 150000 19.02 (-0.16)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 54.68 (-1.93)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 54.68 (-1.93)          The Kingsman 3 (KTSS4) 100000 4.06 (+0.02)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 25000 7.52 (+3.33)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 17500 126.29 (-1.98)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.52 (+3.33)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 4.04 (-0.11)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 126.29 (-1.98)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 454.03 (-1.07)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 2.61 (+0.18)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 150000 80.00 (0.00)          Ready or Not 2: Here I Come (RONO2) 150000 28.62 (-0.09)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 150000 7.52 (+3.33)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 149999 97.49 (-0.50)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 50000 12.16 (+1.83)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 39916 80.00 (0.00)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 25000 179.37 (-1.03)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 30000 13.77 (-2.81)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 15000 13.77 (-2.81)          David (DAVID) 150000 77.75 (-1.75)          David (DAVID) 10000 77.75 (-1.75)          The Conjuring Prequel (CNJU5) 10 80.00 (0.00)          David (DAVID) 20000 77.75 (-1.75)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 20000 11.95 (+1.28)          Infinite Icon (INFIC) 150000 1.58 (+0.02)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 17.34 (+0.12)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 30000 7.52 (+3.33)          Melania (MLNIA) 150000 1.33 (+0.02)          H Is For Hawk (HFHWK) 150000 3.24 (+0.06)          48 Hours in Vegas (48HIV) 10000 7.52 (+3.33)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 150000 11.95 (+1.28)          Border 2 (BORD2) 150000 1.63 (+0.03)          A Private Life aka Vie Privee (VPRIV) 150000 1.44 (-0.02)          Night Patrol (NPTRL) 150000 1.45 (+0.03)          Dead Man's Wire (DMWIR) 150000 7.17 (-0.10)          Charlie the Wonderdog (CWDOG) 150000 3.21 (-0.07)          I Was a Stranger (TSCAS) 150000 3.55 (+0.08)