HSX Forum

Movies

What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8

Posted by: tomcat90 on Oct 25, 13:12 in response to Antibody's post How about when you calcuated that CRASN would delist less...

with your comments and lost them over $100 haha. And seriously, who cares if someone makes an assumption? That's what trading is all about. People make endless assumptions about Wall Street and some are right and some are wrong. That's what makes markets. But if you want HSX to have value as a predictive tool, you should actually encourage people to make assumptions and then have them be refuted or accepted by others to provide better information to the majority of traders who just follow others

W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:40

DL tracking: FBST2 $65M-$75M. [WIDOW] $10M-$16M. Antibody Oct 25, 10:41

DL tracking: Ditto for [ISFAM] $10M-$16M. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 10:42

THR: FBST2 $63M-$75M; ISFAM $10 million-$17 million ; WIDOW $10 million-$17 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:48

The first 'Beasts" delisted at a 2.6744 multiple. IF this one matches that, which sequels don't tend to do, it would delist from $168-$200 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 11:58

That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:05

in opening weekend and total box office. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:11

Familiarity breeds the opposite of contempt! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Oct 25, 12:13

Maybe with your cherry picked examples, but what about something more relevant like the first 3 Harry Potter films?2.64 then 2.42, then 2.25 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:36

The point is we don't know yet. FBST2 could open above tracking. You're doing calculations on numbers that hasn't happen yet. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:41

And thus the capitalized word "IF" it performs similarly. Just like I said FIRSM didn't deserve a 4.7 and you compared it to Argo tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:47

How about when you calcuated that CRASN would delist less than H$50? It's about credibility, it's about you making early assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:50

^It's NOT about credibility... {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:51

What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8 tomcat90 Oct 25, 13:12

This whole thread where you calculated old adjust as H$50, and how H$78 would be "aggressive legs". Antibody Oct 25, 14:08

Where it would "adjust" (based on old rules) and where it would "delist" are completely separate things. You wrote tomcat90 Oct 25, 14:59

I'm the one who told you the {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:28

I'm the one who told you that adjust does not equal delist. You were long above 70 when you said it had no chance to delist above that? Antibody Oct 25, 15:30

That's what I'm doing, refuting your assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:09

Did that work out for you with FIRSM or STAR8? you love to cherry pick to prove your opinions haha {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:00

I'm presenting a case for what's possible. If I don't defend HSX, then we will? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:12

If you truly want to defend HSX, then you should want to make it as accurate as possible in it's predictive abilities, and not just tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:25

It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another recent "reboot/sequel" PRED4 bombed. Antibody Oct 25, 15:40

So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:57

"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release." JSpicoli13 Oct 25, 16:07

The issue is competition, the first one only had to deal with Moana {nm} austpow Oct 25, 13:46





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Kathryn Newton (KNEWT) 25000 56.23 (-0.81)          Evel Knievel on Tour (EVKNV) 1000 21.06 (-0.02)          Miranda Otto (MOTTO) 25000 13.63 (+0.04)          Empire City (EMPCT) 1000 15.80 (-0.02)          David Cronenberg (DCRON) 25000 5.25 (-0.02)          Boiuna: Legend of the Amazon (BOUNA) 1000 17.69 (-0.02)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 25000 13.90 (-0.10)          Artificial (AIFIC) 1000 19.00 (-0.02)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 25000 13.90 (+0.39)          They Will Kill You (TWKYU) 150000 13.23 (+0.10)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 150000 37.30 (-0.09)          The Joy Luck Club 2 (TJLC2) 2000 5.73 (-0.03)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 25000 13.90 (-0.10)          Metal Men (METAL) 2000 7.25 (-0.03)          High Side (HISID) 1000 27.90 (-0.03)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 20000 261.27 (0.00)          Mike Myers (MMYER) 25000 51.18 (-0.50)          Above The Below (ABELW) 3000 4.89 (-0.03)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 191.01 (+0.76)          Phil Lord (PLORD) 25000 191.01 (+0.76)          The Revenge of La Llorona (LORN2) 1000 22.18 (-0.04)          Hourman (HRMAN) 1000 10.21 (-0.04)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 34.97 (-0.16)          The Great Beyond aka Ghostwriter (ACRNS) 30000 122.81 (-0.05)          Samara Weaving (SAWEA) 25000 26.82 (+0.73)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 1000 19.95 (-0.04)          Matt Bettinelli-Olpin (MBETT) 25000 53.27 (-0.44)          Matt Bettinelli-Olpin (MBETT) 25000 53.27 (-0.44)          Get Lite (GETLT) 1000 17.28 (-0.04)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.40 (-0.14)          David Cronenberg (DCRON) 25000 5.25 (-0.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.40 (-0.14)          David Cronenberg (DCRON) 25000 5.25 (-0.02)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 1000 21.59 (-0.04)          Bill Hader (BHADE) 25000 72.88 (-1.01)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 25000 191.01 (-0.61)          Christopher Miller (CMILL) 25000 191.01 (-0.61)          Anxious People (ANXPE) 2000 9.83 (-0.04)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 7.37 (+0.15)          Sterling K. Brown (SKBRO) 10000 55.05 (-0.23)          Ray Gunn (RAYGN) 150000 7.37 (+0.15)          Subversion (SUBVS) 1000 20.85 (-0.05)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 2000 9.84 (-0.05)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 25000 13.90 (-0.10)          Brendan Gleeson (BGLEE) 25000 13.90 (-0.10)          King (KING) 150000 2.92 (-0.10)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1000 29.43 (-0.06)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 150000 16.14 (+2.19)          King (KING) 150000 2.92 (-0.10)          Jane (JANE1) 1000 10.42 (-0.06)