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An "accurate" estimate for the weekend could still be $15-20 million off. Different movies perform differently, even when they are similar. {nm}

Posted by: RogerMore (a.k.a CaineFund) on Nov 22, 15:30 in response to Oleg Max's post I get it might be tough for an original flick, but...

THR: HGAM2 Friday matinee grosses are trailing behind the first film. Antibody Nov 22, 14:50

"Based on early returns, box office observers are divided as to whether Catching Fire can match the $152.5 million debut of HGAME" - wow... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 14:53

Nobody knows anything! {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:02

how can they be divided if they have #s in front of them? its either beating HGAME or not... if not, are they still holding out hope for Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:05

Because they have different opinions. Nobody knows anything! {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:06

wouldn't their opinion be based on hard #s though? i take it middies are throwing them off... {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:08

You should know that by how the projections vary and change from now until Sun morning. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:13

I get it might be tough for an original flick, but wouldn't it be so much easier to compare data of the sequel to the original and come up Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:21

The midnights are ahead, but the Friday matinees are behind. There's already a contradiction. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:24

like Shrek 2! {nm} charlie Nov 22, 15:26

An "accurate" estimate for the weekend could still be $15-20 million off. Different movies perform differently, even when they are similar. RogerMore Nov 22, 15:30

because it might play differently than the first film, e.g., more people go at night and later in the weekend than came out early last time {nm} charlie Nov 22, 15:09

because they {nm} tealfan Nov 22, 15:18

because they're not in a hurry to admit they were wrong {nm} tealfan Nov 22, 15:18

On the other hand, everybody knows nothing! {nm} DTravel Nov 22, 23:48

It's a Young Adult targeted movie... Young Adults are usually in school on Fridays during matinee time {nm} RazorHawk Nov 22, 15:18

weren't they in the school when the first one came out too, or was it a holiday wknd? {nm} Oleg Max Nov 22, 15:24

March 23 was not a holiday weekend. Good Friday was April 6. {nm} Antibody Nov 22, 15:27

The first installment came out on Spring Break (at least for my area) {nm} aggie2145 Nov 22, 15:32

SPRING BREAK WOOHOO! {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:06

"Spring break. Spring break. Spring break fo'ever." {nm} Willroast Nov 22, 17:30

look at all my ****, i got scarface on repeat ya'll, scarface on repeat! {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:35

so saturday might be monstrous then... hmm... {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:08

Is it going to be a rollercoaster of a night for this stock??...haha! A very expensive ride considering official projection are not in yet?? {nm} Malachi1 Nov 22, 15:24

I miss the guy who used to write numbers throughout the day with comparables already {nm} thatpj Nov 22, 15:28

steve mason? {nm} adrenalin112 Nov 22, 17:06





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Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 138.77 (+0.04)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.33 (+0.29)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 150000 6.33 (+0.29)          Toy Story 5 - Opening Weekend (TOYS5.OW) 22708 147.52 (+1.05)          The Death of Robin Hood H$10 Put (TDORH.PU) 25000 2.83 (+0.02)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 2032 6.82 (-0.01)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 286 49.41 (+0.20)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 419.31 (+1.25)          The Death of Robin Hood - Openin (TDORH.OW) 100000 7.50 (-0.27)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 150000 17.50 (+0.48)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Put (MNIO3.PU) 25000 1.98 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 4000 243.46 (-0.02)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 14024 0.71 (0.00)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 2000 243.46 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 150000 306.12 (-1.15)          Toy Story 5 H$125 Put (TOYS5.PU) 11546 0.71 (0.00)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 150000 49.69 (-0.31)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 5000 49.41 (+0.20)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 1 243.46 (-0.02)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          How to Train Your Dragon 2 (HTTY2) 108346 196.39 (+0.36)          Minions & Monsters - Opening (MNIO3.OW) 100000 75.84 (+0.84)          Lice (LICE) 150000 3.76 (-0.24)          F.A.S.T. (FAST) 15000 43.26 (-0.14)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 114 138.77 (+0.04)          The Catch (TCATC) 20000 69.37 (-0.08)          Supergirl H$55 Call (SUPGR.CA) 25000 3.58 (+0.03)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          Ice Age: Boiling Point (ICEA6) 10000 85.14 (+0.51)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 10000 6.33 (+0.29)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 75000 6.33 (+0.29)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 20000 28.68 (+1.17)          Wilford Nappy Pulawa biopic (NAPPY) 50000 49.41 (+0.20)          Please (PLESE) 20000 22.52 (+0.70)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.64 (+0.80)          Buddy (BUDDY) 150000 7.64 (+0.80)          The Invite (TINVT) 30000 19.93 (-0.03)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 30000 138.77 (+0.04)          Angelina Jolie (AJOLI) 25000 63.32 (-0.25)          Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 25000 59.49 (-0.16)          The Get Out (BEARC) 15000 4.44 (+0.09)          Young Washington H$10 Call (YWASH.CA) 25000 2.24 (+0.24)          The Comebacker (CMBAC) 500 28.68 (+1.17)          Minions & Monsters H$75 Call (MNIO3.CA) 25000 2.42 (+0.42)          Buddy (BUDDY) 1000 7.64 (+0.80)          Anthony Hopkins (AHOPK) 25000 2.93 (+0.05)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 25000 34.82 (+0.12)