HSX Forum

Movies

That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. {nm}

Posted by: Antibody on Oct 25, 12:05 in response to tomcat90's post The first 'Beasts" delisted at a 2.6744 multiple. IF...

W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:40

DL tracking: FBST2 $65M-$75M. [WIDOW] $10M-$16M. Antibody Oct 25, 10:41

DL tracking: Ditto for [ISFAM] $10M-$16M. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 10:42

THR: FBST2 $63M-$75M; ISFAM $10 million-$17 million ; WIDOW $10 million-$17 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:48

The first 'Beasts" delisted at a 2.6744 multiple. IF this one matches that, which sequels don't tend to do, it would delist from $168-$200 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 11:58

That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. Antibody Oct 25, 12:05

in opening weekend and total box office. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:11

Familiarity breeds the opposite of contempt! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Oct 25, 12:13

Maybe with your cherry picked examples, but what about something more relevant like the first 3 Harry Potter films?2.64 then 2.42, then 2.25 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:36

The point is we don't know yet. FBST2 could open above tracking. You're doing calculations on numbers that hasn't happen yet. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:41

And thus the capitalized word "IF" it performs similarly. Just like I said FIRSM didn't deserve a 4.7 and you compared it to Argo tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:47

How about when you calcuated that CRASN would delist less than H$50? It's about credibility, it's about you making early assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:50

^It's NOT about credibility... {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:51

What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8 tomcat90 Oct 25, 13:12

This whole thread where you calculated old adjust as H$50, and how H$78 would be "aggressive legs". Antibody Oct 25, 14:08

Where it would "adjust" (based on old rules) and where it would "delist" are completely separate things. You wrote tomcat90 Oct 25, 14:59

I'm the one who told you the {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:28

I'm the one who told you that adjust does not equal delist. You were long above 70 when you said it had no chance to delist above that? Antibody Oct 25, 15:30

That's what I'm doing, refuting your assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:09

Did that work out for you with FIRSM or STAR8? you love to cherry pick to prove your opinions haha {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:00

I'm presenting a case for what's possible. If I don't defend HSX, then we will? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:12

If you truly want to defend HSX, then you should want to make it as accurate as possible in it's predictive abilities, and not just tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:25

It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another recent "reboot/sequel" PRED4 bombed. Antibody Oct 25, 15:40

So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:57

"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release." JSpicoli13 Oct 25, 16:07

The issue is competition, the first one only had to deal with Moana {nm} austpow Oct 25, 13:46





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


First Look at Dead for a Dollar starring Christoph Waltz and Rachel Brosnahan https://t.co/P7wR3eDJuW       First Look at Out of the Blue starring Diane Kruger https://t.co/Pwjw2baU8A       Courteney Cox will return in #Scream 6        UK trailer for True Things starring Ruth Wilson #TrueThings https://t.co/ry6hjZBaQX       #Elvis tuned up an estimated $3.5M in previews at the boxoffice       #TheBlackPhone dialed up an estimated $3.0M in Thursday previews at the #boxoffice       Billy Porter and Guy Fieri join 80 For Brady #80ForBrady       #PussyIsland is in production https://t.co/KLZSnPfUSe       Henry Czerny joins #Scream 6       Leigh Whannell is in negotiations to direct Green Hornet and Kato #GreenHornet #Kato      
Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 25000 35.75 (-0.01)         Out of the Blue (OTBLU) 150000 1.34 (+0.22)         The Forgiven (TFRGV) 150000 2.94 (-0.20)         Furiosa (MMAX5) 7 113.35 (+0.61)         Barbie (BARBI) 3 81.00 (-0.20)         Elizabeth Olsen (EOLSE) 25000 163.15 (+1.33)         Indiana Jones 5 (INDI5) 5 183.73 (-0.56)         Mission: Impossible - Dead Recko (MISS7) 5 179.54 (-0.72)         The Marvels aka Captain Marvel 2 (CMAR2) 4 263.40 (+0.74)         Oppenheimer (OPHMR) 4 100.18 (-0.23)         Fast X aka Fast & Furious 10 (FASTX) 5 164.55 (+0.75)         Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (GOTG3) 3 281.42 (-0.76)         Renfield (RENFI) 5 30.93 (+0.14)         Transformers: Rise of the Beast (TFRM7) 5 110.63 (-0.34)         The Little Mermaid (TLMER) 5 251.26 (-0.80)         Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Ve (ASPD2) 5 167.63 (-0.55)         Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 25 28.55 (-0.68)         Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 85 28.55 (-0.68)         65 (65) 6 31.02 (-0.16)         65 (65) 6 31.02 (-0.16)         On a Wing and a Prayer (OAWAP) 6 14.41 (-0.06)         Scream 6 (SCRM6) 5 52.29 (+0.19)         Creed III (CREE3) 3 86.34 (-0.16)         Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom (AQUM2) 450 240.10 (-0.50)         Haunted Mansion (HMNSN) 3 57.01 (+0.11)         Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumani (ANTM3) 3 197.26 (-0.22)         Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among (DNDGN) 5 70.09 (-0.34)         Left Behind: Rise of the Antichr (LFTB2) 150000 6.00 (0.00)         Bones and All (BONAL) 3 14.31 (-0.01)         White Bird: A Wonder Story (WHBRD) 150000 28.87 (-1.65)         Strange World (STRNW) 10 97.85 (-0.62)         Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 16.58 (+0.08)         The Fabelmans (SPIEL) 10 34.46 (-0.29)         Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 4 104.60 (+0.40)         Babylon (BBYLN) 4 37.56 (+0.12)         Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 4 104.60 (+0.40)         Glass Onion: A Knives Out Myster (KNIV2) 3 9.74 (-0.02)         Women Talking (WMTLK) 3 6.22 (-0.01)         The Menu (TMENU) 5 9.47 (-0.04)         Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 16.58 (+0.08)         Amsterdam aka Canterbury Glass (AMSTR) 3 41.14 (+0.05)         Sope Dirisu (SDIRI) 25000 16.58 (+0.08)         Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (BPNT2) 5 375.58 (+1.33)         She Said (SHESD) 8 24.26 (+0.16)         Return to Seoul aka All the Peop (RTSEO) 150000 2.00 (0.00)         Theo James (TJAME) 25000 56.75 (-0.03)         She Said (SHESD) 8 24.26 (+0.16)         The Banshees of Inisherin (BNSHE) 12 7.75 (-0.08)         The Black Phone (BPHON) 149999 59.63 (+8.69)         The Banshees of Inisherin (BNSHE) 12 7.75 (-0.08)