HOLLYWOOD STOCK EXCHANGE
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
THE ENTERTAINMENT MARKET
Here are the results containing my regression model's predictions on BO, using HSXSanity Data from pre-release forecasts. Feb 25, 23:08
Wow. What happens when smart dudes get together and share #s is awesome. Thanks elchan and Mr Moore! {nm} Feb 26, 00:09
WOWZER - A Tip O' The Hat. Thanks for all of your Contributions. {nm} Feb 26, 04:03
Some initial thoughts... Feb 26, 04:34
Actually, the extrapolated RS data is not all that accurate. Mean error rate for RS is 0.45 for, compared to ,,, Feb 26, 07:18
Here are the result of a few runs: Feb 26, 08:09
Nate Silver's missing out on all the fun :) {nm} Feb 26, 08:56
yes... Feb 25, 12:16
Nicely Done. {nm} Feb 25, 18:58
Yes, there's over 4 years of box office predictions in this spreadsheet Feb 25, 10:52
Thank you so much RogerMore, that is exactly what I was hoping for! Feb 25, 10:58
Collected, week by week {nm} Feb 25, 11:06
That's impressive. Thanks again! {nm} Feb 25, 11:28
Nice more data for the regression models. {nm} Feb 25, 15:40
Announcing the beta version of the HSXsanity box office database, with adjust and delist estimators for you to try. Feb 24, 14:20
um, holy crap this is amazing? {nm} Feb 24, 14:38
Wow, good stuff!! {nm} Feb 24, 18:35
finally had a chance to take a peek...holy smokes! {nm} Feb 24, 22:41
oh...and thanks for doing this! {nm} Feb 24, 23:34
That is awesome. You've really outdone yourself. Thanks! {nm} Feb 24, 22:43
2 competitor kaigee {nm} Feb 25, 06:58
Hmm, every interesting. I could implement a nice regression model on all that data, and do BO predictions. {nm} Feb 25, 07:01
So you've run Linear Regressions? I guess it a matter of identifying the right set of features to get the best fit. Feb 25, 15:33
Only to see what relationships there are between early indicators and delist. Feb 25, 17:04
(So I think you can do it with two factors - target audience and level of audience interest) {nm} Feb 25, 17:07
(Actually, Three - I forgot "time of year") {nm} Feb 26, 03:52
Wow..that's a lot of work...thanks for the effort...much appreciated! {nm} Feb 25, 09:51
WOWZER - That's Impressive. A Tip O' The Hat. {nm} Feb 25, 19:03
You only have 420 mil. I could burn through that in SBOs alone... However, I digress. (more) Feb 24, 01:12
Of course, all of this (and more) is available in the Port Value League description area of the league you are in... {nm} Feb 24, 01:15
You don't have to radar all the SBO, just use this search to find every SBO with a dROI above 2, for instance ... Feb 24, 10:03
Penny stocks {mainly} and Slow bleeder paid of handsomely in first week alone - nice boost to a stagnant port - THANKS! {nm} Feb 28, 17:42
Could someone provide the link to Kaigee's site? {nm} Feb 24, 10:12
KAIGEE. Feb 24, 10:44
FISH GIVING {nm} Feb 24, 11:58
Under the COMMUNITY tab at the top of your page, there is a link to HSX fansites. Kaigee and more are there. {nm} Feb 24, 11:57
FISH TEACHING {nm} Feb 24, 11:58
"Light a fire for a man and he'll be warm for a night; light a man on fire and he'll be warm for the rest of his life." Feb 25, 02:33
Invest in every fund, if not already. {nm} Feb 24, 05:00
Nah, Rocket's advice (PVL Admin, above) is better. Much better! {nm} Feb 24, 05:02
Short every development MST you can find. {nm} Feb 24, 07:25
Please check the Movies Board under the Thread 'So I've Got A Free Billion. <See Inside>. Feb 24, 07:41
NEW LEAGUE FOR FUND MANAGERS (only). Please check your personal leagues for invite. Feb 23, 13:39
AWARD report to shareholders Feb 21, 20:26
One questions, why do you not like Lemurs? They are cute, intelligent, and our oldest living relative. {nm} Feb 22, 06:22
It's a limited that consistently bleeds. nothing against Lemurs (the creature), but chose to short the stock. {nm} Feb 22, 11:29
Tagging initial report to shareholders [AWARD] {nm} Feb 22, 12:19
MILESTONE: Top 100 2014 With A YTD Port. 170.0 MILL Would Be # 66 On The 2014 YTD List. Feb 20, 22:16
Claiming #66 in February on a running YTD list... that you actually do not appear on... is not a milestone Feb 21, 10:10
** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** Feb 21, 10:18
Good Luck AWARD fund Feb 20, 21:13
I'll do my best. :) {nm} Feb 20, 21:25
Best of luck Rocket! {nm} Feb 21, 04:06
Good luck! Take care of my baby ;) {nm} Feb 21, 04:25
Under New Management :) {nm} Feb 21, 11:39
Haha, sorry bout all the potato chip crumbs and soda cans all over the place ;) {nm} Feb 21, 11:49
It's all cleaned up now. Will be replaced with popcorn and water bottles. ;) {nm} Feb 21, 21:10
AWARD has made all initial purchases. Open for business. {nm} Feb 21, 15:17
THERE SEEMS TO BE SOME SORT OF DISCONNECT HERE .... Feb 19, 17:16
if movies don't report to ERC, starbonds will detach. BUT, the movie can still delist using alternative sources {nm} Feb 19, 17:26
I had always understood (MISunderstood?) that the stock always delisted according to ERC ... there have been Feb 20, 17:40
Glossary entry for cash-out price: "ERC does not report box-office for a film, alternate sources may be used." {nm} Feb 20, 20:42
(JTTSP) has been permanently Removed from (CBLAN). {nm} Feb 19, 18:48
I won 50k cash playing Classic Cash Today Feb 19, 14:15
Time to Buy that PowerBall Ticket. {nm} Feb 19, 16:12
yes before the luck wears off {nm} Feb 19, 16:34
reset trading/flipping/day trading. I often wake up 1-2 million down. {nm} Feb 19, 06:42
post todays delisting... Feb 18, 19:36
Nicely Done. {nm} Feb 18, 20:12
Good Advice: There is a description for derivatives, read it *before* you invest. {nm} Feb 18, 18:58
** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** Feb 18, 20:04
No need to Tag (ROBOC). Please see BOM Daily Box Office for (ROBOC). Feb 18, 20:09
I did check that out ty! Feb 18, 20:11
The strike prices was $25, actual was $25.06. Somebody please explain it because Feb 18, 17:44
Weekend box office gross (25.06) - strike price (25) = cash out of 0.06 per share. {nm} Feb 18, 18:11
You are correct. Break even for this particular call would have been 25 strike + 2 premium = 27 Feb 18, 18:15
Correct-A-Mundo. See Inside. Feb 18, 18:20
wrong Feb 18, 18:45
30m - 25m = 5m = $H5.00/share {nm} Feb 18, 18:46
only Fri-Mon counts, per the stock description {nm} Feb 18, 18:47
** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** Feb 18, 19:56
TY! Moviesnob Feb 18, 20:08
Is there a trick to the Classic Cash game? {nm} Feb 17, 06:17
If there is a trick, I don't know it. When I remember to play, I just click same location poster every time. One would think Feb 17, 07:46
I also click the same position every time, and win less than 1/7th of the time. Bit odd. {nm} Feb 17, 08:29
There used to be a trick, but it was fixed, and now it is just random {nm} Feb 17, 07:48
Six (6) Classic Cash Wins in January 2014 for ROTO YTD Port. Most ROTO Wins in 1 month - Eleven (11). Feb 17, 09:40
*Calling all PHD's in Mathematics.* {nm} Feb 17, 11:08
LOL, not worth a PhD, undergrad stuff. {nm} Feb 18, 13:31
yap.. unless these two events are mutually dependent on each other.. this scenario is purely random and coincidental ;-) {nm} Feb 18, 05:27
pick Bullit when it comes up and hit 25% of the time. the rest are luck? {nm} Feb 18, 08:45
Basically, the total gross of past delisted movies should be ignored when calculating future starbond adjusts? Feb 16, 07:58
Use the delist price for the new movie being added; use total gross (up to 250mill) for movies that have already delisted {nm} Feb 16, 08:08
Thank you for clarifying! {nm} Feb 16, 08:33
Playing starbond adjusts is an obvious one. Look in the Glossary to get an idea of how Starbonds work. Feb 15, 09:08
thanks! I'll check them out. {nm} Feb 15, 10:11
I play a version i call HSGuess {nm} Feb 16, 09:06
At the bottom of description in my leagues, there are a series of tips. Read. Joining optional. Feb 15, 10:48
Thanks that was very helpful . {nm} Feb 16, 05:37
See link inside to something I posted a while back Feb 15, 14:07
Can I link to this in my leagues and caption it "Casual Player Strategy"? {nm} Feb 15, 14:26
Sure, go ahead. {nm} Feb 15, 22:45
Added, thanks! I think that will help "casual" players a lot. {nm} Feb 16, 12:20
Thanks! {nm} Feb 16, 05:37
Excuse the noob question, but does President's day mean a 4-day 2.2 adjust? {nm} Feb 15, 03:09
Basically, what formula is Robocop using? 5 day opening, or 4 day? {nm} Feb 15, 03:17
Yes, and in Robocop's case it's "4-day weekend * 2.2 + Wed + Th". The calendar is your friend {nm} Feb 15, 04:31
Which calendar are you referring to? {nm} Feb 15, 06:05
The "market calendar" say that. So what calendar should I be looking at? {nm} Feb 15, 06:09
Nevermind. I see it. Thanks. {nm} Feb 15, 06:10
The 'Market Calendar' which is Found under 'News & Events' at the Top of the Page (See Inside). Feb 15, 06:11
Maybe u lose money in other stock {nm} Feb 14, 05:59
The top 10 movie movers account for 0.95% of your port. {nm} Feb 14, 08:05