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W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million

Posted by: Antibody on Oct 25, 10:40

https://www.thewrap.com/fantastic-beasts-2-pace-match-originals-opening-weekend/


Tag(s): FBST2

W tracking: [FBST2] One tracker $63 million, another come close to $74.4 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:40

DL tracking: FBST2 $65M-$75M. [WIDOW] $10M-$16M. Antibody Oct 25, 10:41

DL tracking: Ditto for [ISFAM] $10M-$16M. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 10:42

THR: FBST2 $63M-$75M; ISFAM $10 million-$17 million ; WIDOW $10 million-$17 million Antibody Oct 25, 10:48

The first 'Beasts" delisted at a 2.6744 multiple. IF this one matches that, which sequels don't tend to do, it would delist from $168-$200 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 11:58

That's a wrong assumption. TWLI2, HGAM2, LRDR2 did better than the original. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:05

in opening weekend and total box office. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:11

Familiarity breeds the opposite of contempt! {nm} Wilderness_Journey Oct 25, 12:13

Maybe with your cherry picked examples, but what about something more relevant like the first 3 Harry Potter films?2.64 then 2.42, then 2.25 {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:36

The point is we don't know yet. FBST2 could open above tracking. You're doing calculations on numbers that hasn't happen yet. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:41

And thus the capitalized word "IF" it performs similarly. Just like I said FIRSM didn't deserve a 4.7 and you compared it to Argo tomcat90 Oct 25, 12:47

How about when you calcuated that CRASN would delist less than H$50? It's about credibility, it's about you making early assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:50

^It's NOT about credibility... {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 12:51

What? I was long CRASN for the longest time. You sure that was me? although you convinced people to stay in STAR8 tomcat90 Oct 25, 13:12

This whole thread where you calculated old adjust as H$50, and how H$78 would be "aggressive legs". Antibody Oct 25, 14:08

Where it would "adjust" (based on old rules) and where it would "delist" are completely separate things. You wrote tomcat90 Oct 25, 14:59

I'm the one who told you the {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:28

I'm the one who told you that adjust does not equal delist. You were long above 70 when you said it had no chance to delist above that? Antibody Oct 25, 15:30

That's what I'm doing, refuting your assumptions. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:09

Did that work out for you with FIRSM or STAR8? you love to cherry pick to prove your opinions haha {nm} tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:00

I'm presenting a case for what's possible. If I don't defend HSX, then we will? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 15:12

If you truly want to defend HSX, then you should want to make it as accurate as possible in it's predictive abilities, and not just tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:25

It's easy in hindsight to point to HALW3, when another recent "reboot/sequel" PRED4 bombed. Antibody Oct 25, 15:40

So you're saying I cherry picked haha? The point is, HSX's worth comes from it's predictive abilities and not how much tomcat90 Oct 25, 15:57

"Instead, it traded at $36 just a month before it's release." JSpicoli13 Oct 25, 16:07

The issue is competition, the first one only had to deal with Moana {nm} austpow Oct 25, 13:46





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Weekend #BoxOffice Actuals: 1. #DoctorStrangeInTheMultiverseOfMadness $61.76M ... 4. #Firestarter $3.83M…       Pretty Problems sets August 26th release date https://t.co/KISyXKNBrT       Spin Me Round lands August 19th release date https://t.co/ocvrSllyVD       Netflix Animation has acquired The Shrinking of Treehorn       Vertical Entertainment has acquired The Storied Life Of A.J. Fikry       Tom Blyth will star as Coriolanus Snow in Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes #HungerGames       Ariana DeBose and Jennifer Jason Leigh join #Poolman        First teaser for #Prey aka #Predator prequel, on Hulu August 5th https://t.co/yVPUfHmzOy       Trailer for Good Luck To You, Leo Grande starring Emma Thompson, on Hulu June 17th https://t.co/wHaUzMDoYx       First trailer for Brian and Charles, in theaters on June 17th https://t.co/WFawUrBEIJ      
Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 149970 2.00 (0.00)         Hunger Games: The Ballad of Song (HGAM5) 100000 94.53 (+0.33)         The Storied Life Of A.J. Fikry (SLAJF) 150000 1.35 (+0.28)         Drive-Away aka Untitled Road Tri (DRVAW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)         Drive-Away aka Untitled Road Tri (DRVAW) 149980 15.00 (0.00)         Good Mourning (GMWAU) 25000 3.39 (-0.18)         The Storied Life Of A.J. Fikry (SLAJF) 150000 1.35 (+0.28)         Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)         Hunger Games: The Ballad of Song (HGAM5) 150000 94.53 (+0.33)         Molly Shannon (MSHAN) 25000 35.92 (-0.30)         Drive-Away aka Untitled Road Tri (DRVAW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)         Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 1000 17.64 (-0.06)         The Shrinking of Treehorn (TSOTH) 150000 23.30 (-2.12)         DC League of Super-Pets (SUPET) 150000 64.85 (+0.14)         Alison Brie (ABRIE) 25000 40.45 (-1.00)         Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 149970 2.00 (0.00)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 91908 33.47 (-1.03)         Drive-Away aka Untitled Road Tri (DRVAW) 149980 15.00 (0.00)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Alessandro Nivola (ANIVO) 25000 5.40 (-0.42)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         EL Muerto (MUERT) 150000 41.15 (+5.81)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 29046 33.47 (-1.03)         Jerry Lee Lewis: Trouble in Mind (JLLTM) 150000 2.00 (0.00)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 29046 33.47 (-1.03)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 150000 33.47 (-1.03)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 120954 33.47 (-1.03)         Drive-Away aka Untitled Road Tri (DRVAW) 150000 15.00 (0.00)         Tyson's Run (TYSRN) 150000 0.36 (-0.03)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 50000 17.51 (-0.84)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 150000 33.47 (-1.03)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 150000 15.49 (+1.76)         Downton Abbey: A New Era H$15 Pu (DWTA2.PU) 24889 1.58 (+0.01)         Beetlejuice 2 (BEET2) 150000 15.49 (+1.76)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 150000 33.47 (-1.03)         Where The Crawdads Sing (WTCDS) 80000 27.78 (+0.12)         Top Gun: Maverick H$90 Put Fri-M (TOPG2.PU) 7614 1.32 (-0.12)         Shazam! Fury of the Gods aka Sha (SHAZ2) 66021 142.76 (+2.14)         Anything's Possible (WHTIF) 150000 2.52 (-0.05)         Anything's Possible (WHTIF) 150000 2.52 (-0.05)         Spin Me Round (SPMER) 20000 1.98 (+0.10)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         Samaritan (SAMTN) 150000 17.51 (-0.84)         CW: All American: Homecoming (ALLAMH) 25000 9.62 (0.00)         ABC: The Wonder Years (TWDYRS) 25000 18.08 (+0.07)         Thirteen Lives (13LIV) 150000 33.47 (-1.03)