HSX Forum

Movies

Look like [MPRN3] will open close to what the previous one did; it will be more frontloaded, but should still cross $200m with ease {nm}

Posted by: xiayun on Dec 20, 11:33 in response to secretstalker's post MTC: Fockers 63 (5 day), True Grit 28 (5 day), Gulliver's...


Tag(s): MPRN3

MTC: Fockers 63 (5 day), True Grit 28 (5 day), Gulliver's 12 (2 day) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 11:22

That makes a $70m+ 5-day for Fockers likely, and I really hope True Grit opens that well. Westerns always make me a bit apprehensive. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 11:31

I don't see your logic here. Please explain why RS (50) and MTC (60) makes 70+ likely. Thanks. {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 12:26

Historical probability based on similar films. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 13:26

That's a little vague and does not support your thesis. Is there any fact or information that you can provide that can support your point? {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 14:57

Yes. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 15:00

:) {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 15:56

I love westerns but sadly hated True Grit. Looked beautiful, but the acting had zero emotion in the delivery of lines. skamanfu Dec 20, 13:11

Well, John Wayne was hardly the emotional kind either. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 20, 16:14

Look like [MPRN3] will open close to what the previous one did; it will be more frontloaded, but should still cross $200m with ease xiayun Dec 20, 11:33

Even after NARN3 (both RS/MTC over) and TRON2 (both RS/MTC under), you're sticking by your "system"? secretstalker Dec 20, 11:46

word is that the 3rd is better than the 2nd... plus the jack-nicholson-one was soooo bad , that auds are eager for an oldfashioned DeNiro {nm} JMT Dec 20, 11:51

The "rule" worked on Tron, as MTC was significantly higher than RS; RS and MTC were identical on Narnia 3, so no rule applied there {nm} xiayun Dec 20, 11:56

MTC was 34, RS was 31... neither points to an opening over $40 million. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:01

RS was at "high-20s" from what you reported on 12th, so MTC was about 20% higher, so adding another 20% to MTC xiayun Dec 20, 12:04

Oh, you're right... TRON2 was 29 from RS... I was looking at YOGIB (which didn't come CLOSE to besting TRON2) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:07

and the "rule" worked quite well on Yogi Bear; it is really only relevant when the difference between the two trackings are significant xiayun Dec 20, 12:02

We'll see. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:05

I've been tracking "the rule" for almost a year now and it's picked the direction of the adjust correctly 80 from about 120 wide releases RogerMore Dec 20, 12:09

look at RS / MTC rules these weeks adn21 Dec 20, 12:08

Yeah, and NARN3... when they both give the same number that means they're both wrong? secretstalker Dec 20, 12:11

not looking really good for MPRN3 notagain Dec 23, 16:27

not looking good for [MPRN3] notagain Dec 23, 16:36

no way the western will make 28 mill in 5 days ( in 50 maybe ). numbers inside JMT Dec 20, 12:11

No Country for Old Men made over 70 million, Burn After REading was one of their biggest openings ever. secretstalker Dec 20, 12:12

We'll see :) {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:16

also, did you see the trailer ? That was boring, dark ( as in ' many darkly lit night scenes' ) and plain awfull. {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:21

I've seen the movie and I wasn't a fan but clearly, I'm in the minority. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:23

SS... you're not alone. My thoughts are up above. {nm} skamanfu Dec 20, 13:12

the trailer with the johnny cash song "gods gonna cut you down"? that was one excellent trailer {nm} islander Dec 20, 12:26

you mean the one that's attached to the stockpage ? There's little Cash in that one. That's the one I saw and didn't like {nm} JMT Dec 20, 13:04

I'm looking forward to it, but I'm not sure people will rush out to see it this weekend. {nm} lesana Dec 20, 13:06





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


In The Land Of Saints And Sinner (ILSAS) 6 2.24 (-0.05)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 1200 51.17 (+1.17)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 1200 51.17 (+1.17)          IF (IMGNF) 1 154.64 (+0.67)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 8000 23.80 (-0.24)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 1200 2.88 (+0.88)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 3000 281.86 (+1.30)          Last Friday (FRID4) 99999 0.04 (-0.02)          Civil War (CVLWR) 139999 63.29 (-0.32)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 12000 281.86 (+1.30)          Reagan (REAGN) 8000 3.95 (-0.01)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 1 25.46 (-0.12)          Matthew Goode (MTGOO) 25000 25.46 (-0.12)          Piece by Piece (PCBPC) 4000 15.84 (-0.02)          The Watchers (WATCS) 150000 34.92 (+0.13)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 325 15.00 (0.00)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 150000 89.95 (+0.41)          The Bikeriders (BKRDR) 150000 29.76 (-0.04)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 150000 256.93 (+1.25)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 20.38 (+0.02)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 154.64 (+0.67)          Alto Knights aka Wise Guys (WISEG) 2000 28.83 (0.00)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 1 44.95 (-0.90)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 10000 22.85 (+0.05)          Trap (TRAP) 25000 52.92 (+0.20)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.88 (+0.88)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 9 44.95 (-0.90)          Young Woman and the Sea (YWATS) 75000 17.38 (+0.02)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 10000 34.17 (-1.57)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 3 15.00 (0.00)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 600 32.62 (+0.04)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 2000 32.62 (+0.04)          Trap (TRAP) 125000 52.92 (+0.20)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 4000 49.30 (-7.55)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 26666 18.36 (-1.19)          Uproar (UPROA) 18000 0.86 (-0.02)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 150000 44.95 (-0.90)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 150000 44.95 (-0.90)          Jonathan Pryce (JPRYC) 20008 5.22 (-0.14)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 10000 34.17 (-1.57)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Dracula - A Love Tale (DRALT) 10000 18.36 (-1.19)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 200 287.37 (-0.75)          SNL 1975 aka The Wolverines (SNL75) 150000 29.25 (+0.19)          Civil War (CVLWR) 2000 63.29 (-0.32)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 150000 19.48 (-0.44)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 2000 167.85 (-0.22)          Untitled SpaceX Project (SPACX) 1000 27.02 (+0.10)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 1000 49.30 (-7.55)