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if a movie does well on netflix, its price could go up. The only reason it doesn't..is the human behavior of the players of this game.

Posted by: 3ebfan511 on Jun 28, 16:16 in response to TFeeney's post Probably no massive hits for a while (sorry MULAN and...

It seems the users of the site assume numerical value to a theatrical wide release, and nothing to VOD.  Which in normal times was fine.  but..there is nothing stopping people from hitting "buy" on a film that goes to netflix and goes viral, which then could change the paradigm on the site.  There is nothing that says a film only has value on hsx.com..only based on how much money it makes.  Popularity..has "value" and its all a game.  Eventually...things could just go up by how well it does in popular culture and how it is recieved ...when it finally drops on Netflix or other platform.  It doesn't matter whether films get box office dollars...HSX still runs, you can short and buy every offering...and if you know what is going on..you make more...

 

As to the industry itself that is a big problem of course, how they will recoup, but HSX is...just a game with no set rules on what makes something go up.  It simply...human behavior..that dictates that....(note: I would be super annoyed if I shorted something that went to Netflix...and then later had it go way back up because it was popular upon release and went viral but..that may be the future of HSX in all-digital releases...)

 

I think theaters will return to some level of normal, but it will take probably 1.5 -to up to 3 years.  (a pandemic is about 12-18 months, and then another 6 months-12 months for thefilm industry to pump stuff out again to catch up to a normal rate.) 

I get all the excitement to get HSX going again but... doitdoitdoitnow Jun 28, 08:17

I don't think anyone's in denial about what's happening in the industry, the question will be "how does HSX adapt?" RogerMore Jun 28, 09:15

And it will adapt. {nm} Grunt Jun 28, 09:19

Shorting is a thing. (Nm) imacrazymonkey Jun 28, 09:54

^^This. Personally, I'm curious where Antibody will place the OW derivatives for Tenet... once it's "definitely opening." TheWeekendWarrior Jun 28, 09:42

(The "This" was for Roger More's post... but Grunt is right, too.) {nm} TheWeekendWarrior Jun 28, 09:42

All this site talk, I forget to fully say.. Welcome back WW, good to see you back on here. {nm} VictorY Jun 28, 16:17

Probably no massive hits for a while (sorry MULAN and TENET), but I bet there will be studio-backed first-run films in drive-ins TFeeney Jun 28, 09:20

There won't be a VOD service like comscore and box office any time soon. The main issue is that digital transactions are easy to track but Moviesnob Jun 28, 12:49

if a movie does well on netflix, its price could go up. The only reason it doesn't..is the human behavior of the players of this game. 3ebfan511 Jun 28, 16:16

Errm...do you not know how HSX works? {nm} TFeeney Jun 28, 17:38

Do you know how the stock market works ? 3ebfan511 Jun 28, 18:26

HSX is not the stock market. It works the same in some ways but different in many ways. Stocks cash out on a regular basis and the final {nm} JDolphin Jun 28, 23:59

Ooops. the final price is the box office (Unless major changes are made) {nm} JDolphin Jun 29, 00:00

that has nothing to do with movie stock values on HSX ndmaster Jun 29, 21:42

Great points. I fully get what you're saying, and sadly agree.. But consider this also: VictorY Jun 28, 15:50

The rumors of my demise have been greatly exaggerated. Restaurants will come back, sporting events will, concerts will, and movies will PhoneHome Jun 28, 19:54

There's definitely going to be a middleground, COVID-19 is already forcing a significant amount of "gone forever" theatre closings, but.... notfabio Jun 29, 08:27

Excellent point, many theaters were struggling befor COVID. {nm} VictorY Jun 29, 09:51





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