HSX Forum

Movies

not looking good for [MPRN3]

Posted by: notagain on Dec 23, 16:36 in response to notagain's post not looking really good for MPRN3

http://blog.boxofficespy.com/2010/12/little-fockers-box-office-opening-day.html


Tag(s): MPRN3

MTC: Fockers 63 (5 day), True Grit 28 (5 day), Gulliver's 12 (2 day) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 11:22

That makes a $70m+ 5-day for Fockers likely, and I really hope True Grit opens that well. Westerns always make me a bit apprehensive. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 11:31

I don't see your logic here. Please explain why RS (50) and MTC (60) makes 70+ likely. Thanks. {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 12:26

Historical probability based on similar films. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 13:26

That's a little vague and does not support your thesis. Is there any fact or information that you can provide that can support your point? {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 14:57

Yes. {nm} Rolling_Thunder Dec 20, 15:00

:) {nm} Port Value League Admin Dec 20, 15:56

I love westerns but sadly hated True Grit. Looked beautiful, but the acting had zero emotion in the delivery of lines. skamanfu Dec 20, 13:11

Well, John Wayne was hardly the emotional kind either. {nm} HarryWarden Dec 20, 16:14

Look like [MPRN3] will open close to what the previous one did; it will be more frontloaded, but should still cross $200m with ease {nm} xiayun Dec 20, 11:33

Even after NARN3 (both RS/MTC over) and TRON2 (both RS/MTC under), you're sticking by your "system"? secretstalker Dec 20, 11:46

word is that the 3rd is better than the 2nd... plus the jack-nicholson-one was soooo bad , that auds are eager for an oldfashioned DeNiro {nm} JMT Dec 20, 11:51

The "rule" worked on Tron, as MTC was significantly higher than RS; RS and MTC were identical on Narnia 3, so no rule applied there {nm} xiayun Dec 20, 11:56

MTC was 34, RS was 31... neither points to an opening over $40 million. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:01

RS was at "high-20s" from what you reported on 12th, so MTC was about 20% higher, so adding another 20% to MTC xiayun Dec 20, 12:04

Oh, you're right... TRON2 was 29 from RS... I was looking at YOGIB (which didn't come CLOSE to besting TRON2) {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:07

and the "rule" worked quite well on Yogi Bear; it is really only relevant when the difference between the two trackings are significant xiayun Dec 20, 12:02

We'll see. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:05

I've been tracking "the rule" for almost a year now and it's picked the direction of the adjust correctly 80 from about 120 wide releases RogerMore Dec 20, 12:09

look at RS / MTC rules these weeks adn21 Dec 20, 12:08

Yeah, and NARN3... when they both give the same number that means they're both wrong? secretstalker Dec 20, 12:11

not looking really good for MPRN3 notagain Dec 23, 16:27

not looking good for [MPRN3] notagain Dec 23, 16:36

no way the western will make 28 mill in 5 days ( in 50 maybe ). numbers inside JMT Dec 20, 12:11

No Country for Old Men made over 70 million, Burn After REading was one of their biggest openings ever. secretstalker Dec 20, 12:12

We'll see :) {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:16

also, did you see the trailer ? That was boring, dark ( as in ' many darkly lit night scenes' ) and plain awfull. {nm} JMT Dec 20, 12:21

I've seen the movie and I wasn't a fan but clearly, I'm in the minority. {nm} secretstalker Dec 20, 12:23

SS... you're not alone. My thoughts are up above. {nm} skamanfu Dec 20, 13:12

the trailer with the johnny cash song "gods gonna cut you down"? that was one excellent trailer {nm} islander Dec 20, 12:26

you mean the one that's attached to the stockpage ? There's little Cash in that one. That's the one I saw and didn't like {nm} JMT Dec 20, 13:04

I'm looking forward to it, but I'm not sure people will rush out to see it this weekend. {nm} lesana Dec 20, 13:06





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 149999 4.69 (+0.52)          Narnia: The Magician's Nephew (NARN4) 149999 27.53 (-0.79)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.69 (+0.52)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 149999 5.52 (+0.66)          Evil Genius (EVILG) 150000 5.52 (+0.66)          Fortitude (FRTUD) 1 7.85 (0.00)          Copperhead (COPRH) 149999 19.18 (+1.14)          Copperhead (COPRH) 150000 19.18 (+1.14)          River (RIVE1) 150000 9.92 (-1.36)          Other Mommy (IATHS) 50000 51.52 (-0.10)          River (RIVE1) 149999 9.92 (-1.36)          The Deputy (DEPUT) 1000 0.61 (0.00)          The Stunt Driver (STNTD) 10000 1.83 (+0.05)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 150000 0.92 (-0.08)          Run Amok (RAMOK) 149999 0.92 (-0.08)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 100 70.82 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 100 89.99 (+1.33)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 5.41 (+0.41)          Clayface (CLAYF) 100 68.28 (-0.15)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 12.75 (+0.24)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 150000 12.75 (+0.24)          Clay (CLAY) 84629 101.66 (+0.15)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 100 76.67 (-0.08)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 50 187.98 (0.00)          Snake Island (SNKIS) 5 16.73 (0.00)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 20000 280.14 (+0.35)          Black Panther III (BPNT3) 20000 282.07 (+0.35)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 1000 9.60 (0.00)          The Further Mis-Adventures of Cl (TAOCB) 48000 16.94 (+0.44)          Clay (CLAY) 1000 101.66 (+0.15)          Ghost Rider (GHSRD) 76 155.99 (+0.02)          Copperhead (COPRH) 57000 19.18 (+1.14)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 9000 275.25 (+1.00)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 21000 175.39 (-0.29)          Patrick Schwarzenegger (PSCHW) 25000 5.41 (+0.41)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 27000 108.33 (-0.28)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 10000 284.15 (-0.30)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 76.55 (-1.51)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 76.55 (-1.51)          The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 21.63 (-0.08)          The Resurrection of the Christ (RESUR) 38000 184.68 (-0.46)          Copperhead (COPRH) 55000 19.18 (+1.14)          Artificial (AIFIC) 500 21.94 (+1.01)          Artificial (AIFIC) 150000 21.94 (+1.01)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 76.55 (-1.51)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 89.99 (+1.33)          Natalie Portman (NPORT) 25000 99.05 (-0.45)          Natalie Portman (NPORT) 20000 99.05 (-0.45)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 16573 175.39 (-0.29)          Bad Lieutenant: Tokyo (BADLT) 150000 4.69 (+0.52)