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"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release."
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=halloween07.htm
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=halloween209.htm
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=halloween7.htm
Ok. Traders got this one wrong. I would point to the past 3 of the past 4 Halloweens (I'm not counting Resurection as that movie made little to no sense) to refute any sense of prognostication merely based on the Halloween-franchise name. How come H20 barely crossed $50 million in 1998? That was supposed to be special revisit.
Zombie's film was at the height of the relaunch era, and it failed to achieve much cultural notoriety. The $30 million opening in September 2007 looked good, but the sub $60 million domestic B.O. gross combined with #2 earning barely half as much showed both a lack of nostalgia and a failure of a new director to successfully translate a winning formula.
I'm glad Halloween (2018) has been successful. That said, this is the exception, not the norm.
W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million Oct 25, 10:40
DL tracking: FBST2 $65M-$75M. [WIDOW] $10M-$16M. Oct 25, 10:41
DL tracking: Ditto for [ISFAM] $10M-$16M. {nm} Oct 25, 10:42
THR: FBST2 $63M-$75M; ISFAM $10 million-$17 million ; WIDOW $10 million-$17 million Oct 25, 10:48
That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. {nm} Oct 25, 12:05
in opening weekend and total box office. {nm} Oct 25, 12:11
Familiarity breeds the opposite of contempt! {nm} Oct 25, 12:13
^It's NOT about credibility... {nm} Oct 25, 12:51
What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8 Oct 25, 13:12
This whole thread where you calculated old adjust as H$50, and how H$78 would be "aggressive legs". Oct 25, 14:08
Where it would "adjust" (based on old rules) and where it would "delist" are completely separate things. You wrote Oct 25, 14:59
I'm the one who told you the {nm} Oct 25, 15:28
That's what I'm doing, refuting your assumptions. {nm} Oct 25, 14:09
Did that work out for you with FIRSM or STAR8? you love to cherry pick to prove your opinions haha {nm} Oct 25, 15:00
I'm presenting a case for what's possible. If I don't defend HSX, then we will? {nm} Oct 25, 15:12
It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another recent "reboot/sequel" PRED4 bombed. Oct 25, 15:40
So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much Oct 25, 15:57
"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release." Oct 25, 16:07
The issue is competition, the first one only had to deal with Moana {nm} Oct 25, 13:46